Aryna Sabalenka vs Qinwen ZhengPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇾Aryna Sabalenka
#2 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
9 meetings · sets 16–3
🇨🇳Qinwen Zheng
#23 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
7Title4Aryna Sabalenka and Qinwen Zheng have met 9 times since 2023; Aryna Sabalenka leads 8–1. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Sabalenka leads 7–0. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Sabalenka has won the last 2 meetings. 2 of their meetings have been finals, with Sabalenka leading those 2–0. Across all meetings Sabalenka has taken 16 sets to Zheng's 3. Their most recent meeting: Aryna Sabalenka won at Miami Open - Miami (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sabalenka | Zheng | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aryna Sabalenka | Qinwen Zheng | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 86% | 44/51 | 42% | 10/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 64% | 7/11 | 43% | 6/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 14/62 | 53% | 20/38 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 70% | 42/60 | 26% | 7/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 73% | 8/11 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 68% | 13/19 | 78% | 7/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 48/51 | 74% | 17/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 44/51 | 43% | 10/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 8 of 9 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sabalenka 7, Zheng 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Zheng
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
9 career meetings, newest first
Mar 23, 2026
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 4th Round
Jun 3, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay · Quarterfinals
May 14, 2025
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Mar 25, 2025
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Nov 2, 2024
WTA Finals - Riyadh
H Hard · Round Robin
Oct 13, 2024
Wuhan Open - Wuhan
H Hard · Final
Sep 3, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 27, 2024
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · Final
Sep 6, 2023
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sabalenka | Zheng | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aryna Sabalenka | Qinwen Zheng | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 88% | 15/17 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 10/15 | 71% | 12/17 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 4/15 | 24% | 4/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–4 | 14–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.17 | 1.86 |
| ROI % | -18.6% | +39.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.61u | +7.08u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 2 | 7 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ROU | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (89% vs Zheng's 44%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Elina Svitolina | W 62 63 | W 63 76 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 46 75 26 | L 63 16 46 |
| Madison Keys | W 63 63 | W 16 76 75 |
| Talia Gibson | W 62 76 | L 36 67 |
| Barbora Krejcikova | W 62 63 | L 46 46 |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | W 64 62 | W 75 61 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | W 64 64 | L 64 46 46 |
| Jaqueline Cristian | W 61 64 | L 46 67 |
| Cristina Bucsa | W 60 61 | W 76 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nikola Bartunkova
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Renata Zarazua
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · Final
Sep 12
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 10
Linda Noskova
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Taylor Townsend
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Kamilla Rakhimova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Polina Iatcenko
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Mirra Andreeva
China Open - Beijing · Final
Oct 11
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 10
Elina Svitolina
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Alina Charaeva
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Marie Bouzkova
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Anna Kalinskaya
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Han Shi
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 38–62 matches
| Metric | Sabalenka | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 82% | 63% |
| Sets won | 79% | 56% |
| Games won | 59% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sabalenka | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 2 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 4 | 0 |
| WTA Finals | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 3 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sabalenka | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 7 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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