Iga Swiatek vs Marta KostyukPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇵🇱Iga Swiatek
#8 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
5 meetings · sets 8–3
🇺🇦Marta Kostyuk
#11 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
Iga Swiatek and Marta Kostyuk have met 5 times since 2021; Iga Swiatek leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at French Open - Paris in 2021 on clay. On hard courts Swiatek leads 3–0. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Swiatek has taken 8 sets to Kostyuk's 3. Their most recent meeting: Iga Swiatek won at National Bank Open - Toronto (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Swiatek | Kostyuk | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Iga Swiatek | Marta Kostyuk | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 79% | 34/43 | 73% | 27/37 |
| Wins a set when losing | 65% | 11/17 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 20/60 | 31% | 15/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 33/58 | 62% | 21/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/1 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 5/7 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 38/44 | 91% | 31/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 34/44 | 79% | 27/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Swiatek 3, Kostyuk 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Swiatek
👑 The Complete Package
Kostyuk
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
Both Iga Swiatek and Marta Kostyuk are 👑 The Complete Package types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 3,166 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Aug 8, 2026
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard · 4th Round
May 31, 2026
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 4th Round
Aug 16, 2024
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 3rd Round
Mar 15, 2024
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · Semifinals
Jun 7, 2021
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 4th Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Swiatek | Kostyuk | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Iga Swiatek | Marta Kostyuk | ||
| 1 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 60% | 9/15 |
| 5 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 47% | 7/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Swiatek | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–3 | 11–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.24 | 1.55 |
| ROI % | -6.7% | +3.3% |
| Units P/L | -0.87u | +0.49u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Swiatek | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 9 | 7 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kostyuk has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Swiatek's 50%).
| Opponent | Swiatek | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula | L 57 64 46 | W 61 64 |
| Coco Gauff | L 46 26 | L 26 26 |
| Diane Parry | W 63 63 | W 61 64 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 63 46 36 | W 46 60 62 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 63 16 63 | W 63 26 62 |
| Madison Keys | W 61 62 | W 63 61 |
| Viktorija Golubic | W 62 61 | W 64 63 |
| Jasmine Paolini | L 16 26 | W 63 62 |
| Emma Navarro | L 57 62 36 | W 62 46 61 |
| Taylor Townsend | W 61 26 63 | W 63 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Maria Sakkari
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Emiliana Arango
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals
Aug 13
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Viktorija Golubic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Mirra Andreeva
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Sloane Stephens
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Sofia Kenin
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Iga Swiatek
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Madison Keys
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Katherine Sebov
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–60 matches
| Metric | Swiatek | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 77% |
| Sets won | 69% | 71% |
| Games won | 60% | 59% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Swiatek | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 3 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Swiatek | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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