Coco Gauff vs Karolina MuchovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Coco Gauff
#5 · 22 yrs · Right-Handed
8 meetings · sets 14–5
🇨🇿Karolina Muchova
#7 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Coco Gauff and Karolina Muchova have met 8 times since 2023; Coco Gauff leads 6–2. Their first meeting came at Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Gauff leads 6–0. Muchova has won the last 2 meetings. 2 of their meetings have been finals, with Gauff leading those 2–0. Across all meetings Gauff has taken 14 sets to Muchova's 5. Their most recent meeting: Karolina Muchova won at Wimbledon - London (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Gauff | Muchova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Coco Gauff | Karolina Muchova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 30/49 | 66% | 27/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 75% | 12/16 | 31% | 4/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 48% | 31/65 | 33% | 18/54 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 29/55 | 53% | 20/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 89% | 8/9 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 65% | 11/17 | 100% | 8/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 37/41 | 94% | 33/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 30/41 | 77% | 27/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 8 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Gauff 5, Muchova 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Gauff
👑 The Complete Package
Muchova
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 2,084 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Coco Gauff.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
8 career meetings, newest first
Jul 9, 2026
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · Semifinals
Apr 17, 2026
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Mar 26, 2026
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · Semifinals
Jan 25, 2026
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 4th Round
Jan 4, 2025
United Cup - Australia
H Hard · Semifinals
Oct 6, 2024
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · Final
Sep 7, 2023
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 20, 2023
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Gauff | Muchova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Coco Gauff | Karolina Muchova | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 19/19 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 74% | 14/19 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 5 or more | 37% | 7/19 | 29% | 2/7 |
| 10 or more | 5% | 1/19 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Gauff | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 16–3 | 5–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.30 | 1.27 |
| ROI % | +4.6% | -10.1% |
| Units P/L | +0.88u | -0.71u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Gauff | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ROU | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Muchova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Gauff's 50%).
| Opponent | Gauff | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Elise Mertens | L 36 36 | W 16 63 60 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 26 64 61 | W 46 64 62 |
| Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano | W 76 46 62 | W 46 62 75 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 63 46 46 | L 57 16 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 61 64 | W 36 64 61 |
| Linda Noskova | L 46 61 67 | L 26 75 36 |
| Belinda Bencic | W 46 63 64 | L 63 57 57 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 64 67 46 | L 36 26 |
| Kamilla Rakhimova | W 63 76 | W 62 62 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 46 76 26 | W 64 26 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Xinran Sun
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Mirra Andreeva
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Iva Jovic
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 8
Cristina Bucsa
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Paula Badosa
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Nikola Bartunkova
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 8
Naomi Osaka
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 6
Liudmila Samsonova
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Katie Boulter
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Katie Boulter
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Sinja Kraus
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–65 matches
| Metric | Gauff | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 75% | 76% |
| Sets won | 68% | 68% |
| Games won | 57% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Gauff | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 2 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 2 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 3 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Gauff | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 6 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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