Sebastian Baez vs Taylor FritzPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Sebastian Baez and Taylor Fritz have met 7 times since 2022; Taylor Fritz leads 5–2. Their first meeting came at Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Fritz leads 4–2. Across all meetings Baez has taken 4 sets to Fritz's 12. Their most recent meeting: Sebastian Baez won at United Cup - Australia (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Baez | Fritz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Sebastian Baez | Taylor Fritz | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 26/34 | 56% | 20/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 19% | 5/26 | 35% | 7/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 22% | 13/60 | 41% | 23/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 17/27 | 36% | 18/50 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 15/29 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 64% | 7/11 | 63% | 22/35 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 29/34 | 90% | 28/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 26/34 | 65% | 20/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Baez 0, Fritz 5).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Baez
🎾 All-Court
Fritz
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🎾 All-Court across 752 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Taylor Fritz.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Jan 3, 2026
United Cup - Australia
H Hard · Round Robin
Apr 28, 2024
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 3rd Round
Mar 11, 2024
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 3rd Round
Dec 30, 2023
United Cup
H Hard · Round Robin
Oct 30, 2023
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 13, 2023
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 16, 2022
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Baez | Fritz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Sebastian Baez | Taylor Fritz | ||
| 1 or more | 76% | 16/21 | 100% | 24/24 |
| 3 or more | 29% | 6/21 | 100% | 24/24 |
| 5 or more | 10% | 2/21 | 96% | 23/24 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 79% | 19/24 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 42% | 10/24 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/21 | 17% | 4/24 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Baez | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–6 | 19–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.90 | 1.44 |
| ROI % | +8.8% | +11.1% |
| Units P/L | +1.76u | +2.67u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Baez | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 4 | 3 |
| Matches | 9 | 8 |
| Distance | 3,066 mi · 4,934 km | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km |
| Route | CAN → USA → MEX → USA | USA → CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fritz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Baez's 40%).
| Opponent | Baez | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 64 06 36 | L 67 67 |
| Alex Michelsen | L 57 36 | W 63 64 |
| Zizou Bergs | L 63 36 26 | W 63 64 |
| Mattia Bellucci | W 75 63 | W 57 75 75 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 16 26 | W 76 64 64 |
| Ben Shelton | W 75 63 | W 67 76 76 |
| Jenson Brooksby | W 63 76 | W 64 63 |
| Tomas Machac | L 62 46 16 | W 64 63 63 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 16 36 | L 76 57 36 |
| Stan Wawrinka | W 75 75 | W 76 26 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Lloyd Harris
Cancun Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 23
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Cancun Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Grigor Dimitrov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Zizou Bergs
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Christopher O'Connell
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Alex Michelsen
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Thiago Agustin Tirante
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · Final
Aug 3
Brandon Nakashima
Citi Open - Washington · Semifinals
Aug 1
Alex Michelsen
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 64–68 matches
| Metric | Baez | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 65% |
| Sets won | 53% | 60% |
| Games won | 50% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Baez | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Other | 2 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 5 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Baez | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 4 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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