Elena Rybakina vs Victoria MbokoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇰🇿Elena Rybakina
#1 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 6–4
🇨🇦Victoria Mboko
#15 · 19 yrs · Right-Handed
18wElena Rybakina and Victoria Mboko have met 4 times since 2025; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Mubadala Citi DC Open - Washington in 2025 on hard. On hard courts they are level 2–2. Across all meetings Rybakina has taken 6 sets to Mboko's 4. Their most recent meeting: Victoria Mboko won at Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rybakina | Mboko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elena Rybakina | Victoria Mboko | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 40/60 | 56% | 18/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 58% | 7/12 | 27% | 3/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 27/72 | 40% | 17/43 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 61% | 39/64 | 50% | 16/32 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 6/8 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 9/16 | 46% | 6/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 47/51 | 100% | 26/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 40/51 | 69% | 18/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rybakina 2, Mboko 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rybakina
🤖 Servebot
Mboko
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Feb 12, 2026
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Oct 24, 2025
Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 6, 2025
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal
H Hard · Semifinals
Jul 23, 2025
Mubadala Citi DC Open - Washington
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Mboko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–2 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.47 | - |
| ROI % | +28.5% | - |
| Units P/L | +4.85u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Mboko |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | ROU | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Mboko's 50%).
| Opponent | Rybakina | Mboko |
|---|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | W 64 57 62 | L 67 46 |
| Elise Mertens | L 67 16 | L 36 63 36 |
| Caty Mcnally | W 61 62 | L 46 16 |
| Lois Boisson | W 64 16 63 | W 64 63 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 57 46 | W 36 63 64 |
| Karolina Pliskova | W 60 62 | L |
| Leylah Fernandez | W 67 64 76 | W 64 64 |
| Karolina Muchova | W 75 61 | L 57 67 |
| Mirra Andreeva | W 75 61 | W 76 46 60 |
| Talia Gibson | W 62 62 | W 67 61 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alina Charaeva
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · Final
Sep 12
Coco Gauff
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Yuliia Starodubtseva
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Thea Frodin
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Karolina Pliskova
The HSBC Championships - London · 2nd Round
Jun 10
Madison Keys
French Open - Paris · 3rd Round
May 30
Katerina Siniakova
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 28
Nikola Bartunkova
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 26
Emma Navarro
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg · Final
May 23
Jaqueline Cristian
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg · Semifinals
May 22
Leylah Fernandez
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg · Quarterfinals
May 21
Lois Boisson
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg · 2nd Round
May 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–72 matches
| Metric | Rybakina | Mboko |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 83% | 74% |
| Sets won | 74% | 65% |
| Games won | 58% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rybakina | Mboko |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 2 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rybakina | Mboko |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 2 |
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