Alexei Popyrin vs Andrey RublevPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexei Popyrin and Andrey Rublev have met 4 times since 2023; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Erste Bank Open - Vienna in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Rublev leads 2–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Popyrin leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Popyrin has taken 5 sets to Rublev's 4. Their most recent meeting: Andrey Rublev won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Popyrin | Rublev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexei Popyrin | Andrey Rublev | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 5/11 | 66% | 19/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 5/21 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 11/32 | 36% | 17/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 14% | 2/14 | 49% | 19/39 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 39% | 7/18 | 25% | 2/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 22% | 2/9 | 55% | 11/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 8/12 | 83% | 25/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 42% | 5/12 | 63% | 19/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Popyrin 2, Rublev 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Popyrin
🤖 Servebot
Rublev
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Aug 12, 2025
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 12, 2024
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · Final
Apr 10, 2024
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 2nd Round
Oct 24, 2023
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Popyrin | Rublev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexei Popyrin | Andrey Rublev | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 19/19 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 19/19 |
| 5 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 84% | 16/19 |
| 10 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 47% | 9/19 |
| 15 or more | 29% | 2/7 | 16% | 3/19 |
| 20 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 5% | 1/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–4 | 12–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 1.49 |
| ROI % | -0.9% | -12.3% |
| Units P/L | -0.07u | -2.33u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 8 |
| Distance | — | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km |
| Route | — | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rublev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Popyrin's 25%).
| Opponent | Popyrin | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Hugo Gaston | L | W 67 76 61 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 62 67 67 26 | W 64 46 64 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 63 26 64 | L 36 67 64 62 36 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 06 | L 26 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alejandro Tabilo
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Grigor Dimitrov
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Hugo Gaston
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Francesco Maestrelli
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Thiago Agustin Tirante
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Raphael Collignon
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Andres Burruchaga
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Roman Safiullin
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Tallon Griekspoor
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Daniil Medvedev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Kyrian Jacquet
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Hugo Gaston
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Rinky Hijikata
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–57 matches
| Metric | Popyrin | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 32% | 61% |
| Sets won | 36% | 58% |
| Games won | 47% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Popyrin | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Popyrin | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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