Andrey Rublev vs Daniil MedvedevPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrey Rublev and Daniil Medvedev have met 11 times since 2016; Daniil Medvedev leads 9–2. Their first meeting came at Budapest in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Medvedev leads 9–2. Medvedev has won the last 4 meetings. 2 of their meetings have been finals, with Medvedev leading those 2–0. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 4 sets to Medvedev's 23. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rublev | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrey Rublev | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 19/29 | 68% | 28/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 17/47 | 36% | 20/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 19/39 | 51% | 25/49 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 25% | 2/8 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 11/20 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 94% | 34/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 19/30 | 78% | 28/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 6 of 8 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rublev 0, Medvedev 6).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
💥 Big Hitter
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Andrey Rublev.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
11 career meetings, newest first
Sep 29, 2026
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou
H Hard · Final
Nov 13, 2023
Nitto ATP Finals - Turin
H Hard · Round Robin
Sep 6, 2023
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Mar 4, 2023
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai
H Hard · Final
Nov 14, 2022
Nitto ATP Finals - Turin
H Hard · Round Robin
Aug 21, 2021
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · Semifinals
Feb 17, 2021
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Sep 9, 2020
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Sep 15, 2019
St. Petersburg
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 12, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Oct 17, 2016
Budapest
H Hard · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rublev | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrey Rublev | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 5 or more | 83% | 15/18 | 88% | 15/17 |
| 10 or more | 44% | 8/18 | 82% | 14/17 |
| 15 or more | 11% | 2/18 | 24% | 4/17 |
| 20 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 12% | 2/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–7 | 11–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.50 | 1.32 |
| ROI % | -14.8% | -15.1% |
| Units P/L | -2.67u | -2.42u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rublev | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 8 | 9 |
| Distance | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Rublev's 50%).
| Opponent | Rublev | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Rei Sakamoto | L 46 46 | W 67 63 61 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 36 67 36 | W 76 63 |
| Roman Safiullin | W 62 36 64 | W 75 64 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | W 76 61 | W 64 62 |
| Hugo Gaston | W 67 76 61 | W 64 62 64 |
| Valentin Royer | W 63 64 | W 76 63 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 62 64 | W 64 64 64 |
| Daniel Merida Aguilar | L 76 26 46 46 | W 36 63 75 62 |
| Nuno Borges | L 36 46 | W 64 67 62 |
| Juncheng Shang | L 57 64 67 | W 61 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Roman Safiullin
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Tallon Griekspoor
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Daniil Medvedev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Kyrian Jacquet
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Hugo Gaston
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Rinky Hijikata
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Jan-Lennard Struff
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Jan-Lennard Struff
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Roman Safiullin
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 57–68 matches
| Metric | Rublev | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 72% |
| Sets won | 58% | 66% |
| Games won | 53% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rublev | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 2 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 3 |
| ATP Finals | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rublev | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 9 |
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