Iga Swiatek vs Karolina MuchovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇵🇱Iga Swiatek
#9 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
6 meetings · sets 11–4
🇨🇿Karolina Muchova
#7 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Iga Swiatek and Karolina Muchova have met 6 times since 2019; Iga Swiatek leads 5–1. Their first meeting came at Prague in 2019 on clay. On hard courts Swiatek leads 4–0. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Swiatek has won the last 5 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Swiatek leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Swiatek has taken 11 sets to Muchova's 4. Their most recent meeting: Iga Swiatek won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Swiatek | Muchova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Iga Swiatek | Karolina Muchova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 79% | 33/42 | 66% | 27/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 63% | 10/16 | 31% | 4/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 19/58 | 33% | 18/54 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 32/56 | 53% | 20/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/1 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 6/9 | 100% | 8/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 37/43 | 94% | 33/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 33/43 | 77% | 27/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Swiatek 3, Muchova 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Swiatek
👑 The Complete Package
Muchova
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 2,084 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Iga Swiatek.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Mar 11, 2026
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 4th Round
Mar 11, 2025
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 4th Round
Jan 1, 2025
United Cup - Australia
H Hard · Round Robin
Aug 11, 2023
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jun 10, 2023
French Open - Paris
C Clay · Final
May 1, 2019
Prague
C Clay · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Swiatek | Muchova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Iga Swiatek | Karolina Muchova | ||
| 1 or more | 77% | 13/17 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 29% | 2/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Swiatek | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–3 | 5–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.22 | 1.27 |
| ROI % | +1.3% | -10.1% |
| Units P/L | +0.24u | -0.71u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Swiatek | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ROU | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Muchova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Swiatek's 60%).
| Opponent | Swiatek | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Elise Mertens | L 67 36 | W 16 63 60 |
| Naomi Osaka | W 62 61 | W 75 16 76 |
| Emma Navarro | L 57 62 36 | L 36 57 |
| Elena Rybakina | W | L 57 16 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 46 61 61 | W 36 64 61 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 63 16 63 | W 64 26 64 |
| Diana Shnaider | W 62 61 | L 62 16 26 |
| Coco Gauff | L 46 26 | W 62 16 76 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 67 26 | W 60 62 |
| Karolina Pliskova | W 61 63 | W |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Iva Jovic
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Donna Vekic
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Xinyu Gao
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Marie Bouzkova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Nadia Podoroska
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Xiyu Wang
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Nikola Bartunkova
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 8
Naomi Osaka
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 6
Liudmila Samsonova
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Katie Boulter
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Katie Boulter
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Sinja Kraus
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–58 matches
| Metric | Swiatek | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 76% |
| Sets won | 70% | 68% |
| Games won | 60% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Swiatek | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 3 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Swiatek | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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