Juan Pablo Varillas and Sebastian Baez have met 10 times since 2019; Sebastian Baez leads 8–2. Their most recent meeting: Sebastian Baez won at Santiago (2024).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Varillas
🪃 Counterpuncher
Baez
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 57% vs 🧱 The Wall across 2,634 matches in our dataset — a stylistic lean toward Juan Pablo Varillas.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
10 career meetings, newest first
Feb 29, 2024
Santiago
C Clay · Round of 16
May 10, 2023
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Round of 128
Feb 23, 2023
Rio de Janeiro
C Clay · Round of 16
Feb 22, 2022
Santiago
C Clay · Round of 32
Oct 23, 2021
Buenos Aires
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Oct 10, 2021
Santiago 2
C Clay · Finals
Jul 1, 2021
Hamburg
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 16, 2021
Zagreb
C Clay · Finals
Mar 18, 2021
Santiago
C Clay · Semifinals
Nov 6, 2019
Montevideo
C Clay · Round of 32
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Varillas | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Juan Pablo Varillas | Sebastian Baez | ||
| 1 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 36% | 5/14 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 2/6 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/14 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Varillas | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–1 | 8–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.19 | 2.30 |
| ROI % | -17.3% | -30.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.52u | -4.50u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Baez has a higher win rate against shared opponents (33% vs Varillas's 0%).
| Opponent | Varillas | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 26 36 | L 62 57 26 02 |
| Alvaro Guillen Meza | L 63 26 46 | L 67 46 |
| Emilio Nava | L 36 26 | W 46 75 63 |
Last five matches per player
Ryan Dickerson
Santos Brasil Tennis Cup · Round of 32
May 6
Lautaro Midon
Copa Internacional de Tenis · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Gonzalo Villanueva
Copa Internacional de Tenis · Round of 16
Apr 9
Victor Braga
Copa Internacional de Tenis · Round of 32
Apr 8
Facundo Diaz Acosta
São Léo Open de Tênis · Round of 16
Apr 2
Carlos Maria Zarate
São Léo Open de Tênis · Round of 32
Apr 1
Franco Roncadelli
Munich Ultra Paraguay Open · Semifinals
Mar 18
Alex Barrena
LA OPEN · Round of 16
Mar 16
Alex Molcan
Unicredit Czech Open · Final
Jun 7
Maxim Mrva
Unicredit Czech Open · Quarterfinals
Jun 5
Tristan Boyer
Unicredit Czech Open · Round of 16
Jun 3
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Unicredit Czech Open · Round of 32
Jun 2
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Alex Michelsen
Gonet Geneva Open · Round of 32
May 18
Pablo Carreno Busta
Copa Faulconbridge · Round of 16
May 14
Roberto Carballes Baena
Copa Faulconbridge · Round of 32
May 12
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–50 matches
| Metric | Varillas | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 46% |
| Sets won | 56% | 45% |
| Games won | 52% | 49% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Varillas | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 4 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Varillas | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 8 |
