Anna Kalinskaya vs Iga SwiatekPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Anna Kalinskaya
#21 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 3–6
🇵🇱Iga Swiatek
#9 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
Anna Kalinskaya and Iga Swiatek have met 4 times since 2024; Iga Swiatek leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Swiatek leads 3–1. Swiatek has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Kalinskaya has taken 3 sets to Swiatek's 6. Their most recent meeting: Iga Swiatek won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kalinskaya | Swiatek | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anna Kalinskaya | Iga Swiatek | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 20/32 | 79% | 33/42 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 5/16 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 17/48 | 33% | 19/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 16/28 | 57% | 32/56 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 12/19 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 10/14 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 97% | 29/30 | 86% | 37/43 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 20/30 | 77% | 33/43 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kalinskaya 1, Swiatek 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kalinskaya
💥 Big Hitter
Swiatek
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jan 24, 2026
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 30, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 15, 2025
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Feb 23, 2024
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kalinskaya | Swiatek | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Anna Kalinskaya | Iga Swiatek | ||
| 1 or more | 83% | 10/12 | 77% | 13/17 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 8/12 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 3/12 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kalinskaya | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–4 | 15–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.98 | 1.22 |
| ROI % | +9.6% | +1.3% |
| Units P/L | +1.06u | +0.24u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kalinskaya | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 1 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ROU | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Swiatek has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Kalinskaya's 50%).
| Opponent | Kalinskaya | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Iva Jovic | L 36 46 | W 61 63 |
| Qinwen Zheng | L | L 57 36 |
| Emma Navarro | L 46 26 | L 57 62 36 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 63 26 63 | W 63 16 63 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 36 57 | L 57 64 46 |
| Diane Parry | W 64 36 76 | W 63 63 |
| Caty Mcnally | W 63 64 | W 61 67 63 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 36 36 | W 62 61 |
| Janice Tjen | W 16 63 76 | W 60 63 |
| Daria Kasatkina | W 64 61 | W 57 61 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Elina Svitolina
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Xinyu Wang
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Xin Yu Wang
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Anna Blinkova
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Sorana Cirstea
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Caty Mcnally
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Iva Jovic
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Donna Vekic
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Xinyu Gao
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Marie Bouzkova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Nadia Podoroska
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Xiyu Wang
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–58 matches
| Metric | Kalinskaya | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 72% |
| Sets won | 61% | 70% |
| Games won | 53% | 60% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kalinskaya | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kalinskaya | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.