Elena Rybakina vs Qinwen ZhengPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฐ๐ฟElena Rybakina
#2 ยท 26 yrs ยท Right-Handed
85 meetings ยท sets 9โ4

๐จ๐ณQinwen Zheng
#121 ยท 23 yrs ยท Right-Handed
5wElena Rybakina and Qinwen Zheng have met 5 times since 2022; Elena Rybakina leads 4โ1. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon - London in 2022 on grass. On hard courts Rybakina leads 2โ1. Rybakina has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Rybakina has taken 9 sets to Zheng's 4. Their most recent meeting: Elena Rybakina won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rybakina | Zheng | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elena Rybakina | Qinwen Zheng | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 39/57 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 62% | 8/13 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 26/70 | 50% | 12/24 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 60% | 37/62 | 28% | 5/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 5/7 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 8/15 | 60% | 3/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 46/49 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 39/49 | 42% | 5/12 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rybakina 2, Zheng 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rybakina
๐ค Servebot
Zheng
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Elena Rybakina and Qinwen Zheng are ๐ค Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,026 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Apr 26, 2026
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay ยท 3rd Round
Feb 11, 2026
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard ยท 3rd Round
Nov 4, 2024
WTA Finals - Riyadh
H Hard ยท Round Robin
Oct 2, 2023
China Open - Beijing
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Jul 2, 2022
Wimbledon - London
G Grass ยท 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rybakina | Zheng | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elena Rybakina | Qinwen Zheng | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 5 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 90% | 9/10 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 4/15 | 60% | 6/10 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 2/15 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11โ3 | 4โ6 |
| Avg odds | 1.32 | 1.60 |
| ROI % | +6.4% | -45.1% |
| Units P/L | +0.90u | -4.51u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | โ |
| Events | 2 | โ |
| Matches | 8 | โ |
| Distance | 411 mi ยท 662 km | โ |
| Route | CAN โ POL | โ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Zheng's 20%).
| Opponent | Rybakina | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Alexandra Eala | L 57 46 | L 64 46 16 |
| Talia Gibson | W 62 62 | L 36 67 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 64 61 | W 46 76 64 |
| Jaqueline Cristian | W 64 63 | L 46 67 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 46 36 | L 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 4th Round
Aug 20
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 17
Taylor Townsend
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Coco Gauff
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท Semifinals
Aug 13
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Liudmila Samsonova
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 4th Round
Aug 9
Ann Li
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 3rd Round
Aug 7
Daria Kasatkina
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington ยท 1st Round
Jul 28
Barbora Krejcikova
Athens Open - Athens ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Elena Micic
Athens Open - Athens ยท 2nd Round
Jul 15
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Athens Open - Athens ยท 1st Round
Jul 13
Katerina Siniakova
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Clara Tauson
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg ยท 2nd Round
Jun 24
Solana Sierra
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg ยท 1st Round
Jun 22
Talia Gibson
Lexus Nottingham Open - Nottingham ยท 2nd Round
Jun 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 24โ70 matches
| Metric | Rybakina | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 81% | 50% |
| Sets won | 73% | 48% |
| Games won | 58% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rybakina | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA Finals | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 3 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rybakina | Zheng |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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