Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Murkel DellienPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Murkel Dellien have met 8 times since 2022; Camilo Ugo Carabelli leads 7–1. Their first meeting came at Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger in 2022 on clay. On clay courts Carabelli leads 7–1. Carabelli has won the last 5 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Carabelli leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Carabelli has taken 14 sets to Dellien's 4. Their most recent meeting: Camilo Ugo Carabelli won at Rosario Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ugo Carabelli | Dellien | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Murkel Dellien | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 13/21 | 58% | 18/31 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 6/22 | 24% | 7/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 14/43 | 33% | 20/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 4/12 | 41% | 14/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 46% | 13/28 | 40% | 8/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 11/19 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 14/16 | 86% | 24/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 81% | 13/16 | 64% | 18/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 6 of 8 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ugo Carabelli 5, Dellien 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carabelli
⚙️ Grinder
Dellien
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The ⚙️ Grinder archetype wins about 54% vs 🧱 The Wall across 318 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Camilo Ugo Carabelli.
Grinder players often use relentless consistency and deep court positioning to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
8 career meetings, newest first
Feb 8, 2025
Rosario Challenger
C Clay · Semifinals
Nov 13, 2024
Montevideo Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Nov 6, 2024
Lima 2 Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Oct 2, 2024
Buenos Aires Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Mar 10, 2024
Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger
C Clay · Final
Jan 24, 2024
Punta Del Este Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Sep 11, 2023
Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Jan 27, 2022
Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Carabelli | Dellien | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Murkel Dellien | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 58% | 7/12 |
| 3 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Dellien |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–4 | 4–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.47 | 1.94 |
| ROI % | -22.6% | -58.6% |
| Units P/L | -1.58u | -6.45u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Dellien |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 4 |
| Events | 3 | 5 |
| Matches | 3 | 5 |
| Distance | 1,959 mi · 3,153 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA → MEX | GER → BUL → ITA → SUI → GER |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Carabelli has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Dellien's 67%).
| Opponent | Carabelli | Dellien |
|---|---|---|
| Emilio Nava | W 76 63 63 | L 46 67 |
| Mariano Navone | W 62 75 | W 62 76 |
| Guido Ivan Justo | W 61 60 | W 75 16 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nicolas Mejia
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Miomir Kecmanovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Cameron Norrie
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Titouan Droguet
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 20
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals
Jul 16
Pablo Carreno Busta
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Marko Topo
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round
Jul 14
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 30
Benito Sanchez Martinez
Augsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Ryan Nijboer
Sion Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Daniel Elahi Galan
Todi Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 10
Adrian Andreev
Plovdiv 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Jack Loge
M25 Wetzlar · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Lars Goran Verwerft
M25 Wetzlar · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Jip Van Assendelft
M25 Wetzlar · 1st Round
Jul 29
Jose Pereira
M25 Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–60 matches
| Metric | Carabelli | Dellien |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 52% |
| Sets won | 47% | 49% |
| Games won | 48% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Carabelli | Dellien |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 7 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Carabelli | Dellien |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 7 | 1 |
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