Diana Shnaider vs Leylah FernandezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ท๐บDiana Shnaider
#13 ยท 22 yrs ยท Left-Handed
5 meetings ยท sets 7โ4

๐จ๐ฆLeylah Fernandez
#25 ยท 23 yrs ยท Left-Handed
TitleDiana Shnaider and Leylah Fernandez have met 5 times since 2024; Diana Shnaider leads 3โ2. Their first meeting came at Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati in 2024 on hard. On hard courts they are level 2โ2. Shnaider has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Shnaider has taken 7 sets to Fernandez's 4. Their most recent meeting: Diana Shnaider won at Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shnaider | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Diana Shnaider | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 23/33 | 69% | 22/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 31% | 8/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 19/55 | 31% | 18/58 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 22/38 | 50% | 20/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 41% | 7/17 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 8/17 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 26/30 | 79% | 27/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 23/30 | 65% | 22/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shnaider 3, Fernandez 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shnaider
๐น Frontrunner
Fernandez
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
๐น Frontrunner vs ๐ค Servebot is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 728 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Apr 2, 2026
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston
C Clay ยท 3rd Round
Jan 13, 2026
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Nov 2, 2024
Hong Kong Tennis Open - Hong Kong
H Hard ยท Semifinals
Oct 7, 2024
Wuhan Open - Wuhan
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Aug 16, 2024
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard ยท 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shnaider | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Diana Shnaider | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| 1 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 3 or more | 20% | 3/15 | 40% | 6/15 |
| 5 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Shnaider | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10โ5 | 11โ5 |
| Avg odds | 1.98 | 2.16 |
| ROI % | +9.0% | +32.2% |
| Units P/L | +1.35u | +5.15u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shnaider | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 7 |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | 3,433 mi ยท 5,525 km |
| Route | ROU | SGP โ ROU โ CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Fernandez has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Shnaider's 50%).
| Opponent | Shnaider | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Ekaterina Alexandrova | L 63 46 36 | W 64 36 63 |
| Janice Tjen | W 60 64 | L 16 67 |
| Talia Gibson | W 57 61 61 | W 75 60 |
| Maja Chwalinska | W 62 76 | W 16 64 62 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 36 26 | W 62 75 |
| Alycia Parks | L 61 46 67 | W 64 63 |
| Jessica Pegula | W 63 63 | L 61 46 36 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 46 46 | L 76 46 67 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 16 26 | L 46 46 |
| Renata Zarazua | W 64 61 | W 62 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ekaterina Alexandrova
China Open - Beijing ยท 3rd Round
Oct 4
Janice Tjen
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 2
Taylor Townsend
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round
Sep 4
Karolina Pliskova
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 2
Daria Snigur
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 31
Elena Rybakina
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 4th Round
Aug 20
Maja Chwalinska
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 17
Tatjana Maria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 15
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Wuhan Open - Wuhan ยท 1st Round
Oct 12
Kamilla Rakhimova
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Talia Gibson
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore ยท Final
Sep 27
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore ยท Semifinals
Sep 26
Mirra Andreeva
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Alycia Parks
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore ยท 2nd Round
Sep 23
Kyoka Okamura
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore ยท 1st Round
Sep 21
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round
Sep 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 55โ58 matches
| Metric | Shnaider | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 55% |
| Sets won | 58% | 54% |
| Games won | 54% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shnaider | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 2 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shnaider | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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