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Head-to-Head

Diana Shnaider vs Jessica PegulaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Diana Shnaider

🇷🇺Diana Shnaider

#13 · 22 yrs · Left-Handed

1–4

5 meetings · sets 3–8

Jessica Pegula

🇺🇸Jessica Pegula

#4 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed

5w

Diana Shnaider and Jessica Pegula have met 5 times since 2024; Jessica Pegula leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at National Bank Open - Toronto in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Pegula leads 3–1. Across all meetings Shnaider has taken 3 sets to Pegula's 8. Their most recent meeting: Diana Shnaider won at National Bank Open - Toronto (2026).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorShnaiderPegula
Wins in straight sets70%61%
Wins a set when losing41%47%
Goes to a deciding set35%41%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite58%55%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog41%58%
Tiebreak sets won47%69%
Wins after taking set 187%89%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 177%70%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shnaider 1, Pegula 3).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Shnaider

🏹 Frontrunner

Fast startsAggressive openersMomentum-drivenStrong holds
vs

Pegula

👑 The Complete Package

Elite serve & returnHigh BP conversionAll-surface dominanceClutch performer

Matchup analysis

🏹 Frontrunner vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 978 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

5 career meetings, newest first

Aug 8, 2026

National Bank Open - Toronto

H Hard · 4th Round

63
63
Shnaider

Aug 1, 2026

Mubadala DC Open - Washington

H Hard · Semifinals

57
46
Pegula

Apr 3, 2026

Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston

C Clay · Quarterfinals

63
36
26
Pegula

Sep 2, 2024

U.S. Open - New York

H Hard · 4th Round

46
26
Pegula

Aug 11, 2024

National Bank Open - Toronto

H Hard · Semifinals

46
36
Pegula

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeShnaiderPegula
1 or more87%95%
3 or more20%90%
5 or more7%37%
10 or more0%0%
15 or more0%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricShnaiderPegula
W-L10–514–4
Avg odds1.981.48
ROI %+9.0%+4.8%
Units P/L+1.35u+0.86u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricShnaiderPegula
Countries1—
Events1—
Matches2—
Distance0 mi · 0 km—
RouteROU—

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Shnaider's 60%).

OpponentShnaiderPegula
Aryna Sabalenka
W
36
75
60
L
57
26
Emma Navarro
W
63
63
W
36
64
63
Sorana Cirstea
L
26
67
W
63
64
Leylah Fernandez
W
63
60
W
16
64
63
Iga Swiatek
L
26
16
W
75
46
64
Elena Rybakina
L
46
46
L
62
36
46
Anna Kalinskaya
W
63
63
W
63
75
Liudmila Samsonova
W
63
64
W
63
76
Anastasia Potapova
W
61
62
W
76
62
Iva Jovic
L
46
61
06
W
46
63
61

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Shnaider
LWLWWLWW
L

Ekaterina Alexandrova

China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round

63
46
36

Oct 4

W

Janice Tjen

China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round

60
64

Oct 2

L

Taylor Townsend

U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round

26
763
36

Sep 4

W

Karolina Pliskova

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round

61
764

Sep 2

W

Daria Snigur

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

60
64

Aug 31

L

Elena Rybakina

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round

46
46

Aug 20

W

Maja Chwalinska

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round

62
763

Aug 17

W

Tatjana Maria

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

62
75

Aug 15

Pegula
LWWWWWLW
L

Aryna Sabalenka

U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals

57
26

Sep 10

W

Emma Navarro

U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals

36
64
63

Sep 9

W

Sorana Cirstea

U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round

63
64

Sep 7

W

Leylah Fernandez

U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round

16
64
63

Sep 4

W

Sofia Kenin

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round

63
61

Sep 2

W

Elena Gabriela Ruse

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

63
62

Aug 30

L

Coco Gauff

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final

26
46

Aug 24

W

Iga Swiatek

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals

75
46
64

Aug 22

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ ShnaiderPegula ahead↓ Pegula

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–66 matches

MetricShnaiderPegula
Matches won60%77%
Sets won58%69%
Games won54%57%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageShnaiderPegula
Grand Slam01
WTA 50002
WTA 100011

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceShnaiderPegula
Hard13
Clay01

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Diana Shnaider vs Jessica Pegula FAQ

Jessica Pegula leads the head-to-head 4–1 over 5 meetings.