Iga Swiatek vs Maria SakkariPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇵🇱Iga Swiatek
#8 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
10 meetings · sets 13–9
🇬🇷Maria Sakkari
#33 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
Iga Swiatek and Maria Sakkari have met 10 times since 2021; Iga Swiatek leads 6–4. Their first meeting came at French Open - Paris in 2021 on clay. On hard courts Swiatek leads 6–3. Swiatek has won the last 2 meetings. 2 of their meetings have been finals, with Swiatek leading those 2–0. Across all meetings Swiatek has taken 13 sets to Sakkari's 9. Their most recent meeting: Iga Swiatek won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Swiatek | Sakkari | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Iga Swiatek | Maria Sakkari | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 35/44 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 65% | 11/17 | 23% | 5/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 20/61 | 30% | 13/43 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 34/59 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/1 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 75% | 6/8 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 39/45 | 77% | 17/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 35/45 | 59% | 13/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 8 of 10 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Swiatek 5, Sakkari 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Swiatek
👑 The Complete Package
Sakkari
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 1,830 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Iga Swiatek.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
10 career meetings, newest first
Aug 17, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 3rd Round
Mar 9, 2026
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 3rd Round
Feb 12, 2026
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Feb 10, 2025
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · 2nd Round
Mar 17, 2024
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · Final
Mar 20, 2022
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · Final
Feb 25, 2022
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · Semifinals
Nov 11, 2021
WTA Finals - Guadalajara
H Hard · Round Robin
Sep 25, 2021
J&T Banka Ostrava Open - Ostrava
H Hard · Semifinals
Jun 9, 2021
French Open - Paris
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Swiatek | Sakkari | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Iga Swiatek | Maria Sakkari | ||
| 1 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 86% | 12/14 |
| 3 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 64% | 9/14 |
| 5 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 43% | 6/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Swiatek | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–3 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.24 | 2.26 |
| ROI % | -6.7% | -8.9% |
| Units P/L | -0.87u | -1.25u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Swiatek | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 9 | 4 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Swiatek has a higher win rate against shared opponents (56% vs Sakkari's 11%).
| Opponent | Swiatek | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Coco Gauff | L 46 26 | L 16 46 |
| Barbora Krejcikova | W 60 63 | L 67 36 |
| Jasmine Paolini | L 16 26 | L 16 26 |
| Karolina Pliskova | W 61 63 | L 46 67 |
| Naomi Osaka | W 62 61 | W 64 62 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 57 16 | L 46 16 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 63 46 36 | L 06 46 |
| Karolina Muchova | W 62 60 | L 63 46 16 |
| Daria Kasatkina | W 57 61 61 | L 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Maria Sakkari
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Emiliana Arango
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals
Aug 13
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Viktorija Golubic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Kamilla Rakhimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Coco Gauff
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Zeynep Sonmez
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Barbora Krejcikova
Athens Open - Athens · Final
Jul 19
Alina Korneeva
Athens Open - Athens · Semifinals
Jul 18
Alycia Parks
Athens Open - Athens · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Harriet Dart
Athens Open - Athens · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–61 matches
| Metric | Swiatek | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 49% |
| Sets won | 70% | 47% |
| Games won | 60% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Swiatek | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 2 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA Finals | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 6 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Swiatek | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 6 | 3 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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