Anna Kalinskaya vs Iga SwiatekPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Anna Kalinskaya
#22 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 3–6
🇵🇱Iga Swiatek
#8 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
Anna Kalinskaya and Iga Swiatek have met 4 times since 2024; Iga Swiatek leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Swiatek leads 3–1. Swiatek has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Kalinskaya has taken 3 sets to Swiatek's 6. Their most recent meeting: Iga Swiatek won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kalinskaya | Swiatek | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anna Kalinskaya | Iga Swiatek | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 19/29 | 80% | 35/44 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 8/19 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 18/48 | 33% | 20/61 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 15/28 | 58% | 34/59 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 11/19 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 10/15 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 96% | 26/27 | 87% | 39/45 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 19/27 | 78% | 35/45 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kalinskaya 1, Swiatek 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kalinskaya
💥 Big Hitter
Swiatek
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jan 24, 2026
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 30, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 15, 2025
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Feb 23, 2024
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kalinskaya | Swiatek | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Anna Kalinskaya | Iga Swiatek | ||
| 1 or more | 85% | 11/13 | 64% | 9/14 |
| 3 or more | 69% | 9/13 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 5 or more | 39% | 5/13 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kalinskaya | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 10–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.24 | 1.24 |
| ROI % | -0.8% | -6.7% |
| Units P/L | -0.11u | -0.87u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kalinskaya | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 9 |
| Distance | 761 mi · 1,225 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | AUT → CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Swiatek has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Kalinskaya's 60%).
| Opponent | Kalinskaya | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula | L 36 57 | L 57 64 46 |
| Diane Parry | W 64 36 76 | W 63 63 |
| Caty Mcnally | W 63 64 | W 61 67 63 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 64 63 | W 63 16 63 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 36 36 | W 62 61 |
| Janice Tjen | W 16 63 76 | W 60 63 |
| Daria Kasatkina | W 64 61 | W 57 61 61 |
| Belinda Bencic | L 46 64 67 | L 63 06 36 |
| Emma Navarro | W 75 26 62 | L 57 62 36 |
| Karolina Muchova | L 36 46 | W 62 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Caty Mcnally
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Mccartney Kessler
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Jessica Pegula
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Janice Tjen
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Daria Kasatkina
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Belinda Bencic
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Diane Parry
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Maria Sakkari
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Emiliana Arango
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals
Aug 13
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Viktorija Golubic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–61 matches
| Metric | Kalinskaya | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 72% |
| Sets won | 58% | 70% |
| Games won | 52% | 60% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kalinskaya | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kalinskaya | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
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