🇧🇾Aryna Sabalenka
#1 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
5 meetings · sets 7–6
🇨🇿Karolina Muchova
#10 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Aryna Sabalenka and Karolina Muchova have met 5 times since 2019; Karolina Muchova leads 3–2. Their most recent meeting: Aryna Sabalenka won at Brisbane (2026).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Muchova
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,410 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
5 career meetings, newest first
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sabalenka | Muchova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aryna Sabalenka | Karolina Muchova | ||
| 1 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 83% | 5/6 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 2/6 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/6 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–4 | 10–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.46 | 2.46 |
| ROI % | -19.9% | +90.4% |
| Units P/L | -3.19u | +13.56u |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Muchova's 50%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Madison Keys | W 63 63 | L |
| Diana Shnaider | L | L 62 16 26 |
| Naomi Osaka | W | L 46 67 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 62 36 57 | W 62 63 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 76 76 | L 36 26 |
| Jaqueline Cristian | W 61 64 | W 62 63 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 64 63 | L 57 16 |
| Coco Gauff | W 62 46 63 | W 63 57 63 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 62 63 | W 64 26 64 |
| Elise Mertens | W 64 76 | W 16 63 60 |
Last five matches per player
Diana Shnaider
French Open ·
Jun 3
Naomi Osaka
French Open ·
Jun 1
Daria Kasatkina
French Open ·
May 30
Elsa Jacquemot
French Open ·
May 28
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
French Open ·
May 26
Daria Kasatkina
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 25
Elsa Jacquemot
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 25
Madison Keys
Berlin ·
Jun 18
Shuai Zhang
Berlin ·
Jun 16
Jil Teichmann
French Open ·
May 29
Kamilla Rakhimova
French Open ·
May 27
Anastasia Zakharova
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Anastasia Zakharova
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Jil Teichmann
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 25
Kamilla Rakhimova
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 25
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–61 matches
| Metric | Sabalenka | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 87% | 71% |
| Sets won | 82% | 64% |
| Games won | 60% | 54% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sabalenka | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA Finals | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 2 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sabalenka | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
