Coco Gauff vs Jasmine PaoliniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Coco Gauff
#4 · 22 yrs · Right-Handed
6Title7 meetings · sets 9–7
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#20 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
8wCoco Gauff and Jasmine Paolini have met 7 times since 2021; Coco Gauff leads 4–3. Their first meeting came at Adelaide International - Adelaide in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Gauff leads 4–1. On clay courts Paolini leads 2–0. Gauff has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Paolini leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Gauff has taken 9 sets to Paolini's 7. Their most recent meeting: Coco Gauff won at WTA Finals - Riyadh (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Gauff | Paolini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Coco Gauff | Jasmine Paolini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 32/51 | 54% | 14/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 69% | 11/16 | 26% | 5/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 30/67 | 38% | 17/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 31/58 | 36% | 12/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 88% | 7/8 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 9/15 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 39/42 | 81% | 17/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 32/42 | 67% | 14/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Gauff 3, Paolini 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Gauff
👑 The Complete Package
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 821 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Nov 4, 2025
WTA Finals - Riyadh
H Hard · Round Robin
Oct 11, 2025
Wuhan Open - Wuhan
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 15, 2025
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · Quarterfinals
May 17, 2025
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · Final
Apr 19, 2025
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Aug 18, 2023
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Feb 23, 2021
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Gauff | Paolini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Coco Gauff | Jasmine Paolini | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 3 or more | 77% | 13/17 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 5 or more | 41% | 7/17 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 18% | 3/17 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Gauff | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–3 | 4–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.44 | 2.18 |
| ROI % | +14.3% | +35.3% |
| Units P/L | +2.44u | +2.12u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Gauff | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 10 | — |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | — |
| Route | CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Gauff has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Paolini's 50%).
| Opponent | Gauff | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula | W 62 64 | L 26 36 |
| Marta Kostyuk | W 62 62 | L 36 26 |
| Marie Bouzkova | W 63 62 | W 62 75 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 75 26 26 | L 36 26 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 61 64 | W 61 62 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 60 62 | W 64 46 63 |
| Belinda Bencic | W 46 63 64 | L 46 36 |
| Solana Sierra | W 63 36 76 | L 63 46 36 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 64 67 46 | W 67 62 63 |
| Taylor Townsend | W 64 60 | W 63 16 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Marta Kostyuk
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Marie Bouzkova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Ann Li
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Liudmila Samsonova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals
Aug 13
Alina Korneeva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Robin Montgomery
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tatjana Maria
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Solana Sierra
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Dayana Yastremska
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–67 matches
| Metric | Gauff | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 76% | 58% |
| Sets won | 69% | 53% |
| Games won | 57% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Gauff | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| WTA Finals | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Gauff | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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