Diana Shnaider vs Ekaterina AlexandrovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Diana Shnaider
#16 · 22 yrs · Left-Handed
3 meetings · sets 2–5
🇷🇺Ekaterina Alexandrova
#19 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
Diana Shnaider and Ekaterina Alexandrova have met 3 times since 2025; Ekaterina Alexandrova leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston in 2025 on clay. On hard courts they are level 1–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Shnaider leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Shnaider has taken 2 sets to Alexandrova's 5. Their most recent meeting: Ekaterina Alexandrova won at Ningbo Open - Ningbo (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shnaider | Alexandrova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Diana Shnaider | Ekaterina Alexandrova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 20/31 | 75% | 18/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 7/23 | 46% | 13/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 18/54 | 37% | 19/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 19/36 | 44% | 15/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 39% | 7/18 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 6/15 | 43% | 6/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 23/26 | 80% | 20/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 20/26 | 72% | 18/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shnaider 0, Alexandrova 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shnaider
🏹 Frontrunner
Alexandrova
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 18, 2025
Ningbo Open - Ningbo
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 23, 2025
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey
H Hard · Final
Apr 3, 2025
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston
C Clay · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shnaider | Alexandrova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Diana Shnaider | Ekaterina Alexandrova | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 15/17 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 3 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 71% | 10/14 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 64% | 9/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shnaider | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–7 | 7–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.34 | 2.34 |
| ROI % | +36.8% | +9.4% |
| Units P/L | +6.25u | +1.32u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shnaider | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 10 | 7 |
| Distance | 761 mi · 1,225 km | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km |
| Route | AUT → CAN → POL | CAN → POL → AUT |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Shnaider and Alexandrova posted a 30% win rate.
| Opponent | Shnaider | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Clara Tauson | L 46 46 | L 67 64 36 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 46 46 | L 46 46 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 26 16 | L 61 67 57 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 67 36 | L 63 06 36 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | W 36 75 60 | W 76 46 64 |
| Jessica Pegula | W 63 63 | L 57 63 36 |
| Talia Gibson | W 57 61 61 | W 57 61 63 |
| Iva Jovic | L 46 61 06 | L 36 63 46 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 16 26 | L 26 26 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 36 26 | W 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elena Rybakina
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Maja Chwalinska
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Tatjana Maria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Iga Swiatek
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Jessica Pegula
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Anna Kalinskaya
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Rebecca Sramkova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Jessica Pegula
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Semifinals
Aug 1
Clara Tauson
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Anna Blinkova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Aryna Sabalenka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Talia Gibson
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Iva Jovic
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–54 matches
| Metric | Shnaider | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 46% |
| Sets won | 55% | 50% |
| Games won | 53% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shnaider | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shnaider | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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