Karolina Muchova vs Sorana CirsteaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇿Karolina Muchova
#7 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
8 meetings · sets 14–4
🇷🇴Sorana Cirstea
#16 · 36 yrs · Right-Handed
6wKarolina Muchova and Sorana Cirstea have met 8 times since 2020; Karolina Muchova leads 7–1. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Muchova leads 7–1. Muchova has won the last 5 meetings. Across all meetings Muchova has taken 14 sets to Cirstea's 4. Their most recent meeting: Karolina Muchova won at China Open - Beijing (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Muchova | Cirstea | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Karolina Muchova | Sorana Cirstea | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 26/40 | 80% | 32/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 4/13 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 18/53 | 29% | 16/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 20/38 | 77% | 30/39 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 8/12 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 8/8 | 80% | 12/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 32/34 | 93% | 37/40 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 26/34 | 80% | 32/40 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 6 of 8 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Muchova 5, Cirstea 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Muchova
🤖 Servebot
Cirstea
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 2,084 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Sorana Cirstea.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
8 career meetings, newest first
Sep 26, 2025
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 28, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 20, 2025
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Sep 5, 2023
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 9, 2023
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal
H Hard · 2nd Round
Mar 26, 2023
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 3rd Round
Feb 21, 2023
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 2nd Round
Sep 5, 2020
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Muchova | Cirstea | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Karolina Muchova | Sorana Cirstea | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 5 or more | 29% | 2/7 | 29% | 2/7 |
| 10 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Muchova | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–2 | 4–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.27 | 1.98 |
| ROI % | -10.1% | -20.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.71u | -1.40u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Muchova | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | ROU | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Muchova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Cirstea's 60%).
| Opponent | Muchova | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Nikola Bartunkova | L 36 06 | W 76 63 |
| Naomi Osaka | W 75 16 76 | L 36 64 26 |
| Sinja Kraus | W 63 60 | W 63 63 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | W 63 64 | W |
| Maya Joint | W 63 75 | L 46 46 |
| Linda Noskova | L 26 75 36 | L 62 36 67 |
| Coco Gauff | W 62 16 76 | L 46 36 |
| Shuai Zhang | W 63 62 | W 63 64 |
| Kamilla Rakhimova | W 62 62 | W 64 64 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 36 46 | W 26 63 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nikola Bartunkova
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 8
Naomi Osaka
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 6
Liudmila Samsonova
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Katie Boulter
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Katie Boulter
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Sinja Kraus
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 11
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Jasmine Paolini
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Diane Parry
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Julia Grabher
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Anna Kalinskaya
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Nikola Bartunkova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Maya Joint
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 53–56 matches
| Metric | Muchova | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 75% | 71% |
| Sets won | 68% | 69% |
| Games won | 55% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Muchova | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 3 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 4 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Muchova | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 7 | 1 |
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