Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Murkel DellienPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Murkel Dellien have met 8 times since 2022; Camilo Ugo Carabelli leads 7–1. Their first meeting came at Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger in 2022 on clay. On clay courts Carabelli leads 7–1. Carabelli has won the last 5 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Carabelli leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Carabelli has taken 14 sets to Dellien's 4. Their most recent meeting: Camilo Ugo Carabelli won at Rosario Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ugo Carabelli | Dellien | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Murkel Dellien | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 13/22 | 63% | 17/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 7/22 | 25% | 7/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 16/44 | 31% | 17/55 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 4/12 | 39% | 11/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 15/29 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 14/17 | 85% | 22/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 13/17 | 65% | 17/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 6 of 8 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ugo Carabelli 5, Dellien 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carabelli
⚙️ Grinder
Dellien
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
⚙️ Grinder vs 🧱 The Wall is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 98 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
8 career meetings, newest first
Feb 8, 2025
Rosario Challenger
C Clay · Semifinals
Nov 13, 2024
Montevideo Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Nov 6, 2024
Lima 2 Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Oct 2, 2024
Buenos Aires Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Mar 10, 2024
Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger
C Clay · Final
Jan 24, 2024
Punta Del Este Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Sep 11, 2023
Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Jan 27, 2022
Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Carabelli | Dellien | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Murkel Dellien | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 56% | 9/16 |
| 3 or more | 60% | 6/10 | 13% | 2/16 |
| 5 or more | 60% | 6/10 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Dellien |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–8 | 5–9 |
| Avg odds | 3.30 | 2.49 |
| ROI % | -52.4% | -43.4% |
| Units P/L | -5.24u | -6.07u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Dellien |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km | 835 mi · 1,344 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | ARG → BRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Carabelli and Dellien posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Carabelli | Dellien |
|---|---|---|
| Mariano Navone | W 62 75 | W 62 76 |
| Guido Ivan Justo | W 61 60 | W 75 16 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Ilia Simakin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Rinky Hijikata
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Federico Cina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Jan-Lennard Struff
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Moez Echargui
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Nicolas Mejia
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Miomir Kecmanovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Antofagasta Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Juan Estevez
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 5
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Juan Pablo Varillas
Buenos Aires Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Hernan Casanova
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Benito Sanchez Martinez
Augsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Ryan Nijboer
Sion Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Daniel Elahi Galan
Todi Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–55 matches
| Metric | Carabelli | Dellien |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 49% |
| Sets won | 47% | 48% |
| Games won | 48% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Carabelli | Dellien |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 7 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Carabelli | Dellien |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 7 | 1 |
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