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Head-to-Head

Elena Rybakina vs Jessica PegulaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Elena Rybakina

🇰🇿Elena Rybakina

#2 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed

8
6–3

9 meetings · sets 13–8

Jessica Pegula

🇺🇸Jessica Pegula

#3 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed

Elena Rybakina and Jessica Pegula have met 9 times since 2022; Elena Rybakina leads 6–3. Their first meeting came at Miami Open - Miami in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Rybakina leads 6–3. Rybakina has won the last 5 meetings. Across all meetings Rybakina has taken 13 sets to Pegula's 8. Their most recent meeting: Elena Rybakina won at Miami Open - Miami (2026).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorRybakinaPegula
Wins in straight sets68%54%
Wins a set when losing62%47%
Goes to a deciding set37%46%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite60%50%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog71%63%
Tiebreak sets won53%63%
Wins after taking set 194%88%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 180%65%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 6 of 9 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rybakina 4, Pegula 2).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Rybakina

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve
vs

Pegula

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies

Matchup analysis

🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

9 career meetings, newest first

Mar 25, 2026

Miami Open - Miami

H Hard · Quarterfinals

26
63
64
Rybakina

Mar 12, 2026

BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells

H Hard · Quarterfinals

61
764
Rybakina

Jan 29, 2026

Australian Open - Melbourne

H Hard · Semifinals

63
767
Rybakina

Nov 7, 2025

WTA Finals - Riyadh

H Hard · Semifinals

46
64
63
Rybakina

Sep 18, 2025

Billie Jean King Cup, Finals

H Hard · Rubber 2

64
61
Rybakina

Oct 29, 2023

WTA Finals - Cancun

H Hard · Round Robin

57
26
Pegula

Mar 30, 2023

Miami Open - Miami

H Hard · Semifinals

763
64
Rybakina

Oct 19, 2022

Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara

H Hard · 2nd Round

62
36
687
Pegula

Mar 27, 2022

Miami Open - Miami

H Hard · 3rd Round

36
46
Pegula

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeRybakinaPegula
1 or more100%95%
3 or more73%76%
5 or more73%33%
10 or more27%5%
15 or more13%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricRybakinaPegula
W-L11–317–5
Avg odds1.321.48
ROI %+6.4%+10.4%
Units P/L+0.90u+2.29u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricRybakinaPegula
Countries23
Events23
Matches812
Distance411 mi · 662 km761 mi · 1,225 km
RouteCAN → POLAUT → CAN → POL

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Pegula's 60%).

OpponentRybakinaPegula
Coco Gauff
W
57
62
62
L
26
46
Iga Swiatek
W
75
61
W
75
46
64
Diana Shnaider
W
64
64
L
36
36
Amanda Anisimova
W
63
61
W
64
26
76
Magdalena Frech
W
64
76
W
36
63
62
Liudmila Samsonova
W
64
46
64
W
63
76
Ann Li
W
62
75
W
61
62
Alexandra Eala
L
57
46
L
64
46
06
Linda Noskova
W
63
64
L
46
64
36
Aryna Sabalenka
L
46
36
W
64
67
60

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Rybakina
WWWWWWWW
W

Diana Shnaider

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round

64
64

Aug 20

W

Magdalena Frech

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round

64
762

Aug 17

W

Taylor Townsend

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

63
64

Aug 16

W

Coco Gauff

National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals

57
62
62

Aug 13

W

Naomi Osaka

National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals

46
765
64

Aug 12

W

Liudmila Samsonova

National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round

64
46
64

Aug 9

W

Ann Li

National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round

62
75

Aug 7

W

Daria Kasatkina

National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round

63
57
64

Aug 5

Pegula
LWWWWWLW
L

Coco Gauff

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final

26
46

Aug 24

W

Iga Swiatek

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals

75
46
64

Aug 22

W

Amanda Anisimova

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals

64
26
764

Aug 20

W

Sorana Cirstea

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round

62
46
75

Aug 19

W

Emma Navarro

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round

75
62

Aug 18

W

Simona Waltert

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

63
62

Aug 15

L

Diana Shnaider

National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round

36
36

Aug 8

W

Kamilla Rakhimova

National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round

64
60

Aug 6

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ RybakinaRybakina ahead↓ Pegula

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 70–76 matches

MetricRybakinaPegula
Matches won81%75%
Sets won73%66%
Games won58%56%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageRybakinaPegula
Grand Slam10
WTA Finals11
WTA 100032
Other10

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceRybakinaPegula
Hard63

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Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegula FAQ

Elena Rybakina leads the head-to-head 6–3 over 9 meetings.