Diana Shnaider vs Leylah FernandezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Diana Shnaider
#16 · 22 yrs · Left-Handed
5 meetings · sets 7–4
🇨🇦Leylah Fernandez
#32 · 23 yrs · Left-Handed
Diana Shnaider and Leylah Fernandez have met 5 times since 2024; Diana Shnaider leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati in 2024 on hard. On hard courts they are level 2–2. Shnaider has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Shnaider has taken 7 sets to Fernandez's 4. Their most recent meeting: Diana Shnaider won at Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shnaider | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Diana Shnaider | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 20/31 | 68% | 17/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 7/23 | 31% | 8/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 18/54 | 31% | 16/51 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 19/36 | 48% | 16/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 39% | 7/18 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 6/15 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 23/26 | 75% | 21/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 20/26 | 61% | 17/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shnaider 3, Fernandez 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shnaider
🏹 Frontrunner
Fernandez
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,181 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Apr 2, 2026
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston
C Clay · 3rd Round
Jan 13, 2026
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard · 1st Round
Nov 2, 2024
Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong
H Hard · Semifinals
Oct 7, 2024
Wuhan Open - Wuhan
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 16, 2024
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shnaider | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Diana Shnaider | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 15/17 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 3 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 55% | 6/11 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shnaider | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–7 | 4–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.34 | 2.10 |
| ROI % | +36.8% | -8.7% |
| Units P/L | +6.25u | -0.87u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shnaider | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 10 | 4 |
| Distance | 761 mi · 1,225 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | AUT → CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shnaider has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Fernandez's 50%).
| Opponent | Shnaider | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Elena Rybakina | L 46 46 | L 76 46 67 |
| Xiyu Wang | W 75 63 | L 63 26 26 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 16 26 | L 46 46 |
| Jessica Pegula | W 63 63 | L 26 26 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 36 26 | W 61 64 |
| Renata Zarazua | W 64 61 | W 62 62 |
| Rebecca Sramkova | W 62 46 61 | W 76 63 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 63 64 | W 57 75 63 |
| Eva Lys | W 75 61 | W 64 61 |
| Mccartney Kessler | W 76 61 | L 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elena Rybakina
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Maja Chwalinska
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Tatjana Maria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Iga Swiatek
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Jessica Pegula
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Anna Kalinskaya
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Rebecca Sramkova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Jessica Pegula
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Semifinals
Aug 1
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Mirra Andreeva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Renata Zarazua
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Magda Linette
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Xi Yao Wang
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 2nd Round
Jun 23
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–54 matches
| Metric | Shnaider | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 49% |
| Sets won | 55% | 49% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shnaider | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 2 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shnaider | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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