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Head-to-Head

Jessica Pegula vs Leylah FernandezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Jessica Pegula

🇺🇸Jessica Pegula

#4 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed

5w
4–1

5 meetings · sets 9–4

Leylah Fernandez

🇨🇦Leylah Fernandez

#25 · 23 yrs · Left-Handed

Title

Jessica Pegula and Leylah Fernandez have met 5 times since 2024; Jessica Pegula leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Miami Open - Miami in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Pegula leads 4–1. Pegula has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Pegula has taken 9 sets to Fernandez's 4. Their most recent meeting: Jessica Pegula won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorPegulaFernandez
Wins in straight sets61%69%
Wins a set when losing47%31%
Goes to a deciding set41%31%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite55%50%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog58%56%
Tiebreak sets won69%29%
Wins after taking set 189%79%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 170%65%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Pegula 2, Fernandez 0).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Pegula

👑 The Complete Package

Elite serve & returnHigh BP conversionAll-surface dominanceClutch performer
vs

Fernandez

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve

Matchup analysis

The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 2,084 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jessica Pegula.

The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.

Previous meetings

5 career meetings, newest first

Sep 4, 2026

U.S. Open - New York

H Hard · 3rd Round

16
64
63
Pegula

Mar 22, 2026

Miami Open - Miami

H Hard · 3rd Round

62
62
Pegula

Jul 24, 2025

Mubadala Citi DC Open - Washington

H Hard · 2nd Round

36
61
57
Fernandez

Aug 17, 2024

Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati

H Hard · Quarterfinals

75
617
763
Pegula

Mar 24, 2024

Miami Open - Miami

H Hard · 3rd Round

75
64
Pegula

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomePegulaFernandez
1 or more95%93%
3 or more90%40%
5 or more37%13%
10 or more0%0%
15 or more0%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricPegulaFernandez
W-L14–411–5
Avg odds1.482.16
ROI %+4.8%+32.2%
Units P/L+0.86u+5.15u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricPegulaFernandez
Countries—3
Events—3
Matches—7
Distance—3,433 mi · 5,525 km
Route—SGP → ROU → CZE

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Pegula has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Fernandez's 40%).

OpponentPegulaFernandez
Kamilla Rakhimova
W
64
60
L
26
64
36
Sorana Cirstea
W
63
64
W
64
64
Diana Shnaider
L
36
36
L
36
06
Magdalena Frech
W
36
63
62
W
64
36
64
Alexandra Eala
L
64
46
06
L
26
67
Iva Jovic
W
46
63
61
W
36
63
62
Katie Boulter
W
64
64
W
67
63
63
Katerina Siniakova
W
62
64
L
75
46
67
Zeynep Sonmez
W
64
60
L
46
67
Rebeka Masarova
W
60
60
L
64
46
46

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Pegula
LWWWWWLW
L

Aryna Sabalenka

U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals

57
26

Sep 10

W

Emma Navarro

U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals

36
64
63

Sep 9

W

Sorana Cirstea

U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round

63
64

Sep 7

W

Leylah Fernandez

U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round

16
64
63

Sep 4

W

Sofia Kenin

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round

63
61

Sep 2

W

Elena Gabriela Ruse

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

63
62

Aug 30

L

Coco Gauff

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final

26
46

Aug 24

W

Iga Swiatek

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals

75
46
64

Aug 22

Fernandez
WLWWWWWL
W

Ekaterina Alexandrova

Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round

64
36
63

Oct 12

L

Kamilla Rakhimova

China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round

26
64
36

Oct 3

W

Talia Gibson

Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Final

75
60

Sep 27

W

Maja Chwalinska

Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Semifinals

16
64
62

Sep 26

W

Mirra Andreeva

Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals

62
75

Sep 25

W

Alycia Parks

Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 2nd Round

64
63

Sep 23

W

Kyoka Okamura

Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round

62
63

Sep 21

L

Jessica Pegula

U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round

61
46
36

Sep 4

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ PegulaPegula ahead↓ Fernandez

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–66 matches

MetricPegulaFernandez
Matches won77%55%
Sets won69%54%
Games won57%53%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StagePegulaFernandez
Grand Slam10
WTA 50001
WTA 100030

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfacePegulaFernandez
Hard41

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Jessica Pegula vs Leylah Fernandez FAQ

Jessica Pegula leads the head-to-head 4–1 over 5 meetings.