Elena Rybakina vs Maria SakkariPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฐ๐ฟElena Rybakina
#2 ยท 26 yrs ยท Right-Handed
87 meetings ยท sets 12โ5

๐ฌ๐ทMaria Sakkari
#33 ยท 30 yrs ยท Right-Handed
Elena Rybakina and Maria Sakkari have met 7 times since 2020; Elena Rybakina leads 6โ1. Their first meeting came at St. Petersburg Ladies Trophy - St. Petersburg in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Rybakina leads 4โ1. Rybakina has won the last 5 meetings. Across all meetings Rybakina has taken 12 sets to Sakkari's 5. Their most recent meeting: Elena Rybakina won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rybakina | Sakkari | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elena Rybakina | Maria Sakkari | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 39/57 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 62% | 8/13 | 23% | 5/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 26/70 | 30% | 13/43 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 60% | 37/62 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 5/7 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 8/15 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 46/49 | 77% | 17/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 39/49 | 59% | 13/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rybakina 3, Sakkari 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rybakina
๐ค Servebot
Sakkari
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Elena Rybakina and Maria Sakkari are ๐ค Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,026 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
May 8, 2026
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Jul 3, 2025
Wimbledon - London
G Grass ยท 2nd Round
Dec 29, 2024
United Cup
H Hard ยท Round Robin
Mar 26, 2024
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 31, 2023
WTA Finals - Cancun
H Hard ยท Round Robin
Mar 17, 2022
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard ยท Quarterfinals
Feb 15, 2020
St. Petersburg Ladies Trophy - St. Petersburg
H Hard ยท Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rybakina | Sakkari | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elena Rybakina | Maria Sakkari | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 86% | 12/14 |
| 3 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 64% | 9/14 |
| 5 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 43% | 6/14 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 4/15 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 2/15 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11โ3 | 8โ6 |
| Avg odds | 1.32 | 2.26 |
| ROI % | +6.4% | -8.9% |
| Units P/L | +0.90u | -1.25u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 8 | 4 |
| Distance | 411 mi ยท 662 km | 411 mi ยท 662 km |
| Route | CAN โ POL | CAN โ POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Sakkari's 20%).
| Opponent | Rybakina | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Iga Swiatek | W 75 61 | L 64 16 16 |
| Coco Gauff | W 57 62 62 | L 16 46 |
| Naomi Osaka | W 46 76 64 | W 64 62 |
| Daria Kasatkina | W 63 57 64 | L 67 46 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 63 62 | L 16 26 |
| Qinwen Zheng | W 46 64 63 | L 64 67 46 |
| Tatjana Maria | W 67 75 60 | L 36 36 |
| Linda Noskova | W 63 64 | W 75 76 |
| Karolina Pliskova | W 60 62 | L 46 67 |
| Karolina Muchova | W 75 61 | L 63 46 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 4th Round
Aug 20
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 17
Taylor Townsend
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Coco Gauff
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท Semifinals
Aug 13
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Liudmila Samsonova
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 4th Round
Aug 9
Ann Li
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 3rd Round
Aug 7
Daria Kasatkina
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 17
Kamilla Rakhimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Coco Gauff
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 3rd Round
Aug 8
Zeynep Sonmez
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Barbora Krejcikova
Athens Open - Athens ยท Final
Jul 19
Alina Korneeva
Athens Open - Athens ยท Semifinals
Jul 18
Alycia Parks
Athens Open - Athens ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Harriet Dart
Athens Open - Athens ยท 2nd Round
Jul 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 43โ70 matches
| Metric | Rybakina | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 81% | 49% |
| Sets won | 73% | 47% |
| Games won | 58% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rybakina | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA Finals | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rybakina | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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