Emma Navarro vs Jessica PegulaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈEmma Navarro
#27 Β· 25 yrs Β· Right-Handed
5w5 meetings Β· sets 3β10

πΊπΈJessica Pegula
#4 Β· 32 yrs Β· Right-Handed
5wEmma Navarro and Jessica Pegula have met 5 times since 2024; Jessica Pegula leads 5β0. Their first meeting came at Miami Open - Miami in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Pegula leads 4β0. Pegula has won the last 5 meetings. Across all meetings Navarro has taken 3 sets to Pegula's 10. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Navarro | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Emma Navarro | Jessica Pegula | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 14/25 | 61% | 31/51 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 10/20 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 47% | 21/45 | 41% | 27/66 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 10/27 | 55% | 29/53 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 12/17 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 6/12 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 19/22 | 89% | 39/44 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 14/22 | 70% | 31/44 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Navarro 0, Pegula 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Navarro
π₯ Big Hitter
Pegula
π The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
π₯ Big Hitter vs π The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Sep 9, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 18, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard Β· 3rd Round
Oct 3, 2025
China Open - Beijing
H Hard Β· Quarterfinals
Jun 26, 2025
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg
G Grass Β· Quarterfinals
Mar 25, 2024
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard Β· 4th Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Navarro | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Emma Navarro | Jessica Pegula | ||
| 1 or more | 90% | 9/10 | 95% | 18/19 |
| 3 or more | 90% | 9/10 | 90% | 17/19 |
| 5 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 37% | 7/19 |
| 10 or more | 30% | 3/10 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 15 or more | 20% | 2/10 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Navarro | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6β4 | 14β4 |
| Avg odds | 2.41 | 1.48 |
| ROI % | +21.7% | +4.8% |
| Units P/L | +2.17u | +0.86u |
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Navarro's 50%).
| Opponent | Navarro | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Anna Kalinskaya | W 64 62 | W 63 75 |
| Sofia Kenin | W 60 75 | W 63 61 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | L 46 26 | W 63 62 |
| Iga Swiatek | W 75 26 63 | W 75 46 64 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 36 36 | L 36 36 |
| Elisabetta Cocciaretto | L 36 64 36 | W 16 61 76 |
| Iva Jovic | L 06 36 | W 46 63 61 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 26 64 16 | L 16 46 |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | W 76 62 | W 61 63 |
| Oksana Selekhmeteva | W 36 64 61 | W 63 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York Β· Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Anna Kalinskaya
U.S. Open - New York Β· 4th Round
Sep 7
Karolina Muchova
U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round
Sep 4
Caty Mcnally
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Sep 2
Lois Boisson
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Aug 31
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 18
Anhelina Kalinina
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Alina Korneeva
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 2nd Round
Aug 5
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York Β· Semifinals
Sep 10
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York Β· Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York Β· 4th Round
Sep 7
Leylah Fernandez
U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round
Sep 4
Sofia Kenin
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Sep 2
Elena Gabriela Ruse
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Aug 30
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Semifinals
Aug 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 45β66 matches
| Metric | Navarro | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 77% |
| Sets won | 54% | 69% |
| Games won | 51% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Navarro | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Navarro | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 4 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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