Amanda Anisimova vs Aryna SabalenkaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Amanda Anisimova
#17 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
6w11 meetings · sets 14–13
🇧🇾Aryna Sabalenka
#2 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Amanda Anisimova and Aryna Sabalenka have met 11 times since 2019; Amanda Anisimova leads 6–5. Their first meeting came at Australian Open in 2019 on hard. On clay courts Anisimova leads 3–2. On hard courts Sabalenka leads 3–2. Sabalenka has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Sabalenka leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Anisimova has taken 14 sets to Sabalenka's 13. Their most recent meeting: Aryna Sabalenka won at WTA Finals - Riyadh (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Anisimova | Sabalenka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Amanda Anisimova | Aryna Sabalenka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 15/24 | 86% | 44/51 |
| Wins a set when losing | 46% | 6/13 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 15/37 | 23% | 14/62 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 12/27 | 70% | 42/60 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 6/8 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 4/8 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 18/20 | 94% | 48/51 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 15/20 | 86% | 44/51 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 6 of 11 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Anisimova 3, Sabalenka 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Anisimova
👑 The Complete Package
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
11 career meetings, newest first
Nov 7, 2025
WTA Finals - Riyadh
H Hard · Semifinals
Sep 6, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · Final
Jul 10, 2025
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · Semifinals
Jun 1, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 4th Round
Aug 10, 2024
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 21, 2024
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 4th Round
May 13, 2022
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Apr 28, 2022
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 1st Round
Apr 7, 2022
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston
C Clay · 3rd Round
May 29, 2019
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 64
Jan 16, 2019
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Anisimova | Sabalenka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Amanda Anisimova | Aryna Sabalenka | ||
| 1 or more | 78% | 7/9 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 3 or more | 56% | 5/9 | 87% | 13/15 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 67% | 10/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 27% | 4/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Anisimova | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–3 | 10–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.59 | 1.17 |
| ROI % | -2.6% | -18.6% |
| Units P/L | -0.23u | -2.61u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Anisimova | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sabalenka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Anisimova's 40%).
| Opponent | Anisimova | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Nikola Bartunkova | W 36 60 64 | L 46 36 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 16 | L 46 75 26 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 46 62 67 | W 75 62 |
| Linda Noskova | W 61 64 | W 76 36 76 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 26 57 | W 76 76 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 26 46 | W 62 63 |
| Madison Keys | L 63 26 36 | W 63 63 |
| Iva Jovic | L 26 63 36 | W 63 60 |
| Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah | W 63 61 | W 64 61 |
| Peyton Stearns | W 61 64 | W 75 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Anastasia Potapova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Lilli Tagger
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Ashlyn Krueger
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Linda Noskova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Alexandra Eala
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Nikola Bartunkova
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Renata Zarazua
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · Final
Sep 12
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 10
Linda Noskova
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Taylor Townsend
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Kamilla Rakhimova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Polina Iatcenko
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–62 matches
| Metric | Anisimova | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 82% |
| Sets won | 61% | 79% |
| Games won | 55% | 59% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Anisimova | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 3 | 3 |
| WTA Finals | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Anisimova | Sabalenka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 3 |
| Clay | 3 | 2 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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