Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Joao Lucas Reis Da SilvaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇷Camilo Ugo Carabelli
#75 · 27 yrs · R
3 meetings · sets 4–2
🇧🇷Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
#186 · 26 yrs · R
7TitleCamilo Ugo Carabelli and Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva have met 3 times since 2023; Camilo Ugo Carabelli leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Guayaquil Challenger in 2023 on clay. On clay courts Carabelli leads 2–1. Across all meetings Carabelli has taken 4 sets to Silva's 2. Their most recent meeting: Camilo Ugo Carabelli won at Piracicaba Challenger (2025).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Guayaquil Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- Quarterfinals
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- October 30 · 6:30 PM ET
Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva meet next at the Guayaquil Challenger on October 30 on clay.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ugo Carabelli | Lucas Reis Da Silva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 13/22 | 62% | 23/37 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 6/20 | 32% | 13/41 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 15/42 | 35% | 27/78 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 5/13 | 8% | 1/13 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 13/26 | 67% | 12/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 59% | 10/17 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 14/16 | 80% | 32/40 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 81% | 13/16 | 57% | 23/40 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ugo Carabelli 2, Lucas Reis Da Silva 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carabelli
🎯 Baseliner
Silva
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,033 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Camilo Ugo Carabelli.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 29, 2025
Piracicaba Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Apr 6, 2024
Florianopolis Challenger
C Clay · Semifinals
Oct 30, 2023
Guayaquil Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Carabelli | Silva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 3 or more | 78% | 7/9 | 57% | 8/14 |
| 5 or more | 78% | 7/9 | 29% | 4/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Silva |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–6 | 3–1 |
| Avg odds | 3.37 | 2.58 |
| ROI % | -33.7% | +97.5% |
| Units P/L | -3.03u | +3.90u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Carabelli | Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 2 | 1 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CHN | BRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Carabelli has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Silva's 50%).
| Opponent | Carabelli | Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Guido Ivan Justo | W 61 60 | W |
| Ignacio Buse | W 63 36 75 | W 63 63 |
| Hugo Dellien | W 64 62 | L 64 26 36 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | L 46 36 | L 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Juan Alejandro Hernandez
Guayaquil Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 29
Juan Alejandro Hernandez
Guayaquil Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 29
Federico Coria
Guayaquil Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 27
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Ilia Simakin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Rinky Hijikata
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Federico Cina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Jan-Lennard Struff
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Emilio Camacho
Guayaquil Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 29
Lorenzo Claverie
Guayaquil Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 28
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Antofagasta Challenger · Final
Oct 11
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Antofagasta Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 10
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Antofagasta Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Guido Ivan Justo
Antofagasta Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Bernardo Munk Mesa
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Curitiba Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 30
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–78 matches
| Metric | Carabelli | Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 47% |
| Sets won | 48% | 48% |
| Games won | 48% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Carabelli | Silva |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Carabelli | Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 1 |