Sebastian Korda vs Tommy PaulPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Sebastian Korda and Tommy Paul have met 7 times since 2021; Sebastian Korda leads 5–2. Their first meeting came at Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Korda leads 3–1. On grass courts they are level 1–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Korda leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Korda has taken 12 sets to Paul's 7. Their most recent meeting: Sebastian Korda won at Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Korda | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Sebastian Korda | Tommy Paul | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 16/25 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 62% | 8/13 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 17/38 | 49% | 20/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 15/31 | 39% | 14/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 9/15 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 77% | 20/26 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 16/26 | 62% | 16/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Korda 3, Paul 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Korda
💥 Big Hitter
Paul
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Sebastian Korda and Tommy Paul are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,644 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Feb 22, 2026
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach
H Hard · Final
Jun 22, 2024
cinch Championships - London
G Grass · Semifinals
Jun 14, 2024
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Aug 31, 2022
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Sep 28, 2021
San Diego Open - San Diego
H Hard · 1st Round
May 28, 2021
Emilia-Romagna Open - Parma
C Clay · Semifinals
Jan 9, 2021
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Korda | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 10–4 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.54 |
| ROI % | - | +12.2% |
| Units P/L | - | +1.71u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Korda | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 5 |
| Distance | — | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | — | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Korda's 50%).
| Opponent | Korda | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Valentin Royer | W 62 57 64 | W 64 76 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | W 64 46 75 | L 57 67 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 36 46 | W 63 63 |
| Zachary Svajda | L 46 67 | W 75 63 |
| Casper Ruud | W 46 62 62 | L 64 76 46 67 57 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | L 26 36 | W 63 62 64 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 64 46 46 | W 26 63 63 |
| Frances Tiafoe | W 75 61 | W 75 46 76 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | W 63 57 64 | L 67 46 57 |
| Zizou Bergs | L 46 57 | W 61 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Martin Landaluce
Miami Open - Miami · 4th Round
Mar 24
Carlos Alcaraz
Miami Open - Miami · 3rd Round
Mar 22
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 20
Alex de Minaur
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 2nd Round
Mar 7
Francisco Comesana
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round
Mar 5
Tommy Paul
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach · Final
Feb 22
Flavio Cobolli
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach · Semifinals
Feb 21
Casper Ruud
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach · Quarterfinals
Feb 20
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Hubert Hurkacz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Valentin Royer
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Kamil Majchrzak
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Soonwoo Kwon
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–51 matches
| Metric | Korda | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 69% |
| Sets won | 61% | 64% |
| Games won | 54% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Korda | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 4 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Korda | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 1 |
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