Alexei Popyrin vs Sebastian KordaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π¦πΊAlexei Popyrin
#129 Β· 27 yrs Β· R
6w5 meetings Β· sets 5β8

πΊπΈSebastian Korda
#74 Β· 26 yrs Β· R
29wAlexei Popyrin and Sebastian Korda have met 5 times since 2020; Sebastian Korda leads 4β1. Their first meeting came at Eckental Challenger in 2020 on carpet. On hard courts Korda leads 3β1. Korda has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Popyrin has taken 5 sets to Korda's 8. Their most recent meeting: Sebastian Korda won at Hellenic Championship - Athens (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Popyrin | Korda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexei Popyrin | Sebastian Korda | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 5/11 | 67% | 14/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 5/21 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 11/32 | 42% | 13/31 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 14% | 2/14 | 52% | 13/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 39% | 7/18 | 100% | 6/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 22% | 2/9 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 8/12 | 78% | 18/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 42% | 5/12 | 61% | 14/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Popyrin 1, Korda 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Popyrin
π€ Servebot
Korda
π₯ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
π€ Servebot vs π₯ Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Nov 2, 2025
Hellenic Championship - Athens
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Oct 13, 2025
BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Aug 11, 2024
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard Β· Semifinals
Sep 29, 2023
Astana Open - Astana
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Nov 6, 2020
Eckental Challenger
? Carpet Β· Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4β4 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | - |
| ROI % | -0.9% | - |
| Units P/L | -0.07u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Korda has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Popyrin's 56%).
| Opponent | Popyrin | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Thanasi Kokkinakis | W | L 63 36 67 |
| Jiri Lehecka | L 46 26 46 | W |
| Zachary Svajda | L 63 36 67 57 | L 46 67 |
| Casper Ruud | L 46 36 | W 46 62 62 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 64 64 | L 76 46 67 |
| Frances Tiafoe | L 63 46 67 | W 75 61 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 60 46 61 | W 63 76 |
| Patrick Kypson | W 46 64 63 | W 76 62 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | W 36 63 75 | W 64 46 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alejandro Tabilo
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Sep 3
Grigor Dimitrov
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Sep 1
Hugo Gaston
Quebec City Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Aug 20
Francesco Maestrelli
Quebec City Challenger Β· 1st Round
Aug 19
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Thiago Agustin Tirante
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 3rd Round
Aug 8
Raphael Collignon
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Andres Burruchaga
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 1st Round
Aug 4
Martin Landaluce
Miami Open - Miami Β· 4th Round
Mar 24
Carlos Alcaraz
Miami Open - Miami Β· 3rd Round
Mar 22
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Miami Open - Miami Β· 2nd Round
Mar 20
Alex de Minaur
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells Β· 2nd Round
Mar 7
Francisco Comesana
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells Β· 1st Round
Mar 5
Tommy Paul
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach Β· Final
Feb 22
Flavio Cobolli
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach Β· Semifinals
Feb 21
Casper Ruud
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach Β· Quarterfinals
Feb 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 32β37 matches
| Metric | Popyrin | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 32% | 66% |
| Sets won | 36% | 63% |
| Games won | 47% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Popyrin | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 3 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Popyrin | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
| Carpet | 0 | 1 |
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