🇧🇾Aryna Sabalenka
#1 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
12 meetings · sets 20–8
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#5 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
Aryna Sabalenka and Jessica Pegula have met 12 times since 2020; Aryna Sabalenka leads 9–3. Their most recent meeting: Aryna Sabalenka won at Riyadh Finals (2025).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sabalenka
💥 Big Hitter
Pegula
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 57% vs 💥 Big Hitter across 4,211 matches in our dataset — a stylistic lean toward Jessica Pegula.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the big hitter's power groundstrokes.
12 career meetings, newest first
Nov 1, 2025
Riyadh Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Oct 6, 2025
Wuhan
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 25, 2025
Us Open
H Hard · Semifinals
Mar 18, 2025
Miami
H Hard · Final
Aug 26, 2024
Us Open
H Hard · Final
Aug 12, 2024
Cincinnati
H Hard · Final
Oct 30, 2023
Cancun Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Oct 31, 2022
Fort Worth Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
May 9, 2022
Rome
C Clay · Round of 16
Apr 29, 2021
Madrid
C Clay · Round of 16
Sep 28, 2020
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 128
Aug 24, 2020
Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 16
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sabalenka | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Aryna Sabalenka | Jessica Pegula | ||
| 1 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 55% | 6/11 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 2/6 | 9% | 1/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/11 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sabalenka | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–4 | 10–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.46 | 1.44 |
| ROI % | -19.9% | -7.8% |
| Units P/L | -3.19u | -1.17u |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Sabalenka and Pegula posted a 80% win rate.
| Opponent | Sabalenka | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Diana Shnaider | L | W 36 63 62 |
| Barbora Krejcikova | W 62 63 | W 63 63 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 76 76 | W 76 62 |
| Rebeka Masarova | W 75 61 | W 60 60 |
| Hailey Baptiste | L 62 26 67 | W 64 46 76 |
| Jaqueline Cristian | W 61 64 | W 64 61 |
| Marta Kostyuk | W 64 63 | L 16 46 |
| Iva Jovic | W 63 60 | W 64 57 63 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 64 63 | L 62 36 46 |
| Coco Gauff | W 62 46 63 | W 63 67 62 |
Last five matches per player
Diana Shnaider
French Open ·
Jun 3
Naomi Osaka
French Open ·
Jun 1
Daria Kasatkina
French Open ·
May 30
Elsa Jacquemot
French Open ·
May 28
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
French Open ·
May 26
Daria Kasatkina
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 25
Elsa Jacquemot
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 25
Katerina Siniakova
Berlin ·
Jun 17
Kimberly Birrell
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Kimberly Birrell
French Open ·
May 26
Kimberly Birrell
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Iga Swiatek
Rome WTA ·
May 13
Zeynep Sonmez
Rome · Round of 64
May 5
Iga Swiatek
Rome · Quarterfinals
May 5
Rebeka Masarova
Rome · Round of 32
May 5
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 61–65 matches
| Metric | Sabalenka | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 87% | 74% |
| Sets won | 82% | 66% |
| Games won | 60% | 57% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sabalenka | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 3 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 3 | 0 |
| WTA Finals | 2 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 4 | 2 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sabalenka | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 6 | 3 |
| Clay | 3 | 0 |
