Frances Tiafoe vs Sebastian KordaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈFrances Tiafoe
#12 Β· 28 yrs Β· R
48 meetings Β· sets 10β10

πΊπΈSebastian Korda
#68 Β· 26 yrs Β· R
23wFrances Tiafoe and Sebastian Korda have met 8 times since 2018; they are level 4β4. Their first meeting came at New York in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Korda leads 3β2. On clay courts Tiafoe leads 2β0. Across all meetings Tiafoe has taken 10 sets to Korda's 10. Their most recent meeting: Sebastian Korda won at Dallas Open - Dallas (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tiafoe | Korda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Frances Tiafoe | Sebastian Korda | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 17/30 | 64% | 16/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 6/16 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 19/46 | 45% | 17/38 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 13/26 | 48% | 15/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 13/20 | 100% | 7/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | 77% | 20/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 17/27 | 62% | 16/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tiafoe 1, Korda 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tiafoe
π₯ Big Hitter
Korda
π₯ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Frances Tiafoe and Sebastian Korda are π₯ Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,644 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
8 career meetings, newest first
Feb 11, 2026
Dallas Open - Dallas
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
May 30, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay Β· 3rd Round
Aug 3, 2024
Citi Open - Washington
H Hard Β· Semifinals
Jun 21, 2023
cinch Championships - London
G Grass Β· 2nd Round
Aug 17, 2022
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Apr 30, 2022
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril
C Clay Β· Semifinals
Oct 9, 2021
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Feb 7, 2018
New York
H Hard Β· Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15β4 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.92 | - |
| ROI % | +37.9% | - |
| Units P/L | +7.20u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tiafoe | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | β |
| Events | 2 | β |
| Matches | 6 | β |
| Distance | 712 mi Β· 1,146 km | β |
| Route | CAN β USA | β |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Tiafoe has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Korda's 60%).
| Opponent | Tiafoe | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo Musetti | W 76 75 | L 06 75 57 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | W 63 64 | L 26 36 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 64 64 | L 76 46 67 |
| Sho Shimabukuro | W 64 75 | W 61 64 |
| Flavio Cobolli | W 62 76 | W 76 61 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | L 67 67 | W 60 63 |
| Tommy Paul | L 57 64 67 | W 64 63 |
| Alexei Popyrin | W 36 64 76 | W 46 63 64 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 36 46 57 | L 64 46 46 |
| Francisco Comesana | W 64 63 46 62 | W 75 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Final
Aug 23
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Semifinals
Aug 23
Lorenzo Musetti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 4th Round
Aug 20
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 19
Lorenzo Sonego
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 17
Marin Cilic
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 2nd Round
Aug 5
Terence Atmane
Citi Open - Washington Β· 1st Round
Jul 28
Martin Landaluce
Miami Open - Miami Β· 4th Round
Mar 24
Carlos Alcaraz
Miami Open - Miami Β· 3rd Round
Mar 22
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Miami Open - Miami Β· 2nd Round
Mar 20
Alex de Minaur
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells Β· 2nd Round
Mar 7
Francisco Comesana
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells Β· 1st Round
Mar 5
Tommy Paul
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach Β· Final
Feb 22
Flavio Cobolli
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach Β· Semifinals
Feb 21
Casper Ruud
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach Β· Quarterfinals
Feb 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 39β56 matches
| Metric | Tiafoe | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 66% | 64% |
| Sets won | 59% | 61% |
| Games won | 53% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tiafoe | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tiafoe | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 3 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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