Anastasia Potapova vs Karolina MuchovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Anastasia Potapova
#25 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 3–6
🇨🇿Karolina Muchova
#7 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
7wAnastasia Potapova and Karolina Muchova have met 4 times since 2023; Karolina Muchova leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Muchova leads 3–0. Across all meetings Potapova has taken 3 sets to Muchova's 6. Their most recent meeting: Anastasia Potapova won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Potapova | Muchova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Anastasia Potapova | Karolina Muchova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 15/26 | 64% | 25/39 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 4/15 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 15/41 | 37% | 19/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 9/22 | 55% | 18/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 12/19 | 69% | 11/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 6/13 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 17/19 | 91% | 31/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 15/19 | 74% | 25/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Potapova 1, Muchova 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Potapova
👑 The Complete Package
Muchova
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
May 8, 2026
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jan 31, 2025
Upper Austria Ladies Linz - Linz
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 31, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 8, 2023
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Potapova | Muchova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Anastasia Potapova | Karolina Muchova | ||
| 1 or more | 71% | 5/7 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 75% | 9/12 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 50% | 6/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Potapova | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–4 | 8–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.77 | 1.51 |
| ROI % | -40.4% | +16.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.83u | +1.63u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Potapova | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | — |
| Route | CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Muchova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Potapova's 60%).
| Opponent | Potapova | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Elina Svitolina | L 16 16 | W 64 26 64 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 64 62 | W 64 64 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 16 26 | L 62 16 26 |
| Linda Noskova | L 26 46 | L 26 75 36 |
| Coco Gauff | W 46 76 64 | W 62 16 76 |
| Shuai Zhang | W 63 61 | W 63 62 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | W 16 64 63 | W 63 62 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | L 46 62 67 | W 63 64 |
| Katie Boulter | W 57 64 62 | W 63 75 |
| Maya Joint | W 61 62 | W 63 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sloane Stephens
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Elena Gabriela Ruse
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Diana Shnaider
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 31
Venus Williams
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Suzan Lamens
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 1st Round
Jun 10
Anna Kalinskaya
French Open - Paris · 4th Round
Jun 1
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 11
Coco Gauff
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 9
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Barbora Krejcikova
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Shuai Zhang
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Anastasia Zakharova
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Elena Gabriela Ruse
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · Semifinals
Jun 26
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–52 matches
| Metric | Potapova | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 75% |
| Sets won | 58% | 67% |
| Games won | 53% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Potapova | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Potapova | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.