Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Sebastian Baez have met 6 times since 2021; Sebastian Baez leads 5–1. Their most recent meeting: Sebastian Baez won at IEB+ Argentina Open (2026).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carabelli
🪃 Counterpuncher
Baez
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 57% vs 🧱 The Wall across 2,634 matches in our dataset — a stylistic lean toward Camilo Ugo Carabelli.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
6 career meetings, newest first
Feb 13, 2026
IEB+ Argentina Open
C Clay · Quarterfinals
May 20, 2025
Hamburg
C Clay · Round of 32
Mar 1, 2025
Santiago
C Clay · Semifinals
Feb 22, 2025
Rio de Janeiro
C Clay · Semifinals
Feb 11, 2025
Buenos Aires
C Clay · Round of 32
Mar 15, 2021
Santiago
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Carabelli | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Sebastian Baez | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 3 or more | 69% | 11/16 | 36% | 5/14 |
| 5 or more | 38% | 6/16 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/14 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–7 | 8–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.16 | 2.30 |
| ROI % | -1.3% | -30.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.20u | -4.50u |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Baez has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Carabelli's 50%).
| Opponent | Carabelli | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Emilio Nava | W 76 63 63 | W 46 75 63 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 36 46 | L 62 57 26 02 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 63 36 75 | W 64 63 |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | W 26 63 76 | W 64 64 36 57 63 |
| Luciano Darderi | L 67 36 | L 46 36 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 46 26 | W 76 61 |
| Cristian Garin | W 64 64 | W 76 16 75 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | L 46 36 | L 75 36 57 |
| Marcos Giron | L 67 67 36 | W 61 64 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 76 57 63 | L 60 16 46 |
Last five matches per player
Andrey Rublev
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Emilio Nava
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Kamil Majchrzak
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Round of 32
May 18
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Quarterfinals
May 16
Miomir Kecmanovic
Copa Faulconbridge · Quarterfinals
May 15
Frances Tiafoe
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Round of 16
May 13
Matteo Berrettini
Copa Faulconbridge · Round of 16
May 9
Aleksandr Shevchenko
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 128
May 7
Alex Molcan
Unicredit Czech Open · Final
Jun 7
Maxim Mrva
Unicredit Czech Open · Quarterfinals
Jun 5
Tristan Boyer
Unicredit Czech Open · Round of 16
Jun 3
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Unicredit Czech Open · Round of 32
Jun 2
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Alex Michelsen
Gonet Geneva Open · Round of 32
May 18
Pablo Carreno Busta
Copa Faulconbridge · Round of 16
May 14
Roberto Carballes Baena
Copa Faulconbridge · Round of 32
May 12
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–50 matches
| Metric | Carabelli | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 46% |
| Sets won | 47% | 45% |
| Games won | 48% | 49% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Carabelli | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 3 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Carabelli | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 5 |
