Karolina Muchova vs Sorana CirsteaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇿Karolina Muchova
#7 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
7w8 meetings · sets 14–4
🇷🇴Sorana Cirstea
#17 · 36 yrs · Right-Handed
Karolina Muchova and Sorana Cirstea have met 8 times since 2020; Karolina Muchova leads 7–1. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Muchova leads 7–1. Muchova has won the last 5 meetings. Across all meetings Muchova has taken 14 sets to Cirstea's 4. Their most recent meeting: Karolina Muchova won at China Open - Beijing (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Muchova | Cirstea | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Karolina Muchova | Sorana Cirstea | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 25/40 | 76% | 29/38 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 5/13 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 20/53 | 32% | 18/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 18/34 | 71% | 27/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 11/16 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 6/9 | 79% | 11/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 31/34 | 92% | 34/37 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 25/34 | 78% | 29/37 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 6 of 8 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Muchova 5, Cirstea 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Muchova
💥 Big Hitter
Cirstea
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Karolina Muchova and Sorana Cirstea are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,096 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
8 career meetings, newest first
Sep 26, 2025
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 28, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 20, 2025
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Sep 5, 2023
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 9, 2023
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal
H Hard · 2nd Round
Mar 26, 2023
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 3rd Round
Feb 21, 2023
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 2nd Round
Sep 5, 2020
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Muchova | Cirstea | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Karolina Muchova | Sorana Cirstea | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 9/12 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 6/12 | 44% | 4/9 |
| 10 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 11% | 1/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Muchova | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–2 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.51 | 1.95 |
| ROI % | +16.3% | -38.7% |
| Units P/L | +1.63u | -3.48u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Muchova | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | — | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Muchova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Cirstea's 60%).
| Opponent | Muchova | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Maya Joint | W 63 75 | L 46 46 |
| Linda Noskova | L 26 75 36 | L 62 36 67 |
| Coco Gauff | W 62 16 76 | L 46 36 |
| Naomi Osaka | W 76 64 | L 36 64 26 |
| Shuai Zhang | W 63 62 | W 63 64 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | W 63 62 | W 63 61 |
| Kamilla Rakhimova | W 62 62 | W 64 64 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 36 46 | W 26 63 75 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 36 26 | W 75 64 |
| Anna Bondar | W 75 62 | W 76 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 11
Coco Gauff
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 9
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Barbora Krejcikova
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Shuai Zhang
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Anastasia Zakharova
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Elena Gabriela Ruse
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · Semifinals
Jun 26
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Nikola Bartunkova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Maya Joint
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Kimberly Birrell
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Sara Bejlek
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Emma Raducanu
The HSBC Championships - London · 2nd Round
Jun 12
Maddison Inglis
The HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 53–56 matches
| Metric | Muchova | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 75% | 68% |
| Sets won | 67% | 65% |
| Games won | 55% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Muchova | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 3 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 4 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Muchova | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 7 | 1 |
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