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Head-to-Head

Elena Rybakina vs Maria SakkariPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Elena Rybakina

🇰🇿Elena Rybakina

#1 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed

6–1

7 meetings · sets 12–5

Maria Sakkari

🇬🇷Maria Sakkari

#35 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed

Elena Rybakina and Maria Sakkari have met 7 times since 2020; Elena Rybakina leads 6–1. Their first meeting came at St. Petersburg Ladies Trophy - St. Petersburg in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Rybakina leads 4–1. Rybakina has won the last 5 meetings. Across all meetings Rybakina has taken 12 sets to Sakkari's 5. Their most recent meeting: Elena Rybakina won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2026).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorRybakinaSakkari
Wins in straight sets67%67%
Wins a set when losing58%32%
Goes to a deciding set38%33%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite61%52%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog75%50%
Tiebreak sets won56%33%
Wins after taking set 192%76%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 178%64%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rybakina 3, Sakkari 1).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Rybakina

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve
vs

Sakkari

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve

Matchup analysis

Both Elena Rybakina and Maria Sakkari are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,080 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.

Previous meetings

7 career meetings, newest first

May 8, 2026

Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome

C Clay · 2nd Round

64
61
Rybakina

Jul 3, 2025

Wimbledon - London

G Grass · 2nd Round

63
61
Rybakina

Dec 29, 2024

United Cup

H Hard · Round Robin

64
63
Rybakina

Mar 26, 2024

Miami Open - Miami

H Hard · Quarterfinals

75
647
64
Rybakina

Oct 31, 2023

WTA Finals - Cancun

H Hard · Round Robin

60
647
762
Rybakina

Mar 17, 2022

BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells

H Hard · Quarterfinals

57
46
Sakkari

Feb 15, 2020

St. Petersburg Ladies Trophy - St. Petersburg

H Hard · Semifinals

36
75
61
Rybakina

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeRybakinaSakkari
1 or more100%86%
3 or more94%79%
5 or more88%50%
10 or more31%0%
15 or more13%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricRybakinaSakkari
W-L15–28–6
Avg odds1.472.17
ROI %+28.5%-19.2%
Units P/L+4.85u-2.69u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricRybakinaSakkari
Countries12
Events12
Matches15
Distance0 mi · 0 km2,779 mi · 4,472 km
RouteROUSGP → ROU

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Sakkari's 10%).

OpponentRybakinaSakkari
Elina Svitolina
L
62
46
46
L
46
57
Talia Gibson
W
62
62
L
16
64
26
Coco Gauff
W
36
64
64
L
16
46
Qinwen Zheng
W
36
61
64
L
64
67
46
Naomi Osaka
W
61
64
W
64
62
Yuliia Starodubtseva
W
76
63
L
61
67
26
Iga Swiatek
L
L
64
16
16
Daria Kasatkina
W
63
57
64
L
67
46
Jasmine Paolini
W
63
62
L
16
26
Tatjana Maria
W
67
75
60
L
36
36

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Rybakina
LWWWWWWW
L

Alina Charaeva

China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round

63
46
36

Oct 3

W

Aryna Sabalenka

U.S. Open - New York · Final

64
57
62

Sep 12

W

Coco Gauff

U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals

36
64
64

Sep 11

W

Qinwen Zheng

U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals

36
61
64

Sep 9

W

Naomi Osaka

U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round

61
64

Sep 7

W

Yuliia Starodubtseva

U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round

766
63

Sep 6

W

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round

62
64

Sep 4

W

Thea Frodin

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

63
62

Sep 1

Sakkari
LWLWWLWL
L

Elina Svitolina

China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round

46
57

Oct 5

W

Storm Hunter

China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round

62
62

Oct 3

L

Talia Gibson

Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals

16
64
26

Sep 25

W

Nao Hibino

Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 2nd Round

75
61

Sep 24

W

Linda Fruhvirtova

Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round

64
61

Sep 22

L

Yuliia Starodubtseva

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round

61
647
26

Sep 4

W

Robin Montgomery

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

26
75
62

Sep 1

L

Iga Swiatek

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round

64
16
16

Aug 17

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ RybakinaRybakina ahead↓ Sakkari

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–72 matches

MetricRybakinaSakkari
Matches won83%52%
Sets won74%51%
Games won58%51%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageRybakinaSakkari
Grand Slam10
WTA Finals10
WTA 25010
WTA 100021
Other10

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceRybakinaSakkari
Hard41
Clay10
Grass10

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Elena Rybakina vs Maria Sakkari FAQ

Elena Rybakina leads the head-to-head 6–1 over 7 meetings.