Diana Shnaider vs Jessica PegulaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π·πΊDiana Shnaider
#16 Β· 22 yrs Β· Left-Handed
5 meetings Β· sets 3β8

πΊπΈJessica Pegula
#3 Β· 32 yrs Β· Right-Handed
Diana Shnaider and Jessica Pegula have met 5 times since 2024; Jessica Pegula leads 4β1. Their first meeting came at National Bank Open - Toronto in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Pegula leads 3β1. Across all meetings Shnaider has taken 3 sets to Pegula's 8. Their most recent meeting: Diana Shnaider won at National Bank Open - Toronto (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shnaider | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Diana Shnaider | Jessica Pegula | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 20/31 | 54% | 31/57 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 7/23 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 18/54 | 46% | 35/76 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 19/36 | 50% | 30/60 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 39% | 7/18 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 6/15 | 63% | 12/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 23/26 | 88% | 42/48 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 20/26 | 65% | 31/48 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shnaider 1, Pegula 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shnaider
πΉ Frontrunner
Pegula
π₯ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
πΉ Frontrunner vs π₯ Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,181 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Aug 8, 2026
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard Β· 4th Round
Aug 1, 2026
Mubadala DC Open - Washington
H Hard Β· Semifinals
Apr 3, 2026
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston
C Clay Β· Quarterfinals
Sep 2, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard Β· 4th Round
Aug 11, 2024
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard Β· Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shnaider | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Diana Shnaider | Jessica Pegula | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 15/17 | 95% | 20/21 |
| 3 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 76% | 16/21 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 33% | 7/21 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 5% | 1/21 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Shnaider | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10β7 | 17β5 |
| Avg odds | 2.34 | 1.48 |
| ROI % | +36.8% | +10.4% |
| Units P/L | +6.25u | +2.29u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shnaider | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 10 | 12 |
| Distance | 761 mi Β· 1,225 km | 761 mi Β· 1,225 km |
| Route | AUT β CAN β POL | AUT β CAN β POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Shnaider's 50%).
| Opponent | Shnaider | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Iga Swiatek | L 26 16 | W 75 46 64 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 46 46 | L 62 36 46 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 26 67 | W 62 46 75 |
| Emma Navarro | W 63 63 | W 75 62 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | W 63 63 | W 63 75 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 61 62 | W 76 62 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 63 64 | W 63 76 |
| Iva Jovic | L 46 61 06 | W 46 63 61 |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | W 36 75 61 | W 61 63 |
| Clara Tauson | L 46 46 | W 63 26 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elena Rybakina
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 4th Round
Aug 20
Maja Chwalinska
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 17
Tatjana Maria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 15
Iga Swiatek
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Jessica Pegula
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 4th Round
Aug 8
Anna Kalinskaya
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 3rd Round
Aug 6
Rebecca Sramkova
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 2nd Round
Aug 4
Jessica Pegula
Mubadala DC Open - Washington Β· Semifinals
Aug 1
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Semifinals
Aug 22
Amanda Anisimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Sorana Cirstea
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 4th Round
Aug 19
Emma Navarro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 18
Simona Waltert
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 15
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 4th Round
Aug 8
Kamilla Rakhimova
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 3rd Round
Aug 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 54β76 matches
| Metric | Shnaider | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 75% |
| Sets won | 55% | 66% |
| Games won | 53% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shnaider | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 2 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shnaider | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.