Daniil Medvedev vs Sebastian KordaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniil Medvedev and Sebastian Korda have met 5 times since 2021; Daniil Medvedev leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris in 2021 on hard. On hard courts they are level 2–2. Medvedev has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 6 sets to Korda's 8. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Medvedev | Korda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Medvedev | Sebastian Korda | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 28/41 | 67% | 14/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 7/15 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | 42% | 13/31 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 51% | 25/49 | 52% | 13/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 2/4 | 100% | 6/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 39% | 9/23 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 34/36 | 78% | 18/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 28/36 | 61% | 14/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Medvedev 0, Korda 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Korda
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Sebastian Korda.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Apr 29, 2024
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 3rd Round
Mar 11, 2024
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 3rd Round
Oct 8, 2023
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jan 20, 2023
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
Nov 4, 2021
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 3rd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.32 | - |
| ROI % | -15.1% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.42u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 9 | — |
| Distance | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Korda has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Medvedev's 56%).
| Opponent | Medvedev | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Valentin Royer | W 76 63 | W 62 57 64 |
| Frances Tiafoe | L 67 46 67 | W 75 61 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | L 67 16 | W 64 46 75 |
| Martin Landaluce | W 16 64 75 | L 62 67 46 |
| Flavio Cobolli | L 36 75 46 | W 76 61 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | W 63 76 | W 63 57 64 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 62 64 | W 63 76 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 67 63 36 | L 36 46 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | W 36 76 64 | L 26 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jan-Lennard Struff
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Jan-Lennard Struff
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Roman Safiullin
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Martin Landaluce
Miami Open - Miami · 4th Round
Mar 24
Carlos Alcaraz
Miami Open - Miami · 3rd Round
Mar 22
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 20
Alex de Minaur
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 2nd Round
Mar 7
Francisco Comesana
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round
Mar 5
Tommy Paul
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach · Final
Feb 22
Flavio Cobolli
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach · Semifinals
Feb 21
Casper Ruud
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach · Quarterfinals
Feb 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 32–68 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 66% |
| Sets won | 66% | 63% |
| Games won | 56% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 3 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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