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Head-to-Head

Elena Rybakina vs Iga SwiatekPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Elena Rybakina

🇰🇿Elena Rybakina

#2 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed

8
5–6

11 meetings · sets 11–14

Iga Swiatek

🇵🇱Iga Swiatek

#8 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed

Elena Rybakina and Iga Swiatek have met 11 times since 2021; Iga Swiatek leads 6–5. Their first meeting came at J&T Banka Ostrava Open - Ostrava in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Swiatek leads 5–4. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Rybakina has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Swiatek leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Rybakina has taken 11 sets to Swiatek's 14. Their most recent meeting: Elena Rybakina won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2026).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorRybakinaSwiatek
Wins in straight sets68%80%
Wins a set when losing62%65%
Goes to a deciding set37%33%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite60%58%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog71%0%
Tiebreak sets won53%75%
Wins after taking set 194%87%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 180%78%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 8 of 11 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rybakina 3, Swiatek 5).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Rybakina

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve
vs

Swiatek

👑 The Complete Package

Elite serve & returnHigh BP conversionAll-surface dominanceClutch performer

Matchup analysis

The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 1,830 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Iga Swiatek.

The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.

Previous meetings

11 career meetings, newest first

Jan 28, 2026

Australian Open - Melbourne

H Hard · Quarterfinals

75
61
Rybakina

Nov 3, 2025

WTA Finals - Riyadh

H Hard · Round Robin

36
61
60
Rybakina

Aug 17, 2025

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati

H Hard · Semifinals

57
36
Swiatek

Jun 1, 2025

French Open - Paris

C Clay · 4th Round

61
36
57
Swiatek

Feb 13, 2025

Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha

H Hard · Quarterfinals

26
57
Swiatek

Jan 4, 2025

United Cup - Australia

H Hard · Semifinals

657
46
Swiatek

Apr 20, 2024

Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart

C Clay · Semifinals

63
46
63
Rybakina

Feb 17, 2024

Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha

H Hard · Final

687
26
Swiatek

Mar 17, 2023

BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells

H Hard · Semifinals

62
62
Rybakina

Jan 22, 2023

Australian Open - Melbourne

H Hard · 4th Round

64
64
Rybakina

Sep 24, 2021

J&T Banka Ostrava Open - Ostrava

H Hard · Quarterfinals

657
26
Swiatek

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeRybakinaSwiatek
1 or more100%64%
3 or more73%7%
5 or more73%7%
10 or more27%0%
15 or more13%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricRybakinaSwiatek
W-L11–310–3
Avg odds1.321.24
ROI %+6.4%-6.7%
Units P/L+0.90u-0.87u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricRybakinaSwiatek
Countries22
Events22
Matches89
Distance411 mi · 662 km411 mi · 662 km
RouteCAN → POLCAN → POL

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Swiatek's 70%).

OpponentRybakinaSwiatek
Jessica Pegula
W
26
63
64
L
57
64
46
Diana Shnaider
W
64
64
W
62
61
Maria Sakkari
W
64
61
W
46
61
61
Taylor Townsend
W
63
64
W
61
26
63
Coco Gauff
W
57
62
62
L
46
26
Elina Svitolina
L
62
46
46
W
63
16
63
Naomi Osaka
W
46
76
64
W
62
61
Marta Kostyuk
W
63
64
W
36
61
62
Daria Kasatkina
W
63
57
64
W
57
61
61
Alexandra Eala
L
57
46
L
67
26

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Rybakina
WWWWWWWW
W

Diana Shnaider

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round

64
64

Aug 20

W

Magdalena Frech

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round

64
762

Aug 17

W

Taylor Townsend

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

63
64

Aug 16

W

Coco Gauff

National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals

57
62
62

Aug 13

W

Naomi Osaka

National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals

46
765
64

Aug 12

W

Liudmila Samsonova

National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round

64
46
64

Aug 9

W

Ann Li

National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round

62
75

Aug 7

W

Daria Kasatkina

National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round

63
57
64

Aug 5

Swiatek
LWWWWWWW
L

Jessica Pegula

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals

57
64
46

Aug 22

W

Diane Parry

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round

63
63

Aug 19

W

Maria Sakkari

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round

46
61
61

Aug 17

W

Emiliana Arango

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

63
60

Aug 16

W

Elina Svitolina

National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals

63
16
63

Aug 13

W

Diana Shnaider

National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals

62
61

Aug 11

W

Marta Kostyuk

National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round

36
61
62

Aug 8

W

Viktorija Golubic

National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round

62
61

Aug 6

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ RybakinaSwiatek ahead↓ Swiatek

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 61–70 matches

MetricRybakinaSwiatek
Matches won81%72%
Sets won73%70%
Games won58%60%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageRybakinaSwiatek
Finals01
Grand Slam21
WTA Finals10
WTA 50012
WTA 100013

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceRybakinaSwiatek
Hard45
Clay11

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Elena Rybakina vs Iga Swiatek FAQ

Iga Swiatek leads the head-to-head 6–5 over 11 meetings.