Iga Swiatek vs Karolina MuchovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇵🇱Iga Swiatek
#8 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
6 meetings · sets 11–4
🇨🇿Karolina Muchova
#7 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
7wIga Swiatek and Karolina Muchova have met 6 times since 2019; Iga Swiatek leads 5–1. Their first meeting came at Prague in 2019 on clay. On hard courts Swiatek leads 4–0. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Swiatek has won the last 5 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Swiatek leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Swiatek has taken 11 sets to Muchova's 4. Their most recent meeting: Iga Swiatek won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Swiatek | Muchova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Iga Swiatek | Karolina Muchova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 35/44 | 63% | 25/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 65% | 11/17 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 20/61 | 38% | 20/53 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 34/59 | 53% | 18/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/1 | 69% | 11/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 75% | 6/8 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 39/45 | 91% | 31/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 35/45 | 74% | 25/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Swiatek 3, Muchova 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Swiatek
👑 The Complete Package
Muchova
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Mar 11, 2026
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 4th Round
Mar 11, 2025
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 4th Round
Jan 1, 2025
United Cup - Australia
H Hard · Round Robin
Aug 11, 2023
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jun 10, 2023
French Open - Paris
C Clay · Final
May 1, 2019
Prague
C Clay · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Swiatek | Muchova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Iga Swiatek | Karolina Muchova | ||
| 1 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 75% | 9/12 |
| 5 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 50% | 6/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Swiatek | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–3 | 8–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.24 | 1.51 |
| ROI % | -6.7% | +16.3% |
| Units P/L | -0.87u | +1.63u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Swiatek | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 9 | — |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | — |
| Route | CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Swiatek and Muchova posted a 80% win rate.
| Opponent | Swiatek | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Maria Sakkari | W 46 61 61 | W 36 64 61 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 63 16 63 | W 64 26 64 |
| Diana Shnaider | W 62 61 | L 62 16 26 |
| Marta Kostyuk | W 36 61 62 | W 26 62 64 |
| Coco Gauff | L 46 26 | W 62 16 76 |
| Naomi Osaka | W 62 61 | W 76 64 |
| Barbora Krejcikova | W 60 63 | W 75 57 63 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 67 26 | W 60 62 |
| Madison Keys | W 61 62 | L 46 57 |
| Magda Linette | W 64 64 | W 61 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Maria Sakkari
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Emiliana Arango
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals
Aug 13
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Viktorija Golubic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 11
Coco Gauff
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 9
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Barbora Krejcikova
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Shuai Zhang
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Anastasia Zakharova
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Elena Gabriela Ruse
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · Semifinals
Jun 26
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 53–61 matches
| Metric | Swiatek | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 75% |
| Sets won | 70% | 67% |
| Games won | 60% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Swiatek | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 3 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Swiatek | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.