🇰🇿Elena Rybakina
#2 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
8 meetings · sets 11–8
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#5 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
Elena Rybakina and Jessica Pegula have met 8 times since 2022; Elena Rybakina leads 5–3. Their most recent meeting: Elena Rybakina won at Miami (2026).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rybakina
💥 Big Hitter
Pegula
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 57% vs 💥 Big Hitter across 4,211 matches in our dataset — a stylistic lean toward Jessica Pegula.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the big hitter's power groundstrokes.
8 career meetings, newest first
Mar 17, 2026
Miami
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Mar 4, 2026
Indian Wells
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 19, 2026
Australian Open
H Hard · Semifinals
Nov 1, 2025
Riyadh Finals
H Hard · Semifinals
Oct 30, 2023
Cancun Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Mar 20, 2023
Miami
H Hard · Semifinals
Oct 17, 2022
Guadalajara 2
H Hard · Round of 32
Mar 21, 2022
Miami
H Hard · Round of 32
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rybakina | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elena Rybakina | Jessica Pegula | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 55% | 6/11 |
| 5 or more | 73% | 8/11 | 9% | 1/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/11 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–7 | 10–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.28 | 1.44 |
| ROI % | +71.2% | -7.8% |
| Units P/L | +13.52u | -1.17u |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Rybakina's 60%).
| Opponent | Rybakina | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Katie Boulter | L | W 64 64 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | L 63 16 67 | W 62 62 |
| Kimberly Birrell | W 61 62 | L |
| Elina Svitolina | L | W 62 64 |
| Iga Swiatek | W 75 61 | L |
| Maria Sakkari | W 64 61 | W 75 64 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 67 46 | W 76 62 |
| Marta Kostyuk | W 63 64 | L 16 46 |
| Diana Shnaider | W 63 64 | W 36 63 62 |
| Leylah Fernandez | W 67 64 76 | W 62 62 |
Last five matches per player
Alexandra Eala
Berlin ·
Jun 18
Katie Boulter
Queen's Club ·
Jun 12
Tatjana Maria
Queen's Club ·
Jun 12
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Yuliia Starodubtseva
French Open ·
May 27
Veronika Erjavec
French Open ·
May 25
Veronika Erjavec
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 25
Katerina Siniakova
Berlin ·
Jun 17
Kimberly Birrell
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Kimberly Birrell
French Open ·
May 26
Kimberly Birrell
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Iga Swiatek
Rome WTA ·
May 13
Zeynep Sonmez
Rome · Round of 64
May 5
Iga Swiatek
Rome · Quarterfinals
May 5
Rebeka Masarova
Rome · Round of 32
May 5
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 65–74 matches
| Metric | Rybakina | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 80% | 74% |
| Sets won | 74% | 66% |
| Games won | 59% | 57% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rybakina | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA Finals | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 3 | 1 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rybakina | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 5 | 3 |
