Ann Li vs Ekaterina AlexandrovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈAnn Li
#30 Β· 25 yrs Β· Right-Handed
4 meetings Β· sets 3β7

π·πΊEkaterina Alexandrova
#19 Β· 31 yrs Β· Right-Handed
Ann Li and Ekaterina Alexandrova have met 4 times since 2025; Ekaterina Alexandrova leads 3β1. Their first meeting came at Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston in 2025 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1β1. Across all meetings Li has taken 3 sets to Alexandrova's 7. Their most recent meeting: Ekaterina Alexandrova won at Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Li | Alexandrova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ann Li | Ekaterina Alexandrova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 16/27 | 75% | 18/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 45% | 13/29 | 46% | 13/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 43% | 24/56 | 37% | 19/52 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 34% | 11/32 | 44% | 15/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 11/18 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 8/18 | 43% | 6/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 20/22 | 80% | 20/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 16/22 | 72% | 18/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Li 0, Alexandrova 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Li
π€ Servebot
Alexandrova
π€ Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Ann Li and Ekaterina Alexandrova are π€ Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,026 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jun 23, 2026
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg
G Grass Β· 1st Round
May 19, 2026
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg
C Clay Β· 2nd Round
Oct 8, 2025
Wuhan Open - Wuhan
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Apr 2, 2025
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston
C Clay Β· 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Li | Alexandrova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ann Li | Ekaterina Alexandrova | ||
| 1 or more | 85% | 11/13 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 3 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 71% | 10/14 |
| 5 or more | 54% | 7/13 | 64% | 9/14 |
| 10 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 15 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Li | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6β7 | 7β7 |
| Avg odds | 2.38 | 2.34 |
| ROI % | -22.5% | +9.4% |
| Units P/L | -2.93u | +1.32u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Li | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 7 |
| Distance | 1,715 mi Β· 2,760 km | 1,715 mi Β· 2,760 km |
| Route | CAN β POL β AUT | CAN β POL β AUT |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Alexandrova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Li's 20%).
| Opponent | Li | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano | W 61 62 | W 63 76 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 67 46 | W 76 46 64 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 26 57 | L 46 46 |
| Talia Gibson | L 36 57 | W 57 61 63 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | L 57 61 46 | L 57 64 46 |
| Camila Osorio | W 64 67 75 | L 26 46 |
| Linda Noskova | L 36 75 46 | L 16 16 |
| Dayana Yastremska | L 57 64 36 | W 63 60 |
| Magda Linette | L 36 36 | L 26 64 16 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 16 26 | L 57 63 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey Β· Semifinals
Aug 29
Alycia Parks
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey Β· 1st Round
Aug 25
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 18
Shuai Zhang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 3rd Round
Aug 7
Kayla Cross
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 2nd Round
Aug 6
Magdalena Frech
Mubadala DC Open - Washington Β· 1st Round
Jul 29
Clara Tauson
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey Β· 2nd Round
Aug 27
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 18
Anna Blinkova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Aryna Sabalenka
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 4th Round
Aug 9
Talia Gibson
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 3rd Round
Aug 6
Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 2nd Round
Aug 4
Iva Jovic
Wimbledon - London Β· 3rd Round
Jul 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 52β56 matches
| Metric | Li | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 46% |
| Sets won | 49% | 50% |
| Games won | 50% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Li | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 2 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Li | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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