Ann Li vs Ekaterina AlexandrovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈAnn Li
#31 Β· 25 yrs Β· Right-Handed
4 meetings Β· sets 3β7

π·πΊEkaterina Alexandrova
#24 Β· 31 yrs Β· Right-Handed
Ann Li and Ekaterina Alexandrova have met 4 times since 2025; Ekaterina Alexandrova leads 3β1. Their first meeting came at Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston in 2025 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1β1. Across all meetings Li has taken 3 sets to Alexandrova's 7. Their most recent meeting: Ekaterina Alexandrova won at Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Li | Alexandrova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ann Li | Ekaterina Alexandrova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 19/31 | 70% | 16/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 12/27 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 24/58 | 38% | 19/50 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 39% | 14/36 | 40% | 12/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 68% | 13/19 | 59% | 10/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 8/17 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 23/25 | 83% | 19/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 19/25 | 70% | 16/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Li 0, Alexandrova 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Li
π€ Servebot
Alexandrova
π€ Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Ann Li and Ekaterina Alexandrova are π€ Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,080 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jun 23, 2026
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg
G Grass Β· 1st Round
May 19, 2026
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg
C Clay Β· 2nd Round
Oct 8, 2025
Wuhan Open - Wuhan
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Apr 2, 2025
Credit One Charleston Open - Charleston
C Clay Β· 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Li | Alexandrova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ann Li | Ekaterina Alexandrova | ||
| 1 or more | 86% | 12/14 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 10/14 | 79% | 11/14 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 7/14 | 57% | 8/14 |
| 10 or more | 14% | 2/14 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Li | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8β6 | 8β6 |
| Avg odds | 2.53 | 2.51 |
| ROI % | -1.7% | +37.6% |
| Units P/L | -0.24u | +5.26u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Li | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 5 |
| Distance | 0 mi Β· 0 km | 654 mi Β· 1,053 km |
| Route | ROU | ROU β CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Alexandrova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Li's 20%).
| Opponent | Li | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Leylah Fernandez | L 36 26 | L 46 63 36 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 26 36 | L 63 06 36 |
| Linda Noskova | L 26 76 26 | W 62 62 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 06 76 36 | L 36 26 |
| Kimberly Birrell | W 46 76 64 | W 61 26 63 |
| Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano | W 61 62 | W 63 76 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 67 46 | W 76 46 64 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 26 57 | L 46 46 |
| Talia Gibson | L 36 57 | W 57 61 63 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | L 57 61 46 | L 57 64 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elina Svitolina
China Open - Beijing Β· 4th Round
Oct 7
Belinda Bencic
China Open - Beijing Β· 3rd Round
Oct 5
Ashlyn Krueger
China Open - Beijing Β· 2nd Round
Oct 3
Linda Noskova
U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round
Sep 4
Donna Vekic
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Sep 3
Antonia Ruzic
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Sep 1
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey Β· Semifinals
Aug 29
Alycia Parks
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Leylah Fernandez
Wuhan Open - Wuhan Β· 1st Round
Oct 12
Mirra Andreeva
China Open - Beijing Β· Quarterfinals
Oct 8
Linda Noskova
China Open - Beijing Β· 4th Round
Oct 6
Diana Shnaider
China Open - Beijing Β· 3rd Round
Oct 4
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
China Open - Beijing Β· 2nd Round
Oct 2
Marta Kostyuk
U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round
Sep 4
Kimberly Birrell
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Sep 3
Mccartney Kessler
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Aug 30
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 50β58 matches
| Metric | Li | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 46% |
| Sets won | 53% | 49% |
| Games won | 51% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Li | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 2 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Li | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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