Anna Kalinskaya vs Jelena OstapenkoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Anna Kalinskaya
#22 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
5 meetings · sets 8–3
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#31 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Anna Kalinskaya and Jelena Ostapenko have met 5 times since 2023; Anna Kalinskaya leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Adelaide International 2 - Adelaide in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Kalinskaya leads 4–0. Across all meetings Kalinskaya has taken 8 sets to Ostapenko's 3. Their most recent meeting: Jelena Ostapenko won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kalinskaya | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anna Kalinskaya | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 19/29 | 68% | 15/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 8/18 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 18/47 | 41% | 16/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 15/28 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 11/18 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 10/14 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 96% | 26/27 | 70% | 16/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 19/27 | 65% | 15/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kalinskaya 3, Ostapenko 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kalinskaya
💥 Big Hitter
Ostapenko
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
May 11, 2026
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 4th Round
Feb 16, 2026
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 23, 2024
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 3rd Round
Feb 21, 2024
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jan 10, 2023
Adelaide International 2 - Adelaide
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kalinskaya | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Anna Kalinskaya | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 9/12 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 5 or more | 42% | 5/12 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kalinskaya | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | 5–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.21 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | -14.3% | -7.7% |
| Units P/L | -1.72u | -0.54u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kalinskaya | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 1 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ostapenko has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Kalinskaya's 50%).
| Opponent | Kalinskaya | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Magdalena Frech | W 76 64 | L 16 36 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 36 57 | L 64 36 26 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | W 64 76 | W 63 60 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | L 57 26 | W 26 62 63 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 64 26 76 | L 64 46 46 |
| Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano | W 63 06 62 | W 63 61 |
| Camila Osorio | W 63 06 62 | W 63 61 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | L 63 16 57 | W 67 63 64 |
| Victoria Mboko | L 46 16 | L 36 26 |
| Rebecca Sramkova | L 26 63 36 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Caty Mcnally
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Mccartney Kessler
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Jessica Pegula
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Janice Tjen
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Daria Kasatkina
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Belinda Bencic
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Diane Parry
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Antonia Ruzic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Harriet Dart
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Zeynep Sonmez
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Panna Udvardy
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Francesca Jones
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Magda Linette
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–47 matches
| Metric | Kalinskaya | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 56% |
| Sets won | 59% | 56% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kalinskaya | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 3 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kalinskaya | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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