Damir Dzumhur vs Sebastian BaezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ง๐ฆDamir Dzumhur
#103 ยท 34 yrs ยท R
4w34 meetings ยท sets 3โ7

๐ฆ๐ทSebastian Baez
#50 ยท 25 yrs ยท R
Damir Dzumhur and Sebastian Baez have met 4 times since 2021; Sebastian Baez leads 3โ1. Their first meeting came at Zagreb Challenger in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Baez leads 3โ1. Across all meetings Dzumhur has taken 3 sets to Baez's 7. Their most recent meeting: Damir Dzumhur won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Dzumhur | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Damir Dzumhur | Sebastian Baez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 11/22 | 76% | 26/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 8/29 | 19% | 5/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 19/51 | 22% | 13/60 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 5/15 | 63% | 17/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 18/34 | 52% | 15/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 48% | 12/25 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 79% | 15/19 | 85% | 29/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 58% | 11/19 | 76% | 26/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Dzumhur 0, Baez 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Dzumhur
๐ก๏ธ The Spoiler
Baez
๐พ All-Court
Matchup analysis
The ๐พ All-Court archetype wins about 55% vs ๐ก๏ธ The Spoiler across 96 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Sebastian Baez.
All-Court players often use tactical versatility and net approach ability to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Apr 26, 2025
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Apr 15, 2025
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Feb 28, 2025
Movistar Chile Open - Santiago
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
May 12, 2021
Zagreb Challenger
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Dzumhur | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Damir Dzumhur | Sebastian Baez | ||
| 1 or more | 44% | 7/16 | 76% | 16/21 |
| 3 or more | 25% | 4/16 | 29% | 6/21 |
| 5 or more | 13% | 2/16 | 10% | 2/21 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Dzumhur | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6โ7 | 14โ6 |
| Avg odds | 2.10 | 1.90 |
| ROI % | -8.1% | +8.8% |
| Units P/L | -1.05u | +1.76u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Dzumhur | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 4 |
| Matches | 2 | 9 |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | 3,066 mi ยท 4,934 km |
| Route | POL | CAN โ USA โ MEX โ USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Baez has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs Dzumhur's 43%).
| Opponent | Dzumhur | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Learner Tien | L 26 16 | L 36 67 |
| Mattia Bellucci | W 62 64 | W 75 63 |
| Alex Molcan | W 36 64 63 | W 64 62 |
| Jaume Munar | L 26 67 | W 64 64 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 67 76 61 | W 64 63 |
| Jaime Faria | L 67 46 | L 57 16 |
| Alvaro Guillen Meza | L 26 16 | L 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mathys Erhard
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 6
Geoffrey Blancaneaux
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag ยท Final
Jul 18
Alex Molcan
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag ยท Semifinals
Jul 17
Matteo Arnaldi
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag ยท 2nd Round
Jul 15
Henrique Rocha
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag ยท 1st Round
Jul 13
Zsombor Piros
Iasi Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 8
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 2nd Round
Aug 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger ยท Final
Aug 24
Lloyd Harris
Cancun Challenger ยท Semifinals
Aug 23
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Cancun Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Cancun Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 21
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Grigor Dimitrov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Zizou Bergs
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 55โ64 matches
| Metric | Dzumhur | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 42% | 55% |
| Sets won | 43% | 53% |
| Games won | 48% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Dzumhur | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Dzumhur | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 3 |
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