Anna Kalinskaya vs Jessica PegulaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Anna Kalinskaya
#21 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
6 meetings · sets 6–11
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#4 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
5wAnna Kalinskaya and Jessica Pegula have met 6 times since 2019; Jessica Pegula leads 5–1. Their first meeting came at Washington in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Pegula leads 4–0. Pegula has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Pegula leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Kalinskaya has taken 6 sets to Pegula's 11. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at Mubadala DC Open - Washington (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kalinskaya | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anna Kalinskaya | Jessica Pegula | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 20/32 | 61% | 31/51 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 5/16 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 17/48 | 41% | 27/66 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 16/28 | 55% | 29/53 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 12/19 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 10/14 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 97% | 29/30 | 89% | 39/44 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 20/30 | 70% | 31/44 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kalinskaya 0, Pegula 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kalinskaya
💥 Big Hitter
Pegula
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Jul 31, 2026
Mubadala DC Open - Washington
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 7, 2026
Brisbane International - Brisbane
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 21, 2025
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg
C Clay · 2nd Round
Mar 23, 2025
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jun 23, 2024
Berlin Ladies Open - Berlin
G Grass · Final
Aug 3, 2019
Washington
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kalinskaya | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Anna Kalinskaya | Jessica Pegula | ||
| 1 or more | 83% | 10/12 | 95% | 18/19 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 8/12 | 90% | 17/19 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 3/12 | 37% | 7/19 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kalinskaya | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–4 | 14–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.98 | 1.48 |
| ROI % | +9.6% | +4.8% |
| Units P/L | +1.06u | +0.86u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kalinskaya | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | ROU | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Kalinskaya's 40%).
| Opponent | Kalinskaya | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Emma Navarro | L 46 26 | W 36 64 63 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L | W 63 64 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 63 26 63 | W 62 64 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | L 57 26 | W 63 62 |
| Coco Gauff | L 46 46 | L 26 46 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 16 61 16 | W 75 46 64 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 36 36 | L 36 36 |
| Kamilla Rakhimova | W 64 64 | W 64 60 |
| Mccartney Kessler | W 62 67 64 | W 60 62 |
| Magdalena Frech | W 76 64 | W 36 63 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Elina Svitolina
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Xinyu Wang
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Xin Yu Wang
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Anna Blinkova
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Sorana Cirstea
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Caty Mcnally
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 10
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Leylah Fernandez
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Sofia Kenin
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Elena Gabriela Ruse
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–66 matches
| Metric | Kalinskaya | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 77% |
| Sets won | 61% | 69% |
| Games won | 53% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kalinskaya | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 4 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kalinskaya | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 4 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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