Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco GauffPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇾Aryna Sabalenka
#1 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
13 meetings · sets 18–15
🇺🇸Coco Gauff
#4 · 22 yrs · Right-Handed
6TitleAryna Sabalenka and Coco Gauff have met 13 times since 2020; Aryna Sabalenka leads 7–6. Their first meeting came at The Top Seed Open - Lexington in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Sabalenka leads 6–4. On clay courts Gauff leads 2–1. Sabalenka has won the last 2 meetings. 4 of their meetings have been finals, split 2–2. Across all meetings Sabalenka has taken 18 sets to Gauff's 15. Their most recent meeting: Aryna Sabalenka won at Miami Open - Miami (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sabalenka | Gauff | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aryna Sabalenka | Coco Gauff | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 84% | 42/50 | 63% | 33/52 |
| Wins a set when losing | 70% | 7/10 | 69% | 11/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 15/60 | 44% | 30/68 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 69% | 41/59 | 54% | 32/59 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 88% | 7/8 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 12/19 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 45/49 | 93% | 40/43 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 42/49 | 77% | 33/43 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 6 of 13 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sabalenka 4, Gauff 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Gauff
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
13 career meetings, newest first
Mar 28, 2026
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · Final
Nov 6, 2025
WTA Finals - Riyadh
H Hard · Round Robin
Jun 7, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay · Final
May 3, 2025
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · Final
Nov 8, 2024
WTA Finals - Riyadh
H Hard · Semifinals
Oct 12, 2024
Wuhan Open - Wuhan
H Hard · Semifinals
Jan 25, 2024
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · Semifinals
Sep 9, 2023
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · Final
Mar 15, 2023
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 11, 2022
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard · 3rd Round
May 13, 2021
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 3rd Round
Oct 22, 2020
J&T Banka Ostrava Open - Ostrava
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 12, 2020
The Top Seed Open - Lexington
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sabalenka | Gauff | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aryna Sabalenka | Coco Gauff | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 77% | 13/17 |
| 5 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 41% | 7/17 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 3/15 | 18% | 3/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Gauff |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | 14–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.16 | 1.44 |
| ROI % | -23.4% | +14.3% |
| Units P/L | -3.75u | +2.44u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Gauff |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 10 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Sabalenka and Gauff posted a 70% win rate.
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Gauff |
|---|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula | L 46 76 06 | W 62 64 |
| Sara Bejlek | L 67 46 | W 64 61 |
| Marta Kostyuk | W 64 63 | W 62 62 |
| Ann Li | W 76 64 | W 61 76 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 63 62 | W 26 64 61 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 64 63 | L 75 26 26 |
| Shuai Zhang | W 63 64 | W 63 62 |
| Moyuka Uchijima | W 63 63 | W 61 60 |
| Karolina Muchova | W 63 64 | L 26 61 67 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 26 67 | L 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Xinyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Talia Gibson
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ekaterina Alexandrova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Moyuka Uchijima
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Jelena Ostapenko
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Marta Kostyuk
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Marie Bouzkova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Ann Li
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Liudmila Samsonova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals
Aug 13
Alina Korneeva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 60–68 matches
| Metric | Sabalenka | Gauff |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 83% | 76% |
| Sets won | 79% | 69% |
| Games won | 59% | 58% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sabalenka | Gauff |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 2 | 2 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 2 |
| WTA Finals | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 4 | 2 |
| Other | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sabalenka | Gauff |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 6 | 4 |
| Clay | 1 | 2 |
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