Jasmine Paolini vs Maria SakkariPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#33 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
6 meetings · sets 6–6
🇬🇷Maria Sakkari
#35 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
Jasmine Paolini and Maria Sakkari have met 6 times since 2021; they are level 3–3. Their first meeting came at French Open - Paris in 2021 on clay. On hard courts Paolini leads 2–1. On clay courts Sakkari leads 2–0. Across all meetings Paolini has taken 6 sets to Sakkari's 6. Their most recent meeting: Jasmine Paolini won at Wimbledon - London (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Paolini | Sakkari | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jasmine Paolini | Maria Sakkari | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 10/20 | 67% | 16/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 5/19 | 32% | 7/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 15/39 | 33% | 15/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 10/30 | 52% | 12/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 33% | 3/9 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 14% | 1/7 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 14/18 | 76% | 19/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 10/18 | 64% | 16/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 6 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Paolini 3, Sakkari 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Sakkari
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 728 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Jul 4, 2026
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 3rd Round
Feb 10, 2026
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 10, 2025
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 2nd Round
Apr 27, 2025
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 3rd Round
Feb 21, 2024
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jun 3, 2021
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paolini | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–2 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.66 | 2.17 |
| ROI % | -36.5% | -19.2% |
| Units P/L | -1.46u | -2.69u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Paolini | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 5 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 2,779 mi · 4,472 km |
| Route | ROU | SGP → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sakkari has a higher win rate against shared opponents (43% vs Paolini's 29%).
| Opponent | Paolini | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Talia Gibson | L 57 62 16 | L 16 64 26 |
| Robin Montgomery | W 06 64 75 | W 26 75 62 |
| Coco Gauff | L 36 26 | L 16 46 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | L 26 26 | W 63 62 |
| Tatjana Maria | L 46 36 | L 36 36 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 26 | L 46 16 |
| Leolia Jeanjean | W 67 62 64 | W 64 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daria Snigur
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Lucrezia Stefanini
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Veronika Erjavec
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Elina Svitolina
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Storm Hunter
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Talia Gibson
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Nao Hibino
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Linda Fruhvirtova
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 22
Yuliia Starodubtseva
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Robin Montgomery
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–46 matches
| Metric | Paolini | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 52% |
| Sets won | 48% | 51% |
| Games won | 50% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Paolini | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Paolini | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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