Iva Jovic vs Jasmine PaoliniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Iva Jovic
#14 · 18 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 3–4
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#20 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
8wIva Jovic and Jasmine Paolini have met 3 times since 2025; Jasmine Paolini leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Paolini leads 2–1. Across all meetings Jovic has taken 3 sets to Paolini's 4. Their most recent meeting: Iva Jovic won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Jovic | Paolini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Iva Jovic | Jasmine Paolini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 30/41 | 54% | 14/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 10/23 | 26% | 5/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 21/64 | 38% | 17/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 25/47 | 36% | 12/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 64% | 9/14 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 8/18 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 39/45 | 81% | 17/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 30/45 | 67% | 14/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Jovic 1, Paolini 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Jovic
👑 The Complete Package
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 821 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 23, 2026
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 27, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Mar 8, 2025
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Jovic | Paolini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Iva Jovic | Jasmine Paolini | ||
| 1 or more | 83% | 10/12 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 4/12 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 5 or more | 17% | 2/12 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Jovic | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–4 | 4–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.56 | 2.18 |
| ROI % | -5.3% | +35.3% |
| Units P/L | -0.63u | +2.12u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Jovic | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | — |
| Route | CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Jovic and Paolini posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Jovic | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Marie Bouzkova | L 67 67 | W 62 75 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 62 62 | W 64 46 63 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 64 36 16 | L 26 36 |
| Tatjana Maria | W 61 62 | L 46 36 |
| Amanda Anisimova | W 62 36 63 | L 76 36 46 |
| Coco Gauff | L 75 57 26 | L 36 26 |
| Taylor Townsend | W 75 62 | W 63 16 62 |
| Sofia Kenin | W 75 75 | W 63 60 |
| Talia Gibson | L 26 26 | L 57 62 16 |
| Ajla Tomljanovic | L 64 46 46 | W 75 57 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Marie Bouzkova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Tamara Korpatsch
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Alina Korneeva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Magda Linette
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Jessica Pegula
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Tatjana Maria
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Jaqueline Cristian
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Robin Montgomery
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tatjana Maria
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Solana Sierra
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Dayana Yastremska
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–64 matches
| Metric | Jovic | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 58% |
| Sets won | 62% | 53% |
| Games won | 55% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Jovic | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Jovic | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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