🇧🇾Aryna Sabalenka
#1 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
7 meetings · sets 13–2
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#13 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
Aryna Sabalenka and Jasmine Paolini have met 7 times since 2020; Aryna Sabalenka leads 6–1. Their most recent meeting: Aryna Sabalenka won at Riyadh Finals (2025).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,602 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
7 career meetings, newest first
Nov 1, 2025
Riyadh Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Apr 14, 2025
Stuttgart
C Clay · Semifinals
Mar 18, 2025
Miami
H Hard · Semifinals
Nov 4, 2024
Riyadh Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Oct 2, 2023
Beijing
H Hard · Round of 16
Mar 7, 2022
Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 64
Nov 9, 2020
Linz
H Hard · Round of 32
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sabalenka | Paolini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aryna Sabalenka | Jasmine Paolini | ||
| 1 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 60% | 3/5 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 2/6 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/5 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–4 | 5–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.46 | 1.61 |
| ROI % | -19.9% | -28.0% |
| Units P/L | -3.19u | -2.80u |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Paolini's 30%).
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Barbora Krejcikova | W 62 63 | W 61 62 |
| Elise Mertens | W 64 76 | L 64 67 36 |
| Hailey Baptiste | L 62 26 67 | L 57 36 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 46 62 64 | W 36 62 64 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 64 63 | L 36 26 |
| Coco Gauff | W 62 46 63 | L 36 26 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 76 76 | W 67 62 63 |
| Cristina Bucsa | W 60 61 | L 57 46 |
| Iva Jovic | W 63 60 | L 26 67 |
| Amanda Anisimova | W 63 36 63 | L 76 36 46 |
Last five matches per player
Diana Shnaider
French Open ·
Jun 3
Naomi Osaka
French Open ·
Jun 1
Daria Kasatkina
French Open ·
May 30
Elsa Jacquemot
French Open ·
May 28
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
French Open ·
May 26
Daria Kasatkina
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 25
Elsa Jacquemot
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 25
Sandy Sierra
French Open ·
May 27
Solana Sierra
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Solana Sierra
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 25
Dayana Yastremska
French Open ·
May 25
Dayana Yastremska
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Dayana Yastremska
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Leolia Jeanjean
Rome · Round of 64
May 5
Elise Mertens
Rome · Round of 32
May 5
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–61 matches
| Metric | Sabalenka | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 87% | 56% |
| Sets won | 82% | 54% |
| Games won | 60% | 52% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sabalenka | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| WTA Finals | 2 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 1 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sabalenka | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 5 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
