Emma Navarro vs Marta KostyukPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈEmma Navarro
#27 Β· 25 yrs Β· Right-Handed
5w5 meetings Β· sets 9β3

πΊπ¦Marta Kostyuk
#10 Β· 23 yrs Β· Right-Handed
4wEmma Navarro and Marta Kostyuk have met 5 times since 2024; Emma Navarro leads 4β1. Their first meeting came at National Bank Open - Toronto in 2024 on hard. On grass courts Navarro leads 2β1. On hard courts Navarro leads 2β0. Across all meetings Navarro has taken 9 sets to Kostyuk's 3. Their most recent meeting: Marta Kostyuk won at Wimbledon - London (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Navarro | Kostyuk | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Emma Navarro | Marta Kostyuk | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 14/25 | 72% | 26/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 10/20 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 47% | 21/45 | 30% | 14/46 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 10/27 | 59% | 20/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 12/17 | 67% | 8/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 6/12 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 19/22 | 91% | 30/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 14/22 | 79% | 26/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Navarro 3, Kostyuk 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Navarro
π₯ Big Hitter
Kostyuk
π The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
π₯ Big Hitter vs π The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jul 4, 2026
Wimbledon - London
G Grass Β· 3rd Round
Jun 22, 2025
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg
G Grass Β· 1st Round
Jun 16, 2025
Berlin Ladies Open - Berlin
G Grass Β· 1st Round
Aug 30, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard Β· 3rd Round
Aug 9, 2024
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard Β· 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Navarro | Kostyuk | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Emma Navarro | Marta Kostyuk | ||
| 1 or more | 90% | 9/10 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 90% | 9/10 | 75% | 9/12 |
| 5 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 58% | 7/12 |
| 10 or more | 30% | 3/10 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 20% | 2/10 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Navarro | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6β4 | 8β4 |
| Avg odds | 2.41 | 1.49 |
| ROI % | +21.7% | -11.8% |
| Units P/L | +2.17u | -1.41u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Navarro | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | β | 1 |
| Events | β | 1 |
| Matches | β | 1 |
| Distance | β | 0 mi Β· 0 km |
| Route | β | UKR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Kostyuk has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Navarro's 80%).
| Opponent | Navarro | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula | L 63 46 36 | W 61 64 |
| Caty Mcnally | W 36 62 63 | W 62 63 |
| Sofia Kenin | W 60 75 | W 46 63 75 |
| Iga Swiatek | W 75 26 63 | L 63 16 26 |
| Oksana Selekhmeteva | W 36 64 61 | W 62 63 |
| Viktorija Golubic | W 76 62 | W 64 63 |
| Katie Volynets | L 36 26 | W 67 63 63 |
| Ann Li | W 61 63 | W 60 67 63 |
| Yulia Putintseva | W 61 64 | W 61 63 |
| Tatjana Maria | W 75 61 | W 63 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York Β· Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Anna Kalinskaya
U.S. Open - New York Β· 4th Round
Sep 7
Karolina Muchova
U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round
Sep 4
Caty Mcnally
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Sep 2
Lois Boisson
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Aug 31
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 18
Anhelina Kalinina
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Alina Korneeva
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 2nd Round
Aug 5
Liudmila Samsonova
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara Β· Quarterfinals
Sep 17
Linda Noskova
U.S. Open - New York Β· 4th Round
Sep 6
Ekaterina Alexandrova
U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round
Sep 4
Sloane Stephens
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Sep 2
Storm Hunter
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Aug 30
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Mirra Andreeva
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 4th Round
Aug 19
Sloane Stephens
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 18
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 45β46 matches
| Metric | Navarro | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 78% |
| Sets won | 54% | 72% |
| Games won | 51% | 59% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Navarro | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 2 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Navarro | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Grass | 2 | 1 |
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