Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Jelena OstapenkoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Ekaterina Alexandrova
#19 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
9 meetings · sets 8–13
🇱🇻Jelena Ostapenko
#31 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Ekaterina Alexandrova and Jelena Ostapenko have met 9 times since 2018; Jelena Ostapenko leads 6–3. Their first meeting came at Seoul in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Ostapenko leads 5–2. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Ostapenko has won the last 5 meetings. 2 of their meetings have been finals, split 1–1. Across all meetings Alexandrova has taken 8 sets to Ostapenko's 13. Their most recent meeting: Jelena Ostapenko won at Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alexandrova | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ekaterina Alexandrova | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 18/24 | 68% | 15/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 46% | 13/28 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 19/52 | 41% | 16/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 15/34 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 9/15 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 6/14 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 20/25 | 70% | 16/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 18/25 | 65% | 15/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 6 of 9 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alexandrova 2, Ostapenko 4).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alexandrova
🤖 Servebot
Ostapenko
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 1,830 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jelena Ostapenko.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
9 career meetings, newest first
Feb 10, 2026
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · 2nd Round
Apr 20, 2025
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart
C Clay · Semifinals
Feb 4, 2024
Upper Austria Ladies Linz - Linz
H Hard · Final
Jan 12, 2024
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard · Semifinals
Sep 12, 2023
San Diego Open - San Diego
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 25, 2022
Hana Bank Korea Open - Seoul
H Hard · Final
Apr 28, 2022
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 1st Round
Oct 12, 2019
Linz
H Hard · Semifinals
Sep 20, 2018
Seoul
H Hard · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alexandrova | Ostapenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ekaterina Alexandrova | Jelena Ostapenko | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 10/14 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 5 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alexandrova | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–7 | 5–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.34 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | +9.4% | -7.7% |
| Units P/L | +1.32u | -0.54u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alexandrova | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 7 | 1 |
| Distance | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN → POL → AUT | POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Alexandrova and Ostapenko posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Alexandrova | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Sara Bejlek | L 64 16 26 | L 46 36 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | W 76 46 64 | L 46 46 |
| Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano | W 63 76 | W 63 61 |
| Panna Udvardy | W 64 62 | W 36 61 62 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | L 57 64 46 | W 63 60 |
| Mirra Andreeva | W 63 64 | L 75 26 46 |
| Magda Linette | L 26 64 16 | L 26 62 26 |
| Camila Osorio | L 26 46 | W 63 61 |
| Ella Seidel | W 62 63 | W 64 64 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 63 63 | W 64 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Clara Tauson
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Anna Blinkova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Aryna Sabalenka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Talia Gibson
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Iva Jovic
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Antonia Ruzic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Harriet Dart
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Zeynep Sonmez
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Panna Udvardy
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Francesca Jones
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Magda Linette
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–52 matches
| Metric | Alexandrova | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 56% |
| Sets won | 50% | 56% |
| Games won | 50% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alexandrova | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 4 |
| WTA 250 | 2 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alexandrova | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 5 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.