Aryna Sabalenka vs Qinwen ZhengPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇾Aryna Sabalenka
#1 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
9 meetings · sets 16–3
🇨🇳Qinwen Zheng
#121 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
5wAryna Sabalenka and Qinwen Zheng have met 9 times since 2023; Aryna Sabalenka leads 8–1. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Sabalenka leads 7–0. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Sabalenka has won the last 2 meetings. 2 of their meetings have been finals, with Sabalenka leading those 2–0. Across all meetings Sabalenka has taken 16 sets to Zheng's 3. Their most recent meeting: Aryna Sabalenka won at Miami Open - Miami (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sabalenka | Zheng | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aryna Sabalenka | Qinwen Zheng | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 84% | 42/50 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 70% | 7/10 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 15/60 | 50% | 12/24 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 69% | 41/59 | 28% | 5/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 50% | 3/6 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 12/19 | 60% | 3/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 45/49 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 42/49 | 42% | 5/12 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 8 of 9 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sabalenka 7, Zheng 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Zheng
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
9 career meetings, newest first
Mar 23, 2026
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 4th Round
Jun 3, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay · Quarterfinals
May 14, 2025
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Mar 25, 2025
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Nov 2, 2024
WTA Finals - Riyadh
H Hard · Round Robin
Oct 13, 2024
Wuhan Open - Wuhan
H Hard · Final
Sep 3, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 27, 2024
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · Final
Sep 6, 2023
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sabalenka | Zheng | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aryna Sabalenka | Qinwen Zheng | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 86% | 12/14 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 10/14 | 90% | 9/10 |
| 10 or more | 14% | 2/14 | 60% | 6/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–5 | 4–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.16 | 1.60 |
| ROI % | -26.5% | -45.1% |
| Units P/L | -3.97u | -4.51u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 5 | — |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | — |
| Route | CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Zheng's 38%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Talia Gibson | W 62 76 | L 36 67 |
| Barbora Krejcikova | W 62 63 | L 46 46 |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | W 64 62 | W 75 61 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | W 64 64 | L 64 46 46 |
| Jaqueline Cristian | W 61 64 | L 46 67 |
| Cristina Bucsa | W 60 61 | W 76 62 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 64 63 | L 64 46 36 |
| Madison Keys | W 63 63 | W 46 62 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Xinyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Talia Gibson
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ekaterina Alexandrova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Moyuka Uchijima
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Jelena Ostapenko
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Barbora Krejcikova
Athens Open - Athens · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Elena Micic
Athens Open - Athens · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Athens Open - Athens · 1st Round
Jul 13
Katerina Siniakova
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Clara Tauson
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Solana Sierra
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 1st Round
Jun 22
Talia Gibson
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 24–60 matches
| Metric | Sabalenka | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 83% | 50% |
| Sets won | 79% | 48% |
| Games won | 59% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sabalenka | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 2 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 4 | 0 |
| WTA Finals | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 3 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sabalenka | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 7 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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