Alexei Popyrin vs Andrey RublevPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Alexei Popyrin and Andrey Rublev have met 4 times since 2023; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Erste Bank Open - Vienna in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Rublev leads 2–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Popyrin leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Popyrin has taken 5 sets to Rublev's 4. Their most recent meeting: Andrey Rublev won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Popyrin | Rublev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexei Popyrin | Andrey Rublev | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 5/11 | 71% | 17/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 6/21 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 12/32 | 33% | 14/42 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 15% | 2/13 | 47% | 17/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 8/19 | 17% | 1/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 3/9 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 62% | 8/13 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 38% | 5/13 | 65% | 17/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Popyrin 2, Rublev 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Popyrin
🤖 Servebot
Rublev
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Alexei Popyrin and Andrey Rublev are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,568 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Aug 12, 2025
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 12, 2024
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · Final
Apr 10, 2024
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 2nd Round
Oct 24, 2023
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Popyrin | Rublev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Alexei Popyrin | Andrey Rublev | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 82% | 9/11 |
| 10 or more | 38% | 3/8 | 36% | 4/11 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 18% | 2/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 9% | 1/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 6–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.99 | 1.44 |
| ROI % | -33.8% | -22.6% |
| Units P/L | -2.70u | -2.48u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Popyrin | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | 145 mi · 233 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Popyrin has a higher win rate against shared opponents (33% vs Rublev's 0%).
| Opponent | Popyrin | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Jakub Mensik | W 63 26 64 | L 36 67 64 62 36 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 26 06 | L 26 46 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 57 36 | L 57 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Francesco Maestrelli
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Thiago Agustin Tirante
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Raphael Collignon
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Andres Burruchaga
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Andy Andrade
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Jiri Lehecka
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Jan Choinski
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Raphael Collignon
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 1st Round
Jun 16
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Pablo Carreno Busta
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Juncheng Shang
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Timofey Skatov
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Luciano Darderi
Nordea Open - Bastad · Final
Jul 19
Alejandro Tabilo
Nordea Open - Bastad · Semifinals
Jul 18
Sebastian Baez
Nordea Open - Bastad · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–52 matches
| Metric | Popyrin | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 31% | 58% |
| Sets won | 35% | 56% |
| Games won | 47% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Popyrin | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Popyrin | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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