Lorenzo Musetti vs Sebastian KordaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Lorenzo Musetti and Sebastian Korda have met 5 times since 2021; Lorenzo Musetti leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Open Parc - Lyon in 2021 on clay. On hard courts Korda leads 2–1. On clay courts Musetti leads 2–0. Across all meetings Musetti has taken 6 sets to Korda's 7. Their most recent meeting: Lorenzo Musetti won at Hellenic Championship - Athens (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Musetti | Korda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Lorenzo Musetti | Sebastian Korda | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 21/29 | 64% | 16/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 4/17 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 12/46 | 45% | 17/38 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 20/34 | 48% | 15/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 30% | 3/10 | 100% | 7/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 7/15 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 26/29 | 77% | 20/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 21/29 | 62% | 16/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Musetti 1, Korda 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Musetti
🎯 Baseliner
Korda
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,047 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Nov 7, 2025
Hellenic Championship - Athens
H Hard · Semifinals
Sep 21, 2022
Moselle Open - Metz
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 4, 2022
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 2nd Round
Nov 11, 2021
Next Gen ATP Finals - Milan
H Hard · Round Robin
May 19, 2021
Open Parc - Lyon
C Clay · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Musetti | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–3 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.62 | - |
| ROI % | -18.1% | - |
| Units P/L | -1.45u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Musetti | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 7 | — |
| Distance | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km | — |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Korda has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Musetti's 60%).
| Opponent | Musetti | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Frances Tiafoe | L 67 57 | W 75 61 |
| Michael Zheng | W 61 63 | W 63 64 |
| Casper Ruud | L 36 16 | W 46 62 62 |
| Martin Landaluce | W 75 62 | L 62 67 46 |
| Valentin Vacherot | L 67 57 | W 76 63 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 46 16 | W 63 57 64 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 75 36 75 | L 64 46 46 |
| Francisco Comesana | W 64 60 | W 75 60 |
| Flavio Cobolli | W 63 62 20 | W 76 61 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 62 75 64 | L 76 46 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daniel Altmaier
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Nicolas Mejia
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Aleksandar Vukic
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Martin Landaluce
Miami Open - Miami · 4th Round
Mar 24
Carlos Alcaraz
Miami Open - Miami · 3rd Round
Mar 22
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 20
Alex de Minaur
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 2nd Round
Mar 7
Francisco Comesana
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round
Mar 5
Tommy Paul
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach · Final
Feb 22
Flavio Cobolli
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach · Semifinals
Feb 21
Casper Ruud
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach · Quarterfinals
Feb 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–52 matches
| Metric | Musetti | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 64% |
| Sets won | 62% | 61% |
| Games won | 54% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Musetti | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Musetti | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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