Iga Swiatek vs Maria SakkariPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇵🇱Iga Swiatek
#9 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
10 meetings · sets 13–9
🇬🇷Maria Sakkari
#35 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
Iga Swiatek and Maria Sakkari have met 10 times since 2021; Iga Swiatek leads 6–4. Their first meeting came at French Open - Paris in 2021 on clay. On hard courts Swiatek leads 6–3. Swiatek has won the last 2 meetings. 2 of their meetings have been finals, with Swiatek leading those 2–0. Across all meetings Swiatek has taken 13 sets to Sakkari's 9. Their most recent meeting: Iga Swiatek won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Swiatek | Sakkari | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Iga Swiatek | Maria Sakkari | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 79% | 33/42 | 67% | 16/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 63% | 10/16 | 29% | 6/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 19/58 | 31% | 14/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 32/56 | 52% | 12/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/1 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 6/9 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 37/43 | 79% | 19/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 33/43 | 67% | 16/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 8 of 10 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Swiatek 5, Sakkari 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Swiatek
👑 The Complete Package
Sakkari
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 2,084 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Iga Swiatek.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
10 career meetings, newest first
Aug 17, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 3rd Round
Mar 9, 2026
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 3rd Round
Feb 12, 2026
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Feb 10, 2025
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · 2nd Round
Mar 17, 2024
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · Final
Mar 20, 2022
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · Final
Feb 25, 2022
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · Semifinals
Nov 11, 2021
WTA Finals - Guadalajara
H Hard · Round Robin
Sep 25, 2021
J&T Banka Ostrava Open - Ostrava
H Hard · Semifinals
Jun 9, 2021
French Open - Paris
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Swiatek | Sakkari | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Iga Swiatek | Maria Sakkari | ||
| 1 or more | 77% | 13/17 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 54% | 7/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Swiatek | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–3 | 7–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.22 | 2.23 |
| ROI % | +1.3% | -22.8% |
| Units P/L | +0.24u | -2.96u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Swiatek | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 5 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 2,779 mi · 4,472 km |
| Route | ROU | SGP → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Swiatek has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Sakkari's 11%).
| Opponent | Swiatek | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Elina Svitolina | W 63 16 63 | L 46 57 |
| Qinwen Zheng | L 57 36 | L 64 67 46 |
| Elena Rybakina | W | L 46 16 |
| Coco Gauff | L 46 26 | L 16 46 |
| Karolina Pliskova | W 61 63 | L 46 67 |
| Naomi Osaka | W 62 61 | W 64 62 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 63 46 36 | L 06 46 |
| Karolina Muchova | W 62 60 | L 63 46 16 |
| Daria Kasatkina | W 57 61 61 | L 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Iva Jovic
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Donna Vekic
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Xinyu Gao
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Marie Bouzkova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Nadia Podoroska
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Xiyu Wang
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Elina Svitolina
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Storm Hunter
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Talia Gibson
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Nao Hibino
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Linda Fruhvirtova
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 22
Yuliia Starodubtseva
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Robin Montgomery
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–58 matches
| Metric | Swiatek | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 53% |
| Sets won | 70% | 52% |
| Games won | 60% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Swiatek | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 2 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA Finals | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 6 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Swiatek | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 6 | 3 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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