Diana Shnaider vs Ekaterina AlexandrovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Diana Shnaider
#13 · 22 yrs · Left-Handed
4 meetings · sets 3–7
🇷🇺Ekaterina Alexandrova
#24 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
Diana Shnaider and Ekaterina Alexandrova have met 4 times since 2025; Ekaterina Alexandrova leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston in 2025 on clay. On hard courts Alexandrova leads 2–1. Alexandrova has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Shnaider leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Shnaider has taken 3 sets to Alexandrova's 7. Their most recent meeting: Ekaterina Alexandrova won at China Open - Beijing (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shnaider | Alexandrova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Diana Shnaider | Ekaterina Alexandrova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 23/33 | 70% | 16/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 19/55 | 38% | 19/50 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 22/38 | 40% | 12/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 41% | 7/17 | 59% | 10/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 8/17 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 26/30 | 83% | 19/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 23/30 | 70% | 16/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shnaider 0, Alexandrova 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shnaider
🏹 Frontrunner
Alexandrova
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 728 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Oct 4, 2026
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 3rd Round
Oct 18, 2025
Ningbo Open - Ningbo
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 23, 2025
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey
H Hard · Final
Apr 3, 2025
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston
C Clay · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shnaider | Alexandrova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Diana Shnaider | Ekaterina Alexandrova | ||
| 1 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 20% | 3/15 | 79% | 11/14 |
| 5 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 57% | 8/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shnaider | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–5 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.98 | 2.51 |
| ROI % | +9.0% | +37.6% |
| Units P/L | +1.35u | +5.26u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shnaider | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 5 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 654 mi · 1,053 km |
| Route | ROU | ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shnaider has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Alexandrova's 40%).
| Opponent | Shnaider | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Leylah Fernandez | W 63 60 | L 46 63 36 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 36 26 | L 67 67 |
| Karolina Pliskova | W 61 76 | L 16 36 |
| Mccartney Kessler | W 76 61 | W 62 62 |
| Clara Tauson | L 46 46 | L 67 64 36 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 46 46 | L 46 46 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 67 36 | L 63 06 36 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | W 36 75 60 | W 76 46 64 |
| Talia Gibson | W 57 61 61 | W 57 61 63 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 61 62 | W |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ekaterina Alexandrova
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Janice Tjen
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Taylor Townsend
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Karolina Pliskova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Daria Snigur
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Elena Rybakina
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Maja Chwalinska
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Tatjana Maria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Leylah Fernandez
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round
Oct 12
Mirra Andreeva
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 8
Linda Noskova
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 6
Diana Shnaider
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Marta Kostyuk
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Kimberly Birrell
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Mccartney Kessler
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–55 matches
| Metric | Shnaider | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 46% |
| Sets won | 58% | 49% |
| Games won | 54% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shnaider | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 2 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shnaider | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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