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Head-to-Head

Elena Rybakina vs Leylah FernandezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Elena Rybakina

🇰🇿Elena Rybakina

#2 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed

8
3–2

5 meetings · sets 8–5

Leylah Fernandez

🇨🇦Leylah Fernandez

#32 · 23 yrs · Left-Handed

Elena Rybakina and Leylah Fernandez have met 5 times since 2024; Elena Rybakina leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha in 2024 on hard. On hard courts they are level 2–2. Rybakina has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Rybakina has taken 8 sets to Fernandez's 5. Their most recent meeting: Elena Rybakina won at Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart (2026).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorRybakinaFernandez
Wins in straight sets68%68%
Wins a set when losing62%31%
Goes to a deciding set37%31%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite60%48%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog71%53%
Tiebreak sets won53%29%
Wins after taking set 194%75%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 180%61%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rybakina 2, Fernandez 0).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Rybakina

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve
vs

Fernandez

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies

Matchup analysis

🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

5 career meetings, newest first

Apr 17, 2026

Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart

C Clay · Quarterfinals

657
64
766
Rybakina

Oct 23, 2025

Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo

H Hard · 2nd Round

64
63
Rybakina

Jul 26, 2025

Mubadala Citi DC Open - Washington

H Hard · Semifinals

762
637
637
Fernandez

Aug 15, 2024

Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati

H Hard · 2nd Round

63
637
46
Fernandez

Feb 15, 2024

Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha

H Hard · Quarterfinals

64
62
Rybakina

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeRybakinaFernandez
1 or more100%91%
3 or more73%55%
5 or more73%27%
10 or more27%0%
15 or more13%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricRybakinaFernandez
W-L11–34–6
Avg odds1.322.10
ROI %+6.4%-8.7%
Units P/L+0.90u-0.87u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricRybakinaFernandez
Countries22
Events22
Matches84
Distance411 mi · 662 km411 mi · 662 km
RouteCAN → POLCAN → POL

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Fernandez's 50%).

OpponentRybakinaFernandez
Diana Shnaider
W
64
64
L
36
06
Magdalena Frech
W
64
76
W
64
36
64
Coco Gauff
W
57
62
62
L
46
64
57
Naomi Osaka
W
46
76
64
L
46
46
Liudmila Samsonova
W
64
46
64
W
57
75
63
Ann Li
W
62
75
W
63
62
Mirra Andreeva
W
75
61
W
61
64
Alexandra Eala
L
57
46
L
26
67
Xi Yao Wang
W
62
64
L
36
46
Katie Boulter
L
57
62
46
W
67
63
63

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Rybakina
WWWWWWWW
W

Diana Shnaider

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round

64
64

Aug 20

W

Magdalena Frech

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round

64
762

Aug 17

W

Taylor Townsend

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

63
64

Aug 16

W

Coco Gauff

National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals

57
62
62

Aug 13

W

Naomi Osaka

National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals

46
765
64

Aug 12

W

Liudmila Samsonova

National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round

64
46
64

Aug 9

W

Ann Li

National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round

62
75

Aug 7

W

Daria Kasatkina

National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round

63
57
64

Aug 5

Fernandez
LLWWLWLL
L

Xiyu Wang

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

63
26
26

Aug 17

L

Naomi Osaka

National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round

46
46

Aug 10

W

Mirra Andreeva

National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round

61
64

Aug 7

W

Renata Zarazua

National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round

62
62

Aug 6

L

Alexandra Eala

Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round

26
617

Jul 29

W

Magda Linette

Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round

61
64

Jul 27

L

Janice Tjen

Wimbledon - London · 1st Round

16
637

Jun 29

L

Xi Yao Wang

Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 2nd Round

36
46

Jun 23

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ RybakinaRybakina ahead↓ Fernandez

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–70 matches

MetricRybakinaFernandez
Matches won81%49%
Sets won73%49%
Games won58%52%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageRybakinaFernandez
WTA 50021
WTA 100011

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceRybakinaFernandez
Hard22
Clay10

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Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez FAQ

Elena Rybakina leads the head-to-head 3–2 over 5 meetings.