Iga Swiatek vs Sorana CirsteaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇵🇱Iga Swiatek
#8 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
6 meetings · sets 12–1
🇷🇴Sorana Cirstea
#17 · 36 yrs · Right-Handed
Iga Swiatek and Sorana Cirstea have met 6 times since 2022; Iga Swiatek leads 6–0. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Swiatek leads 5–0. Swiatek has won the last 6 meetings. Across all meetings Swiatek has taken 12 sets to Cirstea's 1. Their most recent meeting: Iga Swiatek won at Korea Open - Seoul (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Swiatek | Cirstea | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Iga Swiatek | Sorana Cirstea | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 35/44 | 76% | 29/38 |
| Wins a set when losing | 65% | 11/17 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 20/61 | 32% | 18/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 34/59 | 71% | 27/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/1 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 75% | 6/8 | 79% | 11/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 39/45 | 92% | 34/37 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 35/45 | 78% | 29/37 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Swiatek 5, Cirstea 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Swiatek
👑 The Complete Package
Cirstea
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Sep 18, 2025
Korea Open - Seoul
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 13, 2025
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 4th Round
Apr 27, 2024
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 3rd Round
Feb 12, 2024
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · 2nd Round
Mar 16, 2023
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 24, 2022
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 4th Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Swiatek | Cirstea | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Iga Swiatek | Sorana Cirstea | ||
| 1 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 3 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 5 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 44% | 4/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 11% | 1/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Swiatek | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–3 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.24 | 1.95 |
| ROI % | -6.7% | -38.7% |
| Units P/L | -0.87u | -3.48u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Swiatek | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 9 | 3 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Swiatek has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Cirstea's 50%).
| Opponent | Swiatek | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula | L 57 64 46 | L 26 64 57 |
| Diana Shnaider | W 62 61 | W 62 76 |
| Viktorija Golubic | W 62 61 | W 62 26 62 |
| Maya Joint | W 61 61 | L 46 46 |
| Sara Bejlek | W 60 63 | W 61 76 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 67 26 | L 57 46 |
| Maddison Inglis | W 60 63 | W 64 57 62 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 63 46 36 | L 06 36 |
| Eva Lys | W 36 63 64 | W 63 60 |
| Coco Gauff | L 46 26 | L 46 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Maria Sakkari
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Emiliana Arango
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals
Aug 13
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Viktorija Golubic
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Nikola Bartunkova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Maya Joint
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Kimberly Birrell
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Sara Bejlek
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Emma Raducanu
The HSBC Championships - London · 2nd Round
Jun 12
Maddison Inglis
The HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 56–61 matches
| Metric | Swiatek | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 68% |
| Sets won | 70% | 65% |
| Games won | 60% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Swiatek | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 4 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Swiatek | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 5 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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