Emma Navarro vs Shuai ZhangPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Emma Navarro
#27 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
5w4 meetings · sets 3–7
🇨🇳Shuai Zhang
#81 · 37 yrs · Right-Handed
7w3Emma Navarro and Shuai Zhang have met 4 times since 2024; Shuai Zhang leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at China Open - Beijing in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Zhang leads 3–0. Across all meetings Navarro has taken 3 sets to Zhang's 7. Their most recent meeting: Emma Navarro won at Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Navarro | Zhang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Emma Navarro | Shuai Zhang | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 14/25 | 70% | 23/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 10/20 | 30% | 9/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 47% | 21/45 | 30% | 19/63 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 10/27 | 47% | 16/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 12/17 | 41% | 12/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 6/12 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 19/22 | 91% | 29/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 14/22 | 72% | 23/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Navarro 0, Zhang 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Navarro
💥 Big Hitter
Zhang
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 56% vs 🎯 Baseliner across 404 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Emma Navarro.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
May 21, 2026
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Feb 26, 2026
Merida Open Akron - Merida
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 7, 2025
Wuhan Open - Wuhan
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 27, 2024
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Navarro | Zhang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Emma Navarro | Shuai Zhang | ||
| 1 or more | 90% | 9/10 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 3 or more | 90% | 9/10 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 5 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 30% | 3/10 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 20% | 2/10 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Navarro | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–4 | 2–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.41 | 3.35 |
| ROI % | +21.7% | -32.4% |
| Units P/L | +2.17u | -2.27u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Navarro has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Zhang's 33%).
| Opponent | Navarro | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Anna Kalinskaya | W 64 62 | L 16 16 |
| Karolina Muchova | W 63 75 | L 36 26 |
| Ann Li | W 61 63 | L 57 36 |
| Yulia Putintseva | W 61 64 | W 64 61 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | L 46 26 | L 57 46 |
| Eva Lys | W 76 63 | W 64 63 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 64 67 64 | L 26 16 |
| Katie Volynets | L 36 26 | W 76 57 75 |
| Hailey Baptiste | L 67 60 36 | L 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Anna Kalinskaya
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Karolina Muchova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Caty Mcnally
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Lois Boisson
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Anhelina Kalinina
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Alina Korneeva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Leylah Fernandez
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Maria Timofeeva
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 26
Ann Li
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Kayla Day
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Aryna Sabalenka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Jelena Ostapenko
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Yulia Putintseva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Gabriela Andrea Knutson
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–63 matches
| Metric | Navarro | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 52% |
| Sets won | 54% | 52% |
| Games won | 51% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Navarro | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Navarro | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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