Sebastian Baez vs Taylor FritzPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Sebastian Baez and Taylor Fritz have met 7 times since 2022; Taylor Fritz leads 5–2. Their first meeting came at Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Fritz leads 4–2. Across all meetings Baez has taken 4 sets to Fritz's 12. Their most recent meeting: Sebastian Baez won at United Cup - Australia (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Baez | Fritz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Sebastian Baez | Taylor Fritz | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 26/34 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 23% | 6/26 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 14/60 | 44% | 21/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 61% | 17/28 | 35% | 15/43 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 54% | 15/28 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 7/12 | 60% | 18/30 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 29/35 | 85% | 23/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 26/35 | 59% | 16/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Baez 0, Fritz 5).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Baez
🎾 All-Court
Fritz
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🎾 All-Court across 703 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Taylor Fritz.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Jan 3, 2026
United Cup - Australia
H Hard · Round Robin
Apr 28, 2024
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 3rd Round
Mar 11, 2024
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 3rd Round
Dec 30, 2023
United Cup
H Hard · Round Robin
Oct 30, 2023
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 13, 2023
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 16, 2022
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Baez | Fritz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Sebastian Baez | Taylor Fritz | ||
| 1 or more | 68% | 13/19 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 32% | 6/19 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 5 or more | 16% | 3/19 | 88% | 14/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 50% | 8/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 13% | 2/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 6% | 1/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Baez | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–9 | 11–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.43 | 1.44 |
| ROI % | -17.4% | -11.1% |
| Units P/L | -2.95u | -1.78u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Baez | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km |
| Route | CHN | GBR → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fritz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Baez's 30%).
| Opponent | Baez | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Valentin Vacherot | L 46 67 | W 46 76 75 |
| Marcos Giron | W 16 63 64 | W 64 57 76 |
| Jaume Munar | W 64 64 | L 76 46 36 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 16 36 | L 36 64 1113 |
| Mattia Bellucci | W 75 63 | W 60 61 61 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 26 16 06 | L 67 64 36 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 64 06 36 | L 67 67 |
| Alex Michelsen | L 57 36 | W 63 64 |
| Zizou Bergs | L 63 36 26 | W 63 64 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 16 26 | W 76 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Valentin Vacherot
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Marcos Giron
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Juncheng Shang
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jenson Brooksby
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 23
Brandon Nakashima
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Matteo Arnaldi
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Jaume Munar
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Carlos Alcaraz
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Francisco Cerundolo
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Mattia Bellucci
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Darwin Blanch
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Christopher O'Connell
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 61–65 matches
| Metric | Baez | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 62% |
| Sets won | 52% | 59% |
| Games won | 50% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Baez | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Other | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 5 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Baez | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 4 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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