Aryna Sabalenka vs Coco GauffPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇾Aryna Sabalenka
#2 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
13 meetings · sets 18–15
🇺🇸Coco Gauff
#5 · 22 yrs · Right-Handed
Aryna Sabalenka and Coco Gauff have met 13 times since 2020; Aryna Sabalenka leads 7–6. Their first meeting came at The Top Seed Open - Lexington in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Sabalenka leads 6–4. On clay courts Gauff leads 2–1. Sabalenka has won the last 2 meetings. 4 of their meetings have been finals, split 2–2. Across all meetings Sabalenka has taken 18 sets to Gauff's 15. Their most recent meeting: Aryna Sabalenka won at Miami Open - Miami (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sabalenka | Gauff | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Aryna Sabalenka | Coco Gauff | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 86% | 44/51 | 61% | 30/49 |
| Wins a set when losing | 64% | 7/11 | 75% | 12/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 14/62 | 48% | 31/65 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 70% | 42/60 | 53% | 29/55 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 89% | 8/9 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 68% | 13/19 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 48/51 | 90% | 37/41 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 44/51 | 73% | 30/41 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 6 of 13 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sabalenka 4, Gauff 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Gauff
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
13 career meetings, newest first
Mar 28, 2026
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · Final
Nov 6, 2025
WTA Finals - Riyadh
H Hard · Round Robin
Jun 7, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay · Final
May 3, 2025
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · Final
Nov 8, 2024
WTA Finals - Riyadh
H Hard · Semifinals
Oct 12, 2024
Wuhan Open - Wuhan
H Hard · Semifinals
Jan 25, 2024
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · Semifinals
Sep 9, 2023
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · Final
Mar 15, 2023
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 11, 2022
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard · 3rd Round
May 13, 2021
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 3rd Round
Oct 22, 2020
J&T Banka Ostrava Open - Ostrava
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 12, 2020
The Top Seed Open - Lexington
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sabalenka | Gauff | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aryna Sabalenka | Coco Gauff | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 100% | 19/19 |
| 3 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 74% | 14/19 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 10/15 | 37% | 7/19 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 4/15 | 5% | 1/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Gauff |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–4 | 16–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.17 | 1.30 |
| ROI % | -18.6% | +4.6% |
| Units P/L | -2.61u | +0.88u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Gauff |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 2 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ROU | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Sabalenka and Gauff posted a 80% win rate.
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Gauff |
|---|---|---|
| Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano | W 62 64 | W 76 46 62 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 46 75 26 | L 63 46 46 |
| Jessica Pegula | W 75 62 | W 62 64 |
| Linda Noskova | W 76 36 76 | L 46 61 67 |
| Iva Jovic | W 63 60 | W 61 64 |
| Taylor Townsend | W 64 63 | W 64 60 |
| Cristina Bucsa | W 60 61 | W 63 64 |
| Kamilla Rakhimova | W 63 64 | W 63 76 |
| Sara Bejlek | L 67 46 | W 64 61 |
| Marta Kostyuk | W 64 63 | W 62 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nikola Bartunkova
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Renata Zarazua
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · Final
Sep 12
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 10
Linda Noskova
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Taylor Townsend
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Kamilla Rakhimova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Polina Iatcenko
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Xinran Sun
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Mirra Andreeva
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Iva Jovic
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 8
Cristina Bucsa
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Paula Badosa
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 62–65 matches
| Metric | Sabalenka | Gauff |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 82% | 75% |
| Sets won | 79% | 68% |
| Games won | 59% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sabalenka | Gauff |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 2 | 2 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 2 |
| WTA Finals | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 4 | 2 |
| Other | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sabalenka | Gauff |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 6 | 4 |
| Clay | 1 | 2 |
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