Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastian KordaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πͺπΈCarlos Alcaraz
#3 Β· 23 yrs Β· R
20w6 meetings Β· sets 13β4

πΊπΈSebastian Korda
#68 Β· 26 yrs Β· R
23wCarlos Alcaraz and Sebastian Korda have met 6 times since 2021; Carlos Alcaraz leads 4β2. Their first meeting came at Next Gen ATP Finals - Milan in 2021 on hard. On clay courts Alcaraz leads 2β1. On hard courts they are level 1β1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Alcaraz leading those 1β0. Across all meetings Alcaraz has taken 13 sets to Korda's 4. Their most recent meeting: Sebastian Korda won at Miami Open - Miami (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alcaraz | Korda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carlos Alcaraz | Sebastian Korda | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 20/25 | 64% | 16/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 2/6 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 7/31 | 45% | 17/38 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 69% | 20/29 | 48% | 15/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/2 | 100% | 7/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 4/10 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 21/22 | 77% | 20/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 91% | 20/22 | 62% | 16/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alcaraz 1, Korda 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
π The Complete Package
Korda
π₯ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
π The Complete Package vs π₯ Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 532 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Mar 22, 2026
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard Β· 3rd Round
May 31, 2024
French Open - Paris
C Clay Β· 3rd Round
Jun 24, 2023
cinch Championships - London
G Grass Β· Semifinals
May 27, 2022
French Open - Paris
C Clay Β· 3rd Round
Apr 13, 2022
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay Β· 2nd Round
Nov 13, 2021
Next Gen ATP Finals - Milan
H Hard Β· Final
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Korda's 56%).
| Opponent | Alcaraz | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Valentin Vacherot | W 64 64 | W 76 63 |
| Casper Ruud | W 61 76 | W 46 62 62 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 75 62 61 | L 64 46 46 |
| Tommy Paul | W 76 64 75 | W 64 63 |
| Valentin Royer | W 62 75 | W 62 57 64 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 67 75 63 | L 76 46 67 |
| Adam Walton | W 63 76 62 | W 75 63 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | W 64 61 | L 06 75 57 |
| Zizou Bergs | W 64 63 | L 46 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Otto Virtanen
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona Β· 1st Round
Apr 14
Jannik Sinner
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo Β· Final
Apr 12
Valentin Vacherot
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo Β· Semifinals
Apr 11
Alexander Bublik
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo Β· Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo Β· 3rd Round
Apr 9
Sebastian Baez
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo Β· 2nd Round
Apr 7
Sebastian Korda
Miami Open - Miami Β· 3rd Round
Mar 22
Joao Fonseca
Miami Open - Miami Β· 2nd Round
Mar 20
Martin Landaluce
Miami Open - Miami Β· 4th Round
Mar 24
Carlos Alcaraz
Miami Open - Miami Β· 3rd Round
Mar 22
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Miami Open - Miami Β· 2nd Round
Mar 20
Alex de Minaur
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells Β· 2nd Round
Mar 7
Francisco Comesana
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells Β· 1st Round
Mar 5
Tommy Paul
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach Β· Final
Feb 22
Flavio Cobolli
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach Β· Semifinals
Feb 21
Casper Ruud
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach Β· Quarterfinals
Feb 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 39β42 matches
| Metric | Alcaraz | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 86% | 64% |
| Sets won | 80% | 61% |
| Games won | 59% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alcaraz | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alcaraz | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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