Andrey Rublev vs Daniil MedvedevPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Andrey Rublev and Daniil Medvedev have met 10 times since 2016; Daniil Medvedev leads 8–2. Their first meeting came at Budapest in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Medvedev leads 8–2. Medvedev has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Medvedev leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Rublev has taken 4 sets to Medvedev's 21. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at Nitto ATP Finals - Turin (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rublev | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrey Rublev | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 17/24 | 71% | 29/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 7/18 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 14/42 | 36% | 21/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 17/36 | 49% | 25/51 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 17% | 1/6 | 60% | 3/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 8/18 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 21/26 | 90% | 35/39 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 17/26 | 74% | 29/39 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rublev 0, Medvedev 5).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rublev
🤖 Servebot
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 616 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
10 career meetings, newest first
Nov 13, 2023
Nitto ATP Finals - Turin
H Hard · Round Robin
Sep 6, 2023
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Mar 4, 2023
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai
H Hard · Final
Nov 14, 2022
Nitto ATP Finals - Turin
H Hard · Round Robin
Aug 21, 2021
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · Semifinals
Feb 17, 2021
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Sep 9, 2020
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Sep 15, 2019
St. Petersburg
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 12, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Oct 17, 2016
Budapest
H Hard · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rublev | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrey Rublev | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 5 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 10 or more | 36% | 4/11 | 54% | 7/13 |
| 15 or more | 18% | 2/11 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 20 or more | 9% | 1/11 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rublev | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 6–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.44 | 1.26 |
| ROI % | -22.6% | -39.7% |
| Units P/L | -2.48u | -4.76u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rublev | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Rublev's 50%).
| Opponent | Rublev | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Nuno Borges | L 36 46 | W 64 67 62 |
| Juncheng Shang | L 57 64 67 | W 61 63 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 64 46 64 | W 64 62 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 61 62 | W 64 60 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 46 | L 26 75 46 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 64 64 | W 63 76 |
| Flavio Cobolli | L 67 36 | L 36 75 46 |
| Fabian Marozsan | W 62 64 | W 62 67 64 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | W 62 63 | W 36 76 64 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 36 67 36 | L 06 64 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Pablo Carreno Busta
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Juncheng Shang
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Timofey Skatov
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Luciano Darderi
Nordea Open - Bastad · Final
Jul 19
Alejandro Tabilo
Nordea Open - Bastad · Semifinals
Jul 18
Sebastian Baez
Nordea Open - Bastad · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Martin Damm
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Marin Cilic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Daniel Altmaier
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–66 matches
| Metric | Rublev | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 70% |
| Sets won | 56% | 65% |
| Games won | 52% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rublev | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 3 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Finals | 1 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rublev | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 8 |
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