Miomir Kecmanovic vs Sebastian BaezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Miomir Kecmanovic and Sebastian Baez have met 4 times since 2024; Miomir Kecmanovic leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Rothesay International - Eastbourne in 2024 on grass. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Kecmanovic has taken 8 sets to Baez's 5. Their most recent meeting: Sebastian Baez won at Generali Open - Kitzbuhel (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kecmanovic | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Miomir Kecmanovic | Sebastian Baez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 14/25 | 76% | 26/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 63% | 17/27 | 23% | 6/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 54% | 28/52 | 23% | 14/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 31% | 11/35 | 61% | 17/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 12/16 | 54% | 15/28 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 48% | 12/25 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 74% | 20/27 | 83% | 29/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 52% | 14/27 | 74% | 26/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kecmanovic 1, Baez 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kecmanovic
🎯 Baseliner
Baez
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🎾 All-Court is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 218 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jul 21, 2026
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel
C Clay · 1st Round
May 26, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Oct 28, 2024
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 26, 2024
Rothesay International - Eastbourne
G Grass · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kecmanovic | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Miomir Kecmanovic | Sebastian Baez | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 68% | 13/19 |
| 3 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 32% | 6/19 |
| 5 or more | 42% | 5/12 | 16% | 3/19 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kecmanovic | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–8 | 8–9 |
| Avg odds | 1.81 | 2.43 |
| ROI % | -41.1% | -17.4% |
| Units P/L | -5.34u | -2.95u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kecmanovic | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Baez has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Kecmanovic's 30%).
| Opponent | Kecmanovic | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Valentin Vacherot | L 67 46 | L 46 67 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 36 36 | L 36 67 |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | L 63 36 57 | L |
| Learner Tien | L 46 76 67 | L 36 67 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 63 63 | W 76 62 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | L 76 46 46 | W 76 26 64 |
| Mattia Bellucci | W 61 64 | W 75 63 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 46 46 | L 16 26 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 76 63 | W 76 61 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | L 64 36 67 | L 75 57 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jakub Mensik
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Sho Shimabukuro
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Adrian Mannarino
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Edas Butvilas
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SRB-LTU 4-0 · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Denis Shapovalov
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Fabian Marozsan
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Sho Shimabukuro
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 23
Valentin Vacherot
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Marcos Giron
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Juncheng Shang
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jenson Brooksby
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 23
Brandon Nakashima
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 57–65 matches
| Metric | Kecmanovic | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 54% |
| Sets won | 50% | 52% |
| Games won | 50% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kecmanovic | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kecmanovic | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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