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Head-to-Head

Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastian KordaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Carlos Alcaraz

🇪🇸Carlos Alcaraz

#3 · 23 yrs · R

7Title
4–2

6 meetings · sets 13–4

Sebastian Korda

🇺🇸Sebastian Korda

#74 · 26 yrs · R

29w

Carlos Alcaraz and Sebastian Korda have met 6 times since 2021; Carlos Alcaraz leads 4–2. Their first meeting came at Next Gen ATP Finals - Milan in 2021 on hard. On clay courts Alcaraz leads 2–1. On hard courts they are level 1–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Alcaraz leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Alcaraz has taken 13 sets to Korda's 4. Their most recent meeting: Sebastian Korda won at Miami Open - Miami (2026).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorAlcarazKorda
Wins in straight sets72%64%
Wins a set when losing40%60%
Goes to a deciding set30%44%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite64%50%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog0%100%
Tiebreak sets won54%54%
Wins after taking set 195%78%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 182%61%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alcaraz 1, Korda 0).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Alcaraz

👑 The Complete Package

Elite serve & returnHigh BP conversionAll-surface dominanceClutch performer
vs

Korda

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies

Matchup analysis

The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Sebastian Korda.

Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.

Previous meetings

6 career meetings, newest first

Mar 22, 2026

Miami Open - Miami

H Hard · 3rd Round

36
75
46
Korda

May 31, 2024

French Open - Paris

C Clay · 3rd Round

64
765
63
Alcaraz

Jun 24, 2023

cinch Championships - London

G Grass · Semifinals

63
64
Alcaraz

May 27, 2022

French Open - Paris

C Clay · 3rd Round

64
64
62
Alcaraz

Apr 13, 2022

Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo

C Clay · 2nd Round

627
765
36
Korda

Nov 13, 2021

Next Gen ATP Finals - Milan

H Hard · Final

435
42
42
Alcaraz

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricAlcarazKorda
W-L11–1-
Avg odds1.15-
ROI %+4.3%-
Units P/L+0.51u-

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricAlcarazKorda
Countries3—
Events3—
Matches7—
Distance7,032 mi · 11,317 km—
RouteGBR → JPN → CHN—

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Korda's 67%).

OpponentAlcarazKorda
Jiri Lehecka
W
76
64
W
Alex Michelsen
W
76
46
61
W
63
76
Taylor Fritz
W
63
46
1311
L
76
46
67
Tommy Paul
W
64
63
64
W
64
63
Valentin Vacherot
W
64
64
W
76
63
Casper Ruud
W
61
76
W
46
62
62
Alex de Minaur
W
75
62
61
L
64
46
46
Valentin Royer
W
62
75
W
62
57
64
Lorenzo Musetti
W
64
61
L
06
75
57

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Alcaraz
WWWWWWWL
W

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round

63
63

Oct 10

W

Jiri Lehecka

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Final

764
64

Oct 6

W

Jaume Munar

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Semifinals

57
63
61

Oct 5

W

Denis Shapovalov

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals

Oct 4

W

Matteo Arnaldi

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round

766
61

Oct 3

W

Alex Michelsen

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round

761
46
61

Oct 1

W

Taylor Fritz

Laver Cup - London · Round Robin

63
46
1311

Sep 26

L

Ben Shelton

U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals

765
16
36
61
67

Sep 9

Korda
LWWLWWWW
L

Martin Landaluce

Miami Open - Miami · 4th Round

62
667
46

Mar 24

W

Carlos Alcaraz

Miami Open - Miami · 3rd Round

63
57
64

Mar 22

W

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round

60
63

Mar 20

L

Alex de Minaur

BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 2nd Round

64
46
46

Mar 7

W

Francisco Comesana

BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round

75
60

Mar 5

W

Tommy Paul

Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach · Final

64
63

Feb 22

W

Flavio Cobolli

Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach · Semifinals

761
61

Feb 21

W

Casper Ruud

Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach · Quarterfinals

46
62
62

Feb 20

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ AlcarazAlcaraz ahead↓ Korda

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 33–42 matches

MetricAlcarazKorda
Matches won86%67%
Sets won78%63%
Games won59%55%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageAlcarazKorda
Finals10
Grand Slam20
ATP 50010
ATP Masters 100002
Other10

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceAlcarazKorda
Hard11
Clay21
Grass10

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Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastian Korda FAQ

Carlos Alcaraz leads the head-to-head 4–2 over 6 meetings.