Anna Kalinskaya vs Jessica PegulaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Anna Kalinskaya
#22 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
6 meetings · sets 6–11
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#3 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
Anna Kalinskaya and Jessica Pegula have met 6 times since 2019; Jessica Pegula leads 5–1. Their first meeting came at Washington in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Pegula leads 4–0. Pegula has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Pegula leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Kalinskaya has taken 6 sets to Pegula's 11. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at Mubadala DC Open - Washington (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kalinskaya | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anna Kalinskaya | Jessica Pegula | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 19/29 | 54% | 31/57 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 8/19 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 18/48 | 46% | 35/76 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 15/28 | 50% | 30/60 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 11/19 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 10/15 | 63% | 12/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 96% | 26/27 | 88% | 42/48 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 19/27 | 65% | 31/48 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kalinskaya 0, Pegula 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kalinskaya
💥 Big Hitter
Pegula
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Anna Kalinskaya and Jessica Pegula are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,096 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Jul 31, 2026
Mubadala DC Open - Washington
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 7, 2026
Brisbane International - Brisbane
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 21, 2025
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg
C Clay · 2nd Round
Mar 23, 2025
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jun 23, 2024
Berlin Ladies Open - Berlin
G Grass · Final
Aug 3, 2019
Washington
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kalinskaya | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Anna Kalinskaya | Jessica Pegula | ||
| 1 or more | 85% | 11/13 | 95% | 20/21 |
| 3 or more | 69% | 9/13 | 76% | 16/21 |
| 5 or more | 39% | 5/13 | 33% | 7/21 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 5% | 1/21 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kalinskaya | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 17–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.24 | 1.48 |
| ROI % | -0.8% | +10.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.11u | +2.29u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kalinskaya | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 12 |
| Distance | 761 mi · 1,225 km | 761 mi · 1,225 km |
| Route | AUT → CAN → POL | AUT → CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Kalinskaya's 50%).
| Opponent | Kalinskaya | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Coco Gauff | L 46 46 | L 26 46 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 16 61 16 | W 75 46 64 |
| Emma Navarro | W 75 26 62 | W 75 62 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 36 36 | L 36 36 |
| Kamilla Rakhimova | W 64 64 | W 64 60 |
| Mccartney Kessler | W 62 67 64 | W 60 62 |
| Magdalena Frech | W 76 64 | W 36 63 62 |
| Iva Jovic | L 36 46 | W 46 63 61 |
| Belinda Bencic | L 46 64 67 | W 63 76 |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | W 62 61 | W 61 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Caty Mcnally
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Mccartney Kessler
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Jessica Pegula
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Janice Tjen
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Daria Kasatkina
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Belinda Bencic
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Diane Parry
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Amanda Anisimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Sorana Cirstea
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Emma Navarro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Simona Waltert
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Kamilla Rakhimova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–76 matches
| Metric | Kalinskaya | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 75% |
| Sets won | 58% | 66% |
| Games won | 52% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kalinskaya | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 4 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kalinskaya | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 4 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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