Emma Navarro vs Jessica PegulaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Emma Navarro
#27 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 2–8
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#3 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
Emma Navarro and Jessica Pegula have met 4 times since 2024; Jessica Pegula leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Miami Open - Miami in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Pegula leads 3–0. Pegula has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Navarro has taken 2 sets to Pegula's 8. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Navarro | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Emma Navarro | Jessica Pegula | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 13/25 | 54% | 31/57 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 11/22 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 23/47 | 46% | 35/76 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 11/30 | 50% | 30/60 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 11/16 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 8/13 | 63% | 12/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 19/22 | 88% | 42/48 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 59% | 13/22 | 65% | 31/48 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Navarro 0, Pegula 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Navarro
🤖 Servebot
Pegula
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Aug 18, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 3rd Round
Oct 3, 2025
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jun 26, 2025
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Mar 25, 2024
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 4th Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Navarro | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Emma Navarro | Jessica Pegula | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 16/17 | 95% | 20/21 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 76% | 16/21 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 33% | 7/21 |
| 10 or more | 24% | 4/17 | 5% | 1/21 |
| 15 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Navarro | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–6 | 17–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.86 | 1.48 |
| ROI % | +0.2% | +10.4% |
| Units P/L | +0.03u | +2.29u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Navarro | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 12 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 761 mi · 1,225 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | AUT → CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Navarro's 50%).
| Opponent | Navarro | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Iga Swiatek | W 75 26 63 | W 75 46 64 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 36 36 | L 36 36 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | L 57 62 26 | W 63 75 |
| Elisabetta Cocciaretto | L 36 64 36 | W 16 61 76 |
| Iva Jovic | L 06 36 | W 46 63 61 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 26 64 16 | L 16 46 |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | W 76 62 | W 61 63 |
| Oksana Selekhmeteva | W 36 64 61 | W 63 62 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 64 67 64 | W 62 62 |
| Ann Li | W 61 63 | W 61 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Anhelina Kalinina
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Alina Korneeva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Sofia Kenin
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Oksana Selekhmeteva
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Paula Badosa
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Amanda Anisimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Sorana Cirstea
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Emma Navarro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Simona Waltert
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Kamilla Rakhimova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–76 matches
| Metric | Navarro | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 75% |
| Sets won | 52% | 66% |
| Games won | 50% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Navarro | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Navarro | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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