Anna Kalinskaya vs Jelena OstapenkoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Anna Kalinskaya
#21 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
5 meetings · sets 8–3
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#34 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Anna Kalinskaya and Jelena Ostapenko have met 5 times since 2023; Anna Kalinskaya leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Adelaide International 2 - Adelaide in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Kalinskaya leads 4–0. Across all meetings Kalinskaya has taken 8 sets to Ostapenko's 3. Their most recent meeting: Jelena Ostapenko won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kalinskaya | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anna Kalinskaya | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 20/32 | 71% | 17/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 5/16 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 17/48 | 40% | 17/42 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 16/28 | 57% | 13/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 12/19 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 10/14 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 97% | 29/30 | 69% | 18/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 20/30 | 65% | 17/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kalinskaya 3, Ostapenko 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kalinskaya
💥 Big Hitter
Ostapenko
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Anna Kalinskaya and Jelena Ostapenko are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,594 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
May 11, 2026
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 4th Round
Feb 16, 2026
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 23, 2024
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 3rd Round
Feb 21, 2024
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jan 10, 2023
Adelaide International 2 - Adelaide
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kalinskaya | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Anna Kalinskaya | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| 1 or more | 83% | 10/12 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 8/12 | 83% | 5/6 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 3/12 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kalinskaya | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–4 | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.98 | 1.89 |
| ROI % | +9.6% | -34.0% |
| Units P/L | +1.06u | -2.04u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kalinskaya | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 592 mi · 952 km |
| Route | ROU | POR → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Kalinskaya and Ostapenko posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Kalinskaya | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Qinwen Zheng | L | W 46 64 64 |
| Paula Badosa | W 64 62 | W 76 75 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | L 63 16 57 | W 64 61 |
| Xin Yu Wang | W 75 26 63 | L 64 46 46 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L | L 16 67 |
| Magdalena Frech | W 76 64 | L 16 36 |
| Shuai Zhang | W 61 61 | L |
| Jessica Pegula | L 36 57 | L 64 36 26 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | W 64 76 | W 63 60 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | L 57 26 | W 26 62 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Elina Svitolina
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Xinyu Wang
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Xin Yu Wang
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Anna Blinkova
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Sorana Cirstea
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Caty Mcnally
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Taylah Preston
Korea Open - Seoul · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Anastasia Zakharova
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 22
Tatjana Maria
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Shuai Zhang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–48 matches
| Metric | Kalinskaya | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 57% |
| Sets won | 61% | 57% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kalinskaya | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 3 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kalinskaya | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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