Damir Dzumhur vs Sebastian BaezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Damir Dzumhur and Sebastian Baez have met 4 times since 2021; Sebastian Baez leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Zagreb Challenger in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Baez leads 3–1. Across all meetings Dzumhur has taken 3 sets to Baez's 7. Their most recent meeting: Damir Dzumhur won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Dzumhur | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Damir Dzumhur | Sebastian Baez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 13/24 | 76% | 26/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 9/28 | 22% | 6/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 20/52 | 23% | 14/61 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 5/15 | 61% | 17/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 20/35 | 52% | 15/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 11/24 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 77% | 17/22 | 83% | 29/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 59% | 13/22 | 74% | 26/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Dzumhur 0, Baez 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Dzumhur
🪃 Counterpuncher
Baez
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 🎾 All-Court is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 878 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Apr 26, 2025
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 2nd Round
Apr 15, 2025
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona
C Clay · 1st Round
Feb 28, 2025
Movistar Chile Open - Santiago
C Clay · Quarterfinals
May 12, 2021
Zagreb Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Dzumhur | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Damir Dzumhur | Sebastian Baez | ||
| 1 or more | 60% | 6/10 | 65% | 13/20 |
| 3 or more | 20% | 2/10 | 30% | 6/20 |
| 5 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 15% | 3/20 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Dzumhur | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | 9–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.69 | 2.40 |
| ROI % | -6.6% | -11.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.59u | -2.05u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Dzumhur | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km |
| Route | POR | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Baez has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Dzumhur's 33%).
| Opponent | Dzumhur | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 46 64 16 16 | L 64 06 36 |
| Chak Pong Marco Lam | L 63 46 26 | W 64 60 |
| Learner Tien | L 26 16 | L 36 67 |
| Mattia Bellucci | W 62 64 | W 75 63 |
| Alex Molcan | W 36 64 63 | W 64 62 |
| Jaume Munar | L 26 67 | W 64 64 |
| Emilio Nava | L | W 46 75 63 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 67 76 61 | W 64 63 |
| Jaime Faria | L 67 46 | L 57 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Abedallah Shelbayh
Villena Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Georgii Kravchenko
Villena Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Moez Echargui
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Hubert Hurkacz
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Mathys Erhard
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Geoffrey Blancaneaux
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Hugo Gaston
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 21
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Final
Jul 18
Valentin Vacherot
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Marcos Giron
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Juncheng Shang
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jenson Brooksby
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 23
Brandon Nakashima
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 57–66 matches
| Metric | Dzumhur | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 53% |
| Sets won | 45% | 52% |
| Games won | 48% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Dzumhur | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Dzumhur | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 3 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.