Jasmine Paolini vs Maria SakkariPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#20 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
8w6 meetings · sets 6–6
🇬🇷Maria Sakkari
#33 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
Jasmine Paolini and Maria Sakkari have met 6 times since 2021; they are level 3–3. Their first meeting came at French Open - Paris in 2021 on clay. On hard courts Paolini leads 2–1. On clay courts Sakkari leads 2–0. Across all meetings Paolini has taken 6 sets to Sakkari's 6. Their most recent meeting: Jasmine Paolini won at Wimbledon - London (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Paolini | Sakkari | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jasmine Paolini | Maria Sakkari | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 14/26 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 23% | 5/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 17/45 | 30% | 13/43 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 12/33 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 6/12 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 3/8 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 17/21 | 77% | 17/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 14/21 | 59% | 13/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 6 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Paolini 3, Sakkari 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Sakkari
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Jul 4, 2026
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 3rd Round
Feb 10, 2026
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 10, 2025
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 2nd Round
Apr 27, 2025
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 3rd Round
Feb 21, 2024
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jun 3, 2021
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Paolini | Sakkari | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jasmine Paolini | Maria Sakkari | ||
| 1 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 86% | 12/14 |
| 3 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 64% | 9/14 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 43% | 6/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paolini | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–2 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.18 | 2.26 |
| ROI % | +35.3% | -8.9% |
| Units P/L | +2.12u | -1.25u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Paolini | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | — | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 6 shared opponents, both Paolini and Sakkari posted a 33% win rate.
| Opponent | Paolini | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Iga Swiatek | W 61 62 | L 64 16 16 |
| Coco Gauff | L 36 26 | L 16 46 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | L 26 26 | W 63 62 |
| Tatjana Maria | L 46 36 | L 36 36 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 26 | L 46 16 |
| Leolia Jeanjean | W 67 62 64 | W 64 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Robin Montgomery
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tatjana Maria
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Solana Sierra
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Dayana Yastremska
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Kamilla Rakhimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Coco Gauff
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Zeynep Sonmez
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Barbora Krejcikova
Athens Open - Athens · Final
Jul 19
Alina Korneeva
Athens Open - Athens · Semifinals
Jul 18
Alycia Parks
Athens Open - Athens · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Harriet Dart
Athens Open - Athens · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–45 matches
| Metric | Paolini | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 49% |
| Sets won | 53% | 47% |
| Games won | 52% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Paolini | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Paolini | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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