Emma Navarro vs Marta KostyukPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Emma Navarro
#27 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
5 meetings · sets 9–3
🇺🇦Marta Kostyuk
#11 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
Emma Navarro and Marta Kostyuk have met 5 times since 2024; Emma Navarro leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at National Bank Open - Toronto in 2024 on hard. On grass courts Navarro leads 2–1. On hard courts Navarro leads 2–0. Across all meetings Navarro has taken 9 sets to Kostyuk's 3. Their most recent meeting: Marta Kostyuk won at Wimbledon - London (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Navarro | Kostyuk | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Emma Navarro | Marta Kostyuk | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 13/25 | 73% | 27/37 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 11/22 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 23/47 | 31% | 15/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 11/30 | 62% | 21/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 11/16 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 8/13 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 19/22 | 91% | 31/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 59% | 13/22 | 79% | 27/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Navarro 3, Kostyuk 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Navarro
🤖 Servebot
Kostyuk
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 1,830 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Marta Kostyuk.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jul 4, 2026
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 3rd Round
Jun 22, 2025
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg
G Grass · 1st Round
Jun 16, 2025
Berlin Ladies Open - Berlin
G Grass · 1st Round
Aug 30, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 9, 2024
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Navarro | Kostyuk | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Emma Navarro | Marta Kostyuk | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 16/17 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 60% | 9/15 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 47% | 7/15 |
| 10 or more | 24% | 4/17 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Navarro | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–6 | 11–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.86 | 1.55 |
| ROI % | +0.2% | +3.3% |
| Units P/L | +0.03u | +0.49u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Navarro | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 7 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kostyuk has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Navarro's 60%).
| Opponent | Navarro | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula | L 57 26 | W 61 64 |
| Sofia Kenin | W 60 75 | W 46 63 75 |
| Iga Swiatek | W 75 26 63 | L 63 16 26 |
| Elisabetta Cocciaretto | L 36 64 36 | W 62 63 |
| Oksana Selekhmeteva | W 36 64 61 | W 62 63 |
| Viktorija Golubic | W 76 62 | W 64 63 |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | W 76 62 | W 76 62 |
| Caty Mcnally | L 64 06 46 | W 62 63 |
| Katie Volynets | L 36 26 | W 67 63 63 |
| Ann Li | W 61 63 | W 60 67 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Anhelina Kalinina
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Alina Korneeva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Sofia Kenin
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Oksana Selekhmeteva
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Paula Badosa
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Mirra Andreeva
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Sloane Stephens
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Sofia Kenin
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Iga Swiatek
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Madison Keys
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Katherine Sebov
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–48 matches
| Metric | Navarro | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 77% |
| Sets won | 52% | 71% |
| Games won | 50% | 59% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Navarro | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 2 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Navarro | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Grass | 2 | 1 |
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