Coco Gauff vs Karolina MuchovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈCoco Gauff
#4 Β· 22 yrs Β· Right-Handed
6Title8 meetings Β· sets 14β5

π¨πΏKarolina Muchova
#7 Β· 29 yrs Β· Right-Handed
7wCoco Gauff and Karolina Muchova have met 8 times since 2023; Coco Gauff leads 6β2. Their first meeting came at Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Gauff leads 6β0. Muchova has won the last 2 meetings. 2 of their meetings have been finals, with Gauff leading those 2β0. Across all meetings Gauff has taken 14 sets to Muchova's 5. Their most recent meeting: Karolina Muchova won at Wimbledon - London (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Gauff | Muchova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Coco Gauff | Karolina Muchova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 33/52 | 63% | 25/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 69% | 11/16 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 44% | 30/68 | 38% | 20/53 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 32/59 | 53% | 18/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 88% | 7/8 | 69% | 11/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 9/15 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 40/43 | 91% | 31/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 33/43 | 74% | 25/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 8 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Gauff 5, Muchova 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Gauff
π The Complete Package
Muchova
π₯ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
π The Complete Package vs π₯ Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
8 career meetings, newest first
Jul 9, 2026
Wimbledon - London
G Grass Β· Semifinals
Apr 17, 2026
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart
C Clay Β· Quarterfinals
Mar 26, 2026
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard Β· Semifinals
Jan 25, 2026
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard Β· 4th Round
Jan 4, 2025
United Cup - Australia
H Hard Β· Semifinals
Oct 6, 2024
China Open - Beijing
H Hard Β· Final
Sep 7, 2023
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard Β· Semifinals
Aug 20, 2023
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard Β· Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Gauff | Muchova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Coco Gauff | Karolina Muchova | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 77% | 13/17 | 75% | 9/12 |
| 5 or more | 41% | 7/17 | 50% | 6/12 |
| 10 or more | 18% | 3/17 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Gauff | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14β3 | 8β2 |
| Avg odds | 1.44 | 1.51 |
| ROI % | +14.3% | +16.3% |
| Units P/L | +2.44u | +1.63u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Gauff | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | β |
| Events | 2 | β |
| Matches | 10 | β |
| Distance | 411 mi Β· 662 km | β |
| Route | CAN β POL | β |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Muchova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Gauff's 50%).
| Opponent | Gauff | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Marta Kostyuk | W 62 62 | W 26 62 64 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 75 26 26 | L 57 16 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 61 64 | W 36 64 61 |
| Linda Noskova | L 46 61 67 | L 26 75 36 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 36 26 | W 76 64 |
| Belinda Bencic | W 46 63 64 | L 63 57 57 |
| Shuai Zhang | W 63 62 | W 63 62 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 64 67 46 | L 36 26 |
| Kamilla Rakhimova | W 63 76 | W 62 62 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 46 76 26 | W 64 26 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Final
Aug 24
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Semifinals
Aug 23
Marta Kostyuk
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Marie Bouzkova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 4th Round
Aug 20
Ann Li
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 18
Liudmila Samsonova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 17
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· Semifinals
Aug 13
Alina Korneeva
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 4th Round
Aug 9
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London Β· Final
Jul 11
Coco Gauff
Wimbledon - London Β· Semifinals
Jul 9
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Barbora Krejcikova
Wimbledon - London Β· 4th Round
Jul 5
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Wimbledon - London Β· 3rd Round
Jul 3
Shuai Zhang
Wimbledon - London Β· 2nd Round
Jul 1
Anastasia Zakharova
Wimbledon - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 29
Elena Gabriela Ruse
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg Β· Semifinals
Jun 26
Matchup videos
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 53β68 matches
| Metric | Gauff | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 76% | 75% |
| Sets won | 69% | 67% |
| Games won | 58% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Gauff | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 2 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 2 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 3 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Gauff | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 6 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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