Coco Gauff vs Jasmine PaoliniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Coco Gauff
#5 · 22 yrs · Right-Handed
7 meetings · sets 9–7
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#33 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
Coco Gauff and Jasmine Paolini have met 7 times since 2021; Coco Gauff leads 4–3. Their first meeting came at Adelaide International - Adelaide in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Gauff leads 4–1. On clay courts Paolini leads 2–0. Gauff has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Paolini leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Gauff has taken 9 sets to Paolini's 7. Their most recent meeting: Coco Gauff won at WTA Finals - Riyadh (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Gauff | Paolini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Coco Gauff | Jasmine Paolini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 30/49 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 75% | 12/16 | 26% | 5/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 48% | 31/65 | 38% | 15/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 29/55 | 33% | 10/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 89% | 8/9 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 65% | 11/17 | 14% | 1/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 37/41 | 78% | 14/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 30/41 | 56% | 10/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Gauff 3, Paolini 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Gauff
👑 The Complete Package
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 978 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Nov 4, 2025
WTA Finals - Riyadh
H Hard · Round Robin
Oct 11, 2025
Wuhan Open - Wuhan
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 15, 2025
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · Quarterfinals
May 17, 2025
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · Final
Apr 19, 2025
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Aug 18, 2023
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Feb 23, 2021
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Gauff | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 16–3 | 2–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.30 | 1.66 |
| ROI % | +4.6% | -36.5% |
| Units P/L | +0.88u | -1.46u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Gauff | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 1 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ROU | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Gauff has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Paolini's 20%).
| Opponent | Gauff | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Elise Mertens | L 36 36 | L 64 67 36 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 63 46 46 | L 36 26 |
| Iva Jovic | W 61 64 | L 26 67 |
| Cristina Bucsa | W 63 64 | L 57 46 |
| Sorana Cirstea | W 64 63 | L 36 36 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | W 63 64 | L 26 26 |
| Jessica Pegula | W 62 64 | L 26 36 |
| Marta Kostyuk | W 62 62 | L 36 26 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 61 64 | W 61 62 |
| Alexandra Eala | L | W 64 46 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Xinran Sun
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Mirra Andreeva
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Iva Jovic
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 8
Cristina Bucsa
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Paula Badosa
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Daria Snigur
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Lucrezia Stefanini
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Veronika Erjavec
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–65 matches
| Metric | Gauff | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 75% | 51% |
| Sets won | 68% | 48% |
| Games won | 57% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Gauff | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| WTA Finals | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Gauff | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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