Sebastian Korda vs Tommy PaulPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈSebastian Korda
#74 Β· 26 yrs Β· R
29w7 meetings Β· sets 12β7

πΊπΈTommy Paul
#18 Β· 29 yrs Β· R
Sebastian Korda and Tommy Paul have met 7 times since 2021; Sebastian Korda leads 5β2. Their first meeting came at Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Korda leads 3β1. On grass courts they are level 1β1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Korda leading those 1β0. Across all meetings Korda has taken 12 sets to Paul's 7. Their most recent meeting: Sebastian Korda won at Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Korda | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Sebastian Korda | Tommy Paul | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 14/21 | 57% | 17/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 60% | 6/10 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 13/31 | 48% | 21/44 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 13/25 | 38% | 15/39 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 100% | 6/6 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 7/12 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 18/23 | 79% | 22/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 14/23 | 61% | 17/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Korda 3, Paul 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Korda
π₯ Big Hitter
Paul
π₯ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Sebastian Korda and Tommy Paul are π₯ Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,120 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Feb 22, 2026
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach
H Hard Β· Final
Jun 22, 2024
cinch Championships - London
G Grass Β· Semifinals
Jun 14, 2024
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch
G Grass Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 31, 2022
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Sep 28, 2021
San Diego Open - San Diego
H Hard Β· 1st Round
May 28, 2021
Emilia-Romagna Open - Parma
C Clay Β· Semifinals
Jan 9, 2021
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Korda | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 8β5 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.81 |
| ROI % | - | +1.3% |
| Units P/L | - | +0.17u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Korda | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | β | 2 |
| Events | β | 2 |
| Matches | β | 2 |
| Distance | β | 1,092 mi Β· 1,758 km |
| Route | β | JPN β CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Korda and Paul posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Korda | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz | W 63 57 64 | L 46 36 46 |
| Flavio Cobolli | W 76 61 | L 62 36 46 |
| Valentin Royer | W 62 57 64 | W 64 76 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | W 64 46 75 | L 57 67 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 36 46 | W 63 63 |
| Zachary Svajda | L 46 67 | W 75 63 |
| Casper Ruud | W 46 62 62 | L 64 76 46 67 57 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | L 26 36 | W 63 62 64 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 64 46 46 | W 26 63 63 |
| Frances Tiafoe | W 75 61 | W 75 46 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Martin Landaluce
Miami Open - Miami Β· 4th Round
Mar 24
Carlos Alcaraz
Miami Open - Miami Β· 3rd Round
Mar 22
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Miami Open - Miami Β· 2nd Round
Mar 20
Alex de Minaur
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells Β· 2nd Round
Mar 7
Francisco Comesana
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells Β· 1st Round
Mar 5
Tommy Paul
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach Β· Final
Feb 22
Flavio Cobolli
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach Β· Semifinals
Feb 21
Casper Ruud
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach Β· Quarterfinals
Feb 20
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 2nd Round
Oct 10
Alejandro Tabilo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· 1st Round
Sep 30
Carlos Alcaraz
U.S. Open - New York Β· 4th Round
Sep 6
Alexander Bublik
U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round
Sep 4
Dino Prizmic
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Sep 3
Chak Pong Marco Lam
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Aug 30
Flavio Cobolli
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 4th Round
Aug 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 32β58 matches
| Metric | Korda | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 66% | 69% |
| Sets won | 63% | 64% |
| Games won | 54% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Korda | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 5 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Korda | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 1 |
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