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Head-to-Head

Elena Rybakina vs Iga SwiatekPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Elena Rybakina

🇰🇿Elena Rybakina

#1 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed

5–8

13 meetings · sets 11–16

Iga Swiatek

🇵🇱Iga Swiatek

#9 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed

Elena Rybakina and Iga Swiatek have met 13 times since 2021; Iga Swiatek leads 8–5. Their first meeting came at J&T Banka Ostrava Open - Ostrava in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Swiatek leads 7–4. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Swiatek has won the last 2 meetings. 2 of their meetings have been finals, with Swiatek leading those 2–0. Across all meetings Rybakina has taken 11 sets to Swiatek's 16. Their most recent meeting: Iga Swiatek won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorRybakinaSwiatek
Wins in straight sets67%79%
Wins a set when losing58%63%
Goes to a deciding set38%33%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite61%57%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog75%0%
Tiebreak sets won56%67%
Wins after taking set 192%86%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 178%77%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 9 of 12 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rybakina 3, Swiatek 6).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Rybakina

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve
vs

Swiatek

👑 The Complete Package

Elite serve & returnHigh BP conversionAll-surface dominanceClutch performer

Matchup analysis

The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 2,084 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Iga Swiatek.

The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.

Previous meetings

13 career meetings, newest first

Aug 20, 2026

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati

H Hard · Quarterfinals

Swiatek

Aug 13, 2026

National Bank Open - Toronto

H Hard · Final

26
36
Swiatek

Jan 28, 2026

Australian Open - Melbourne

H Hard · Quarterfinals

75
61
Rybakina

Nov 3, 2025

WTA Finals - Riyadh

H Hard · Round Robin

36
61
60
Rybakina

Aug 17, 2025

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati

H Hard · Semifinals

57
36
Swiatek

Jun 1, 2025

French Open - Paris

C Clay · 4th Round

61
36
57
Swiatek

Feb 13, 2025

Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha

H Hard · Quarterfinals

26
57
Swiatek

Jan 4, 2025

United Cup - Australia

H Hard · Semifinals

657
46
Swiatek

Apr 20, 2024

Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart

C Clay · Semifinals

63
46
63
Rybakina

Feb 17, 2024

Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha

H Hard · Final

687
26
Swiatek

Mar 17, 2023

BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells

H Hard · Semifinals

62
62
Rybakina

Jan 22, 2023

Australian Open - Melbourne

H Hard · 4th Round

64
64
Rybakina

Sep 24, 2021

J&T Banka Ostrava Open - Ostrava

H Hard · Quarterfinals

657
26
Swiatek

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeRybakinaSwiatek
1 or more100%77%
3 or more94%0%
5 or more88%0%
10 or more31%0%
15 or more13%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricRybakinaSwiatek
W-L15–215–3
Avg odds1.471.22
ROI %+28.5%+1.3%
Units P/L+4.85u+0.24u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricRybakinaSwiatek
Countries11
Events11
Matches14
Distance0 mi · 0 km0 mi · 0 km
RouteROUROU

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Swiatek's 60%).

OpponentRybakinaSwiatek
Elise Mertens
L
67
16
L
67
36
Coco Gauff
W
36
64
64
L
46
26
Qinwen Zheng
W
36
61
64
L
57
36
Naomi Osaka
W
61
64
W
62
61
Jessica Pegula
W
26
63
64
L
57
64
46
Diana Shnaider
W
64
64
W
62
61
Maria Sakkari
W
64
61
W
46
61
61
Taylor Townsend
W
63
64
W
61
26
63
Elina Svitolina
L
62
46
46
W
63
16
63
Marta Kostyuk
W
63
64
W
36
61
62

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Rybakina
LWWWWWWW
L

Alina Charaeva

China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round

63
46
36

Oct 3

W

Aryna Sabalenka

U.S. Open - New York · Final

64
57
62

Sep 12

W

Coco Gauff

U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals

36
64
64

Sep 11

W

Qinwen Zheng

U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals

36
61
64

Sep 9

W

Naomi Osaka

U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round

61
64

Sep 7

W

Yuliia Starodubtseva

U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round

766
63

Sep 6

W

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round

62
64

Sep 4

W

Thea Frodin

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

63
62

Sep 1

Swiatek
LWWWLWWW
L

Elise Mertens

China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals

607
36

Oct 9

W

Iva Jovic

China Open - Beijing · 4th Round

61
63

Oct 7

W

Donna Vekic

China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round

46
760
62

Oct 5

W

Xinyu Gao

China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round

62
63

Oct 3

L

Qinwen Zheng

U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round

57
36

Sep 7

W

Marie Bouzkova

U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round

763
76

Sep 5

W

Nadia Podoroska

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round

63
62

Sep 3

W

Xiyu Wang

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

62
63

Sep 1

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ RybakinaSwiatek ahead↓ Swiatek

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–72 matches

MetricRybakinaSwiatek
Matches won83%72%
Sets won74%70%
Games won58%60%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageRybakinaSwiatek
Finals02
Grand Slam21
WTA Finals10
WTA 50012
WTA 100015

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceRybakinaSwiatek
Hard47
Clay11

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Elena Rybakina vs Iga Swiatek FAQ

Iga Swiatek leads the head-to-head 8–5 over 13 meetings.