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Head-to-Head

Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Juan Manuel CerundoloPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

🇦🇷Camilo Ugo Carabelli

#76 · 27 yrs · R

3–4

7 meetings · sets 8–9

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

🇦🇷Juan Manuel Cerundolo

#51 · 24 yrs · L

3

Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Juan Manuel Cerundolo have met 7 times since 2021; Juan Manuel Cerundolo leads 4–3. Their first meeting came at Luedenscheid Challenger in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Cerundolo leads 4–3. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Cerundolo leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Carabelli has taken 8 sets to Cerundolo's 9. Their most recent meeting: Camilo Ugo Carabelli won at Rosario Challenger (2026).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorUgo CarabelliManuel Cerundolo
Wins in straight sets62%61%
Wins a set when losing27%38%
Goes to a deciding set33%39%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite33%36%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog46%80%
Tiebreak sets won58%50%
Wins after taking set 188%88%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 181%67%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ugo Carabelli 2, Manuel Cerundolo 2).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Carabelli

⚙️ Grinder

Relentless consistencyDeep court positioningHigh rally toleranceMental fortitude
vs

Cerundolo

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies

Matchup analysis

The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,211 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Juan Manuel Cerundolo.

Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.

Previous meetings

7 career meetings, newest first

Feb 7, 2026

Rosario Challenger

C Clay · Semifinals

75
61
Carabelli

Nov 8, 2024

Lima 2 Challenger

C Clay · Quarterfinals

16
16
Cerundolo

Oct 12, 2024

Villa Maria Challenger

C Clay · Semifinals

64
62
Carabelli

Feb 24, 2024

Santiago

C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying

16
6477
Cerundolo

Sep 20, 2023

Antofagasta Challenger

C Clay · 2nd Round

765
36
62
Carabelli

Oct 2, 2022

Buenos Aires Challenger

C Clay · Final

46
62
57
Cerundolo

Aug 20, 2021

Luedenscheid Challenger

C Clay · Quarterfinals

63
36
26
Cerundolo

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeCarabelliCerundolo
1 or more100%94%
3 or more57%81%
5 or more57%63%
10 or more0%31%
15 or more0%6%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricCarabelliCerundolo
W-L3–49–5
Avg odds2.472.79
ROI %-22.6%+57.4%
Units P/L-1.58u+8.04u

Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricCarabelliCerundolo
Countries32
Events33
Matches36
Distance1,959 mi · 3,153 km1,024 mi · 1,648 km
RouteCAN → USA → MEXCAN → USA

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Across 10 shared opponents, both Carabelli and Cerundolo posted a 50% win rate.

OpponentCarabelliCerundolo
Ignacio Buse
W
63
36
75
L
67
64
26
Miomir Kecmanovic
L
36
36
W
36
63
75
Roman Andres Burruchaga
L
26
62
36
W
64
64
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
L
16
36
L
46
46
67
Matteo Berrettini
W
76
64
L
36
67
67
Kamil Majchrzak
W
16
62
63
L
67
63
36
Martin Damm
W
76
63
W
62
62
Luca Van Assche
W
06
63
62
W
76
64
Brandon Nakashima
L
36
46
L
36
57
Yannick Hanfmann
L
46
36
W
64
67
64

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Carabelli
WLLLLWWL
W

Nicolas Mejia

Cancun Challenger · 1st Round

75
64

Aug 20

L

Miomir Kecmanovic

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round

36
36

Aug 13

L

Cameron Norrie

National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round

657
46

Aug 4

L

Titouan Droguet

Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round

06
63
46

Jul 20

L

Roman Andres Burruchaga

Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · Quarterfinals

26
62
36

Jul 16

W

Pablo Carreno Busta

Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round

36
75
75

Jul 15

W

Marko Topo

Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round

627
763
63

Jul 14

L

Daniel Merida

Wimbledon · Round of 128

64
63
26
03

Jun 30

Cerundolo
LWLWWLWL
L

Ignacio Buse

Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · Quarterfinals

647
64
26

Aug 27

W

Dhakshineswar Suresh

Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round

7610
63

Aug 25

L

Felix Auger Aliassime

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round

57
16

Aug 19

W

Arthur Rinderknech

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

46
763
765

Aug 16

W

Mark Lajal

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round

64
64

Aug 14

L

Casper Ruud

National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round

16
26

Aug 5

W

Hamad Medjedovic

National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round

64
62

Aug 4

L

Marco Trungelliti

Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round

26
16

Jul 21

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ CarabelliCerundolo ahead↓ Cerundolo

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–63 matches

MetricCarabelliCerundolo
Matches won47%62%
Sets won47%57%
Games won48%52%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageCarabelliCerundolo
Finals01
ATP 25001
ATP Challenger Tour33

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceCarabelliCerundolo
Clay34

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Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo FAQ

Juan Manuel Cerundolo leads the head-to-head 4–3 over 7 meetings.