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Head-to-Head

Elena Rybakina vs Leylah FernandezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Elena Rybakina

🇰🇿Elena Rybakina

#1 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed

3–2

5 meetings · sets 8–5

Leylah Fernandez

🇨🇦Leylah Fernandez

#25 · 23 yrs · Left-Handed

Title

Elena Rybakina and Leylah Fernandez have met 5 times since 2024; Elena Rybakina leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha in 2024 on hard. On hard courts they are level 2–2. Rybakina has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Rybakina has taken 8 sets to Fernandez's 5. Their most recent meeting: Elena Rybakina won at Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart (2026).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorRybakinaFernandez
Wins in straight sets67%69%
Wins a set when losing58%31%
Goes to a deciding set38%31%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite61%50%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog75%56%
Tiebreak sets won56%29%
Wins after taking set 192%79%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 178%65%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rybakina 2, Fernandez 0).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Rybakina

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve
vs

Fernandez

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve

Matchup analysis

Both Elena Rybakina and Leylah Fernandez are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,080 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.

Previous meetings

5 career meetings, newest first

Apr 17, 2026

Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart

C Clay · Quarterfinals

657
64
766
Rybakina

Oct 23, 2025

Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo

H Hard · 2nd Round

64
63
Rybakina

Jul 26, 2025

Mubadala Citi DC Open - Washington

H Hard · Semifinals

762
637
637
Fernandez

Aug 15, 2024

Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati

H Hard · 2nd Round

63
637
46
Fernandez

Feb 15, 2024

Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha

H Hard · Quarterfinals

64
62
Rybakina

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeRybakinaFernandez
1 or more100%93%
3 or more94%40%
5 or more88%13%
10 or more31%0%
15 or more13%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricRybakinaFernandez
W-L15–211–5
Avg odds1.472.16
ROI %+28.5%+32.2%
Units P/L+4.85u+5.15u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricRybakinaFernandez
Countries13
Events13
Matches17
Distance0 mi · 0 km3,433 mi · 5,525 km
RouteROUSGP → ROU → CZE

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Fernandez's 70%).

OpponentRybakinaFernandez
Ekaterina Alexandrova
W
64
64
W
64
36
63
Talia Gibson
W
62
62
W
75
60
Mirra Andreeva
W
75
61
W
62
75
Naomi Osaka
W
61
64
L
46
46
Jessica Pegula
W
26
63
64
L
61
46
36
Shuai Zhang
W
63
75
W
63
62
Diana Shnaider
W
64
64
L
36
06
Magdalena Frech
W
64
76
W
64
36
64
Liudmila Samsonova
W
64
46
64
W
57
75
63
Ann Li
W
62
75
W
63
62

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Rybakina
LWWWWWWW
L

Alina Charaeva

China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round

63
46
36

Oct 3

W

Aryna Sabalenka

U.S. Open - New York · Final

64
57
62

Sep 12

W

Coco Gauff

U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals

36
64
64

Sep 11

W

Qinwen Zheng

U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals

36
61
64

Sep 9

W

Naomi Osaka

U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round

61
64

Sep 7

W

Yuliia Starodubtseva

U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round

766
63

Sep 6

W

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round

62
64

Sep 4

W

Thea Frodin

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

63
62

Sep 1

Fernandez
WLWWWWWL
W

Ekaterina Alexandrova

Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round

64
36
63

Oct 12

L

Kamilla Rakhimova

China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round

26
64
36

Oct 3

W

Talia Gibson

Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Final

75
60

Sep 27

W

Maja Chwalinska

Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Semifinals

16
64
62

Sep 26

W

Mirra Andreeva

Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals

62
75

Sep 25

W

Alycia Parks

Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 2nd Round

64
63

Sep 23

W

Kyoka Okamura

Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round

62
63

Sep 21

L

Jessica Pegula

U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round

61
46
36

Sep 4

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ RybakinaRybakina ahead↓ Fernandez

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–72 matches

MetricRybakinaFernandez
Matches won83%55%
Sets won74%54%
Games won58%53%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageRybakinaFernandez
WTA 50021
WTA 100011

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceRybakinaFernandez
Hard22
Clay10

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Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez FAQ

Elena Rybakina leads the head-to-head 3–2 over 5 meetings.