Iva Jovic vs Jasmine PaoliniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Iva Jovic
#11 · 18 yrs · Right-Handed
Title3 meetings · sets 3–4
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#33 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
Iva Jovic and Jasmine Paolini have met 3 times since 2025; Jasmine Paolini leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Paolini leads 2–1. Across all meetings Jovic has taken 3 sets to Paolini's 4. Their most recent meeting: Iva Jovic won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Jovic | Paolini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Iva Jovic | Jasmine Paolini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 33/43 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 26% | 5/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 19/65 | 38% | 15/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 60% | 30/50 | 33% | 10/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 54% | 7/13 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 8/16 | 14% | 1/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 40/46 | 78% | 14/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 33/46 | 56% | 10/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Jovic 1, Paolini 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Jovic
👑 The Complete Package
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 978 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 23, 2026
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 27, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Mar 8, 2025
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Jovic | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–4 | 2–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.54 | 1.66 |
| ROI % | -7.5% | -36.5% |
| Units P/L | -1.13u | -1.46u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Jovic | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 7 | 1 |
| Distance | 7,530 mi · 12,118 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | UKR → ROU | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Jovic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Paolini's 40%).
| Opponent | Jovic | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Cristina Bucsa | W 64 61 | L 57 46 |
| Magdalena Frech | W 62 61 | W 62 63 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | W 76 64 | L 26 26 |
| Coco Gauff | L 16 46 | L 36 26 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 75 36 75 | W 64 46 63 |
| Jessica Pegula | L 64 36 16 | L 26 36 |
| Tatjana Maria | W 61 62 | L 46 36 |
| Taylor Townsend | W 75 62 | W 63 16 62 |
| Talia Gibson | L 26 26 | L 57 62 16 |
| Ajla Tomljanovic | L 64 46 46 | W 75 57 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Iga Swiatek
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Kamilla Rakhimova
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Harriet Dart
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Peyton Stearns
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Final
Sep 19
Cristina Bucsa
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Semifinals
Sep 18
Magdalena Frech
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Quarterfinals
Sep 17
Zeynep Sonmez
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Coco Gauff
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 8
Daria Snigur
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Lucrezia Stefanini
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Veronika Erjavec
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–65 matches
| Metric | Jovic | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 66% | 51% |
| Sets won | 64% | 48% |
| Games won | 56% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Jovic | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Jovic | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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