Alexei Popyrin vs Sebastian KordaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexei Popyrin and Sebastian Korda have met 5 times since 2020; Sebastian Korda leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Eckental Challenger in 2020 on carpet. On hard courts Korda leads 3–1. Korda has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Popyrin has taken 5 sets to Korda's 8. Their most recent meeting: Sebastian Korda won at Hellenic Championship - Athens (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Popyrin | Korda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexei Popyrin | Sebastian Korda | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 5/11 | 64% | 16/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 6/21 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 12/32 | 45% | 17/38 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 15% | 2/13 | 48% | 15/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 8/19 | 100% | 7/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 3/9 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 62% | 8/13 | 77% | 20/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 38% | 5/13 | 62% | 16/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Popyrin 1, Korda 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Popyrin
🤖 Servebot
Korda
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Nov 2, 2025
Hellenic Championship - Athens
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 13, 2025
BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 11, 2024
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · Semifinals
Sep 29, 2023
Astana Open - Astana
H Hard · 1st Round
Nov 6, 2020
Eckental Challenger
? Carpet · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.99 | - |
| ROI % | -33.8% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.70u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 145 mi · 233 km | — |
| Route | CAN | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Korda has a higher win rate against shared opponents (71% vs Popyrin's 57%).
| Opponent | Popyrin | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Zachary Svajda | L 63 36 67 57 | L 46 67 |
| Casper Ruud | L 46 36 | W 46 62 62 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 64 64 | L 76 46 67 |
| Frances Tiafoe | L 63 46 67 | W 75 61 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 60 46 61 | W 63 76 |
| Patrick Kypson | W 46 64 63 | W 76 62 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | W 36 63 75 | W 64 46 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Francesco Maestrelli
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Thiago Agustin Tirante
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Raphael Collignon
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Andres Burruchaga
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Andy Andrade
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Jiri Lehecka
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Jan Choinski
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Raphael Collignon
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 1st Round
Jun 16
Martin Landaluce
Miami Open - Miami · 4th Round
Mar 24
Carlos Alcaraz
Miami Open - Miami · 3rd Round
Mar 22
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 20
Alex de Minaur
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 2nd Round
Mar 7
Francisco Comesana
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round
Mar 5
Tommy Paul
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach · Final
Feb 22
Flavio Cobolli
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach · Semifinals
Feb 21
Casper Ruud
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach · Quarterfinals
Feb 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–39 matches
| Metric | Popyrin | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 31% | 64% |
| Sets won | 35% | 61% |
| Games won | 47% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Popyrin | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Popyrin | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
| Carpet | 0 | 1 |
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